Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. 
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23:  Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.</li>
<li>This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net).</li>
<li>Serinus Energy (SEN LN): FY22 results – FY22 production was 889 boe/d including 379 boe/d in Romania and 510 boe/d in Tunisia.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.
This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net).
Serinus Energy (SEN LN): FY22 results – FY22 production was 889 boe/d including 379 boe/d in Romania and 510 boe/d in Tunisia.


<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: Positive drilling results at RCE-3 - RCE-3, the first well of the FY23 10 well drilling programme, has encountered 58 feet of net oil pay across seven hydrocarbon bearing intervals.</li><li>The total 58 feet of net pay compares with 55 feet in the RCS-1 well and 80 feet in the RCE-2 well.</li><li>Importantly, ~500 bbl/d net production comes from 16 feet in the C7 at RCE-2 while the C7A and C7B produces ~350 bbl/d (net) at RCS-1 from a total 38 feet of net pay.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: Positive drilling results at RCE-3 - RCE-3, the first well of the FY23 10 well drilling programme, has encountered 58 feet of net oil pay across seven hydrocarbon bearing intervals.The total 58 feet of net pay compares with 55 feet in the RCS-1 well and 80 feet in the RCE-2 well.Importantly, ~500 bbl/d net production comes from 16 feet in the C7 at RCE-2 while the C7A and C7B produces ~350 bbl/d (net) at RCS-1 from a total 38 feet of net pay.

<ul><li> Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the Montney in late January.</li><li>The Calima #2 test will further define the gas and condensate potential of the Middle Montney.</li><li>Decklar Resources (DKL CN)/San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Production update in Nigeria – Production from the Oza Oil Field has reached ~1,300 bbl/d.</li></ul>

 Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the Montney in late January.The Calima #2 test will further define the gas and condensate potential of the Middle Montney.Decklar Resources (DKL CN)/San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Production update in Nigeria – Production from the Oza Oil Field has reached ~1,300 bbl/d.

<ul><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: New wells deliver flow rates above expectations – The three new Sunburst wells (Gemini #10, #11 and #12) drilled in 4Q22 are now on production and on average are achieving IP30 rates 35% higher than forecast.</li><li>This compares with IP30 production of 120 boe/d gross for a type well.</li><li>Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.</li></ul>

Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: New wells deliver flow rates above expectations – The three new Sunburst wells (Gemini #10, #11 and #12) drilled in 4Q22 are now on production and on average are achieving IP30 rates 35% higher than forecast.This compares with IP30 production of 120 boe/d gross for a type well.Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.

Italy

Eni SpA explores for and produces hydrocarbons in Italy, Africa, the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Kazakhstan, and Australia. The Company both produces natural gas and imports it for sale in Italy and elsewhere in Europe. Eni transports natural gas in pipelines. The Company generates and trades electricity, refines oil, and operates gasoline service stations.

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Eni SpA (ENI IM)

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Vonovia SE (VNA GR) is a high-conviction DEL and Wolters Kluwer Nv (WKL NA) but Ferrari NV (RACE IM) are leading the race to take Vonovia's slot in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Auctus on Friday - 24/03/2023

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 24/02/2023

AXL: Positive drilling results at RCE-3 - RCE-3, the first well of the FY23 10 well drilling programme, has encountered 58 feet of net oil pay...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 20/01/2023

Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 13/01/2023

Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.

Auctus Advisors

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