Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Singapore government introduced a moratorium on new data centres in 2019</li>
<li>As result, incumbent data centre REITs recalibrated their portfolio strategy including to pursue DPU and NAV growth through accretive overseas acquisitions </li>
<li>In Q2 2022, the moratorium is expected to be lifted with conditional approvals for applicants that meet certain sustainability requirements. We discuss the implications for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85:1" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


Singapore government introduced a moratorium on new data centres in 2019
As result, incumbent data centre REITs recalibrated their portfolio strategy including to pursue DPU and NAV growth through accretive overseas acquisitions 
In Q2 2022, the moratorium is expected to be lifted with conditional approvals for applicants that meet certain sustainability requirements. We discuss the implications for Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) 


Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) - Imminent Lifting of SG Data Centre Moratorium and Its Implications

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The conversation revolves around the significant energy consumption of AI data centers and the potential consequences of this trend</li><li>Tech companies are facing the challenge of balancing their energy needs with their sustainability commitments</li><li>Brian Janus, a former energy hire at Microsoft and now co-founder of Cloverleaf Infrastructure, provides insight into this issue and potential solutions</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

The conversation revolves around the significant energy consumption of AI data centers and the potential consequences of this trendTech companies are facing the challenge of balancing their energy needs with their sustainability commitmentsBrian Janus, a former energy hire at Microsoft and now co-founder of Cloverleaf Infrastructure, provides insight into this issue and potential solutionsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

How Electric Utilities Will Handle Booming AI Datacenter Demand

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>’s US$8.60 per ADS offer from Bain Capital is conditional on dissenting shareholders representing less than 12% of outstanding shares. </li>
<li>Oasis Management, an activist fund, <a href="https://investor.chindatagroup.com/static-files/87aad398-55ac-469c-959f-849e42247988" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recently disclosed</a> a shareholding representing 65.9 million ordinary shares, 8.99% of outstanding shares and 1.24% of voting interest. </li>
<li>Precedent transactions where the dissent condition was exceeded suggest two possibilities – the offeror waives the condition or persuades sufficient shareholders to withdraw as dissenters.</li>
</ul>



Chindata Group (CD US)’s US$8.60 per ADS offer from Bain Capital is conditional on dissenting shareholders representing less than 12% of outstanding shares. 
Oasis Management, an activist fund, recently disclosed a shareholding representing 65.9 million ordinary shares, 8.99% of outstanding shares and 1.24% of voting interest. 
Precedent transactions where the dissent condition was exceeded suggest two possibilities – the offeror waives the condition or persuades sufficient shareholders to withdraw as dissenters.


Chindata (CD US): Maximum Dissent Condition in Focus as Oasis Builds a Stake

First Trust Dj Internet Ind / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.</li>
<li>The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.</li>
<li>A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.</li>
</ul>


Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.
The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.
A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.


Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

United States

Equinix Inc is a global colocation company offering data center space and power to customers. The Company centers offer direct interconnections to network providers, cloud service providers, and other customers. Equinix has extensive operations in North America, Europe, Asia, Dubai, and Brazil.

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Equinix Inc (EQIX US)

Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) - Imminent Lifting of SG Data Centre Moratorium and Its Implications

Singapore introduced a moratorium on new data centres which caused incumbents to recalibrate their strategy. With the moratorium expected to be...

Jason Yap, CFA

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

How Electric Utilities Will Handle Booming AI Datacenter Demand

The Odd Lots podcast delves into the issue of energy consumption in AI data centers and the potential impact on the environment, with guest speaker...

Odd Lots

Chindata (CD US): Maximum Dissent Condition in Focus as Oasis Builds a Stake

The transaction received shareholder approval. Dissenting shareholders represent 22.79% of outstanding shares vs. the requirement of less than 12%...

Arun George

Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

Our 8/22 expectations for oversold bounce coming to fruition as major multi-month supports hold $SPX $DJI $XLK $ACWI, & Treasury yields $TNX $TYX...

Vermilion Research

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