IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>
</li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)

The lowest gross spreads are CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) 


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

<ul>
<li>Under the revised scheme consideration, each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> units at an issue price of S$0.4924.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


Under the revised scheme consideration, each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) units at an issue price of S$0.4924.
The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. 


ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quarz Capital’s <a href="https://www.bettermnact.com/_files/ugd/517105_02ef42e240d344b9a13b20fce5b8c5d1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">open letter</a> urges <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>.</li>
<li>MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   </li>
<li>MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   </li>
</ul>


Quarz Capital’s open letter urges Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP).
MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   
MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   


MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>With a little under a week to the Scheme Meeting, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a></strong> revised terms to S$0.097 cash plus 1.7729 new EREIT Units for each <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a></strong> unit.</li>
<li>The revised terms provide an indicative Offer price of S$0.933, a 5.3% increase over the original Scheme consideration. </li>
<li>The Scheme Meeting for ARA Logos  - and ESR's EGM - have been deferred. No definite timetable was provided for its rescheduling although late February is probably a reasonable estimate. </li>
</ul>


With a little under a week to the Scheme Meeting, ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) revised terms to S$0.097 cash plus 1.7729 new EREIT Units for each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unit.
The revised terms provide an indicative Offer price of S$0.933, a 5.3% increase over the original Scheme consideration. 
The Scheme Meeting for ARA Logos  - and ESR's EGM - have been deferred. No definite timetable was provided for its rescheduling although late February is probably a reasonable estimate. 


ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Sabana Industrial REIT / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>In December 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT</li>
<li>While Sabana's unitholders were ostensibly holding out for more favourable transaction terms, this was not forthcoming and transaction ultimately fell through</li>
<li>In this Insight, we look into Sabana a year on and discuss whether its unitholders have been left to rue the failed transaction and this was but a pyrrhic victory</li>
</ul>


In December 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT
While Sabana's unitholders were ostensibly holding out for more favourable transaction terms, this was not forthcoming and transaction ultimately fell through
In this Insight, we look into Sabana a year on and discuss whether its unitholders have been left to rue the failed transaction and this was but a pyrrhic victory


One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana's Unitholders?

Singapore

ESR-LOGOS Real Estate Investment Trust (“ESR-LOGOS REIT”) is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-LOGOS REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets.

As at 28 April 2022, ESR-LOGOS REIT holds interests in a diversified portfolio of logistics properties, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.5 billion. Its portfolio comprises 84 properties located across the developed markets of Singapore (63 assets) and Australia (21 assets), with a total gross floor area of approximately 2.4 million sqm, as well as investments in three property funds in Australia. ESR-LOGOS REIT is also a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index. 

ESR-LOGOS REIT is managed by ESR-LOGOS Funds Management (S) Limited (the “Manager”) and sponsored by the ESR Group (“ESR”). The Manager is owned by ESR (67.3%), Shanghai Summit Pte. Ltd. (25.0%), and Mitsui & Co., Ltd (7.7%), respectively.

For further information on ESR-LOGOS REIT, please visit www.esr-logosreit.com.sg.

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ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (41.2%), Razer (19.2%), 51 Job (16.0%), Uniti Group (9.8%), Link (8.6%), Sezzle (7.0%), Guodian...

Arun George

ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

ARA Logos and ESR-REIT merger scheme meeting is set for 21 March. The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. For a 28 April...

Arun George

MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.

Arun George

ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

I don't see the revised terms swaying the proxy advisors. The recent voting for Soilbuild Business Space REIT's Scheme was very close. 89.32% voted...

David Blennerhassett

One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana's Unitholders?

In Dec 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT. A year on, we look into Sabana and discuss whether its unitholders...

Jason Yap, CFA

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