IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-09/l-occitane-boss-is-said-in-advanced-talks-on-6-5-billion-buyout?in_source=embedded-checkout-banner" target="_blank" rel="noopener">According to Bloomberg</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> is set to receive a HK$35 per share privatisation offer from Reinold Geiger, the Chairman and the largest shareholder.</li>
<li>The rumoured price is attractive and represents an all-time high share price. Therefore, Acatis KVG, the shareholder with a blocking stake, would be supportive.</li>
<li>The rumoured price implies multiples at a discount to peer multiples, which explains Mr Geiger’s ambitions for a possible European listing to secure higher valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>



According to Bloomberg, L'Occitane (973 HK) is set to receive a HK$35 per share privatisation offer from Reinold Geiger, the Chairman and the largest shareholder.
The rumoured price is attractive and represents an all-time high share price. Therefore, Acatis KVG, the shareholder with a blocking stake, would be supportive.
The rumoured price implies multiples at a discount to peer multiples, which explains Mr Geiger’s ambitions for a possible European listing to secure higher valuation multiples. 


L’Occitane (973 HK): HK$35 Offer from the Controlling Shareholder?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> is drawing takeover interest from Reinold Geiger, the Chairman and the largest shareholder, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-25/l-occitane-owner-said-to-mull-buyout-of-4-billion-beauty-firm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">according to Bloomberg</a>. Mr Geiger has been exploring financing options for the potential deal.</li>
<li>The presence of a significant disinterested shareholder, Acatis KVG, necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Acatis KVG trimmed its stake in July 2021 at HK$30.01 per share.</li>
<li>L’Occitane released a solid <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0725/2023072500263.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">1QFY2024 update</a> today with constant currency growth of 24.5% YoY. Irrespective of a bid materialising, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples. </li>
</ul>



L'Occitane (973 HK) is drawing takeover interest from Reinold Geiger, the Chairman and the largest shareholder, according to Bloomberg. Mr Geiger has been exploring financing options for the potential deal.
The presence of a significant disinterested shareholder, Acatis KVG, necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Acatis KVG trimmed its stake in July 2021 at HK$30.01 per share.
L’Occitane released a solid 1QFY2024 update today with constant currency growth of 24.5% YoY. Irrespective of a bid materialising, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples. 


L’Occitane (973 HK): Controlling Shareholder Mulling a Bid?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s tropical island province of Hainan is to hand out 24 million yuan ($3.4 million) in spending vouchers to encourage tourists to splash out and reverse falling retail sales in the duty-free haven.</li><li>The provincial government said it will distribute the vouchers, including 9 million yuan to buy airline tickets and 15 million yuan for tax-free shopping, between late August and October.</li><li>The initial batch of flight ticket vouchers will apply to Hainan Airlines’ services, but other carriers can request to join the program, the government said.</li></ul>

China’s tropical island province of Hainan is to hand out 24 million yuan ($3.4 million) in spending vouchers to encourage tourists to splash out and reverse falling retail sales in the duty-free haven.The provincial government said it will distribute the vouchers, including 9 million yuan to buy airline tickets and 15 million yuan for tax-free shopping, between late August and October.The initial batch of flight ticket vouchers will apply to Hainan Airlines’ services, but other carriers can request to join the program, the government said.

China’s Duty-Free Haven Hands Out $3.4 Million Vouchers to Spur Spending 

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oddity Tech, owner of famous global brands IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild, is growing slower than in 2022 and 2023. The overall growth will slow down to ~20% y/y in 2025.</li>
<li>According to my estimates and SEC filings, private equity firm L Catterton, the largest shareholder, reduced its stake in Oddity Tech to 18.4%, down from ~42% prior to an IPO.</li>
<li>I see ~34% downside risk in Oddity Tech stock as growth will slow down and the company will launch new brands only in the second half of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Oddity Tech, owner of famous global brands IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild, is growing slower than in 2022 and 2023. The overall growth will slow down to ~20% y/y in 2025.
According to my estimates and SEC filings, private equity firm L Catterton, the largest shareholder, reduced its stake in Oddity Tech to 18.4%, down from ~42% prior to an IPO.
I see ~34% downside risk in Oddity Tech stock as growth will slow down and the company will launch new brands only in the second half of 2025.


Oddity Tech: ~34% Downside Risk As Growth Will Slow Down

United States

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets a wide range of skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products.  The Company's products are sold in countries and territories around the world.

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Estee Lauder Companies Cl A (EL US)

L’Occitane (973 HK): HK$35 Offer from the Controlling Shareholder?

Shares are currently in a trading halt. The rumoured offer price of HK$35 per share is attractive and represents an all-time high price. Therefore,...

Arun George

L’Occitane (973 HK): Controlling Shareholder Mulling a Bid?

The presence of a significant disinterested shareholder necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Irrespective of a bid materialising, the...

Arun George

Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will...

Sumeet Singh

China’s Duty-Free Haven Hands Out $3.4 Million Vouchers to Spur Spending

China’s tropical island province of Hainan is to hand out 24 million yuan ($3.4 million) in spending vouchers to encourage tourists to splash out...

Caixin Global

Oddity Tech: ~34% Downside Risk As Growth Will Slow Down

I see ~34% downside risk in Oddity Tech stock, reflecting lower peer multiples, heavy insider selling and continued slowdown in the beauty industry

Andrei Zakharov

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