Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The likelihood of the merger review not being approved appears to be low. Additionally, the purchase of only 3.8M additional shares is required, leading to a negligible cancellation risk.</li>
<li>It is particularly noteworthy that the offering price of ₩30,000, targeting minority shareholders, may be adjusted upward depending on future share price increases.</li>
<li>While there is a potential allocation risk, as Medtronic aims to delist the company, they are unlikely to lower the target quantity in the tender offer to a risky level.</li>
</ul>


The likelihood of the merger review not being approved appears to be low. Additionally, the purchase of only 3.8M additional shares is required, leading to a negligible cancellation risk.
It is particularly noteworthy that the offering price of ₩30,000, targeting minority shareholders, may be adjusted upward depending on future share price increases.
While there is a potential allocation risk, as Medtronic aims to delist the company, they are unlikely to lower the target quantity in the tender offer to a risky level.


EOFlow Tender Offer: Preconditions for Closure, Cancellation Risk, & Targetable Allocation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 57 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 57 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include Sungeel Hitech, HPSP, CJ CGV, Sillajen, and Eoflow. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.
These 57 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 57 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include Sungeel Hitech, HPSP, CJ CGV, Sillajen, and Eoflow. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.
The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

<ul>
<li>The 2nd screening only deals with those who have passed the 1st screening. The 2nd screening does NOT include the first company to cross the threshold.</li>
<li>Lotte Confectionery will be the only addition to the KOSPI 200. Samyang Holdings or Hyundai Home Shopping Network will leave the index.</li>
<li>There will be ten changes in the KOSDAQ 150: eight regular &amp; two special entries. WCP's special entry still seems uncertain due to the GICS classification issue.</li>
</ul>


The 2nd screening only deals with those who have passed the 1st screening. The 2nd screening does NOT include the first company to cross the threshold.
Lotte Confectionery will be the only addition to the KOSPI 200. Samyang Holdings or Hyundai Home Shopping Network will leave the index.
There will be ten changes in the KOSDAQ 150: eight regular &amp; two special entries. WCP's special entry still seems uncertain due to the GICS classification issue.


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150: Rule Clarifications & Rebalancing Predictions

South Korea

Eoflow Co.,Ltd. develops and sells medical devices. The Company produces and sells wearable disposable insulin pumps and other products. Eoflow markets its products throughout Korea.

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Eoflow (294090 KS)

EOFlow Tender Offer: Preconditions for Closure, Cancellation Risk, & Targetable Allocation

This post gives comprehensive information about the tender offer to be made by Medtronic for EOFlow, including a discussion on the cancellation...

Sanghyun Park

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2023

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

There could be 11 changes at the Dec rebalance. Most changes are high probability and will result in a big churn in the IT & Healthcare sectors....

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150: Rule Clarifications & Rebalancing Predictions

This post clarifies some vague rules of the KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing and discusses the constituent changes in the December review.

Sanghyun Park

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