IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> announced the share alternative at an exchange ratio of 10 rollover shares for each offer share, subject to a cap of 5% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The share alternative option will help the offer and was likely required to get Pleasant Lake Partners’ support (3.25% of outstanding shares). There is minimal vocal opposition to the offer. </li>
<li>Irrevocables/Letters of support represent 49.83% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the minimum acceptance condition, which requires an 80% disinterested acceptance rate (ex. irrevocables).</li>
</ul>



L'Occitane (973 HK) announced the share alternative at an exchange ratio of 10 rollover shares for each offer share, subject to a cap of 5% of outstanding shares.
The share alternative option will help the offer and was likely required to get Pleasant Lake Partners’ support (3.25% of outstanding shares). There is minimal vocal opposition to the offer. 
Irrevocables/Letters of support represent 49.83% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the minimum acceptance condition, which requires an 80% disinterested acceptance rate (ex. irrevocables).


L’Occitane (973 HK): Share Alternative a Crucial Step Towards the Offer Being Declared Unconditional

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles headquarters.</li><li>With 2024 shaping up as a period of setting the stage for material growth in all the company's brands, we believe management is confident they are making the correct investments to drive multiple periods of top and bottom line upside, with the correct retail partners and product upgrades and expansions.</li><li>As such, we look for the company to continue to put the pieces in place in 2024 to achieve highly significant door expansion and new category growth going forward, positioning Starco for material gains.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles headquarters.With 2024 shaping up as a period of setting the stage for material growth in all the company's brands, we believe management is confident they are making the correct investments to drive multiple periods of top and bottom line upside, with the correct retail partners and product upgrades and expansions.As such, we look for the company to continue to put the pieces in place in 2024 to achieve highly significant door expansion and new category growth going forward, positioning Starco for material gains.

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.


Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO - Riding on the Founder’s Reputation

Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $22.50 price target and projections for Betterware de Mexico after meeting with the management of Betterware and JAFRA Mexico and touring JAFRA's manufacturing facility.</li><li>We believe there are multiple top and bottom line upside drivers for the company, and we increasingly view our projections as conservative, as both Betterware and JAFRA have the ability to leverage a relatively fixed infrastructure which can support multiple years of expansion.</li><li>Further, we believe management is highly focused on higher levels of innovation and leveraging their distribution networks to increase their "share of wallet" for both housewares and personal care items.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $22.50 price target and projections for Betterware de Mexico after meeting with the management of Betterware and JAFRA Mexico and touring JAFRA's manufacturing facility.We believe there are multiple top and bottom line upside drivers for the company, and we increasingly view our projections as conservative, as both Betterware and JAFRA have the ability to leverage a relatively fixed infrastructure which can support multiple years of expansion.Further, we believe management is highly focused on higher levels of innovation and leveraging their distribution networks to increase their "share of wallet" for both housewares and personal care items.

BWMX: Management Meetings Confirm Multiple Upside Drivers; Reiterate Buy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> announced that the share alternative pre-condition was satisfied. However, The share alternative offer is at the offeror’s discretion and with the consent of the financing parties. </li>
<li>The share alternative offer poses a dilemma due to the requirement to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition while not breaching the upper limit of the share alternative offer.</li>
<li>The share alternative offer is a play on higher multiples by relisting the business. At HK$50.00, L’Occitane would trade in line with its median global beauty peers’ multiples.</li>
</ul>



L'Occitane (973 HK) announced that the share alternative pre-condition was satisfied. However, The share alternative offer is at the offeror’s discretion and with the consent of the financing parties. 
The share alternative offer poses a dilemma due to the requirement to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition while not breaching the upper limit of the share alternative offer.
The share alternative offer is a play on higher multiples by relisting the business. At HK$50.00, L’Occitane would trade in line with its median global beauty peers’ multiples.


L’Occitane (973 HK): Dilemma as the Share Alternative Pre-Condition Met

United States

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets a wide range of skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products.  The Company's products are sold in countries and territories around the world.

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Estee Lauder Companies Cl A (EL US)

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO - Riding on the Founder’s Reputation

Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

BWMX: Management Meetings Confirm Multiple Upside Drivers; Reiterate Buy

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $22.50 price target and projections for Betterware de Mexico after meeting with the management of Betterware...

Small Cap Consumer Research

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L’Occitane (973 HK): Share Alternative a Crucial Step Towards the Offer Being Declared Unconditional

An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the 90% minimum acceptance condition. This looks like a done deal. At the current...

Arun George

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO - Riding on the Founder’s Reputation

Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

BWMX: Management Meetings Confirm Multiple Upside Drivers; Reiterate Buy

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $22.50 price target and projections for Betterware de Mexico after meeting with the management of Betterware...

Small Cap Consumer Research

L’Occitane (973 HK): Dilemma as the Share Alternative Pre-Condition Met

While a positive, the share alternative offer needs to balance the requirement to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition while not breaching the...

Arun George