Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.</li>
<li>However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.</li>
<li>The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>


EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.
However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.
The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We suggest selling MEGA (with there turn since it was first added at-0.50%), as the stock has fallen out of our top rankings.</li><li>Yesterday, our Big Cap portfolio generated a return of -0.03%, vs. the SET Index’s return of +0.25%, due to profit taking on stocks whose prices gained the day before, such as BDMS (-1.80%), MAJOR (-1.45%), BH (-0.81%), and MINT (-0.74%).</li><li><div><div><p>GULF is a holding company engaging in core businesses relating to the generation and distribution of power based on natural gas and alternative energy. The firm also invests in infrastructure and other related businesses.</p></div></div></li></ul>

We suggest selling MEGA (with there turn since it was first added at-0.50%), as the stock has fallen out of our top rankings.Yesterday, our Big Cap portfolio generated a return of -0.03%, vs. the SET Index’s return of +0.25%, due to profit taking on stocks whose prices gained the day before, such as BDMS (-1.80%), MAJOR (-1.45%), BH (-0.81%), and MINT (-0.74%).GULF is a holding company engaging in core businesses relating to the generation and distribution of power based on natural gas and alternative energy. The firm also invests in infrastructure and other related businesses.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Yesterday, our Big Cap portfolio generated a return of +0.33% vs. the SET Index’s return of +0.35%.</li><li>The share prices of stocks under the reopening theme showed healthy increases, namely BDMS (+2.78%), MAJOR (+1.47%) and CENTEL (+1.2%).</li><li><div><div><p>GULF is a holding company engaging in core businesses relating to the generation and distribution of power based on natural gas and alternative energy. </p></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div>

Yesterday, our Big Cap portfolio generated a return of +0.33% vs. the SET Index’s return of +0.35%.The share prices of stocks under the reopening theme showed healthy increases, namely BDMS (+2.78%), MAJOR (+1.47%) and CENTEL (+1.2%).GULF is a holding company engaging in core businesses relating to the generation and distribution of power based on natural gas and alternative energy. 

<ul><li>We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign investors’ short covering and the risk-on mode for risk assets.</li><li>This is based on the assumption that the Fed will slow down its interest rate hikes from September onward after inflation already peaked out on a MoM basis following lower commodity prices and the US economy entered a technical recession.</li><li>Investment strategy: Buy blue chip stocks whose prices have fallen since June and stocks expected to report good earnings results: We recommend JMT, JMART, SINGER, MTC, COM7, FORTH, CRC, DTAC, MEGA and EA.</li></ul>

We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign investors’ short covering and the risk-on mode for risk assets.This is based on the assumption that the Fed will slow down its interest rate hikes from September onward after inflation already peaked out on a MoM basis following lower commodity prices and the US economy entered a technical recession.Investment strategy: Buy blue chip stocks whose prices have fallen since June and stocks expected to report good earnings results: We recommend JMT, JMART, SINGER, MTC, COM7, FORTH, CRC, DTAC, MEGA and EA.

<ul><li>We recommend buying MEGA and MAJOR.</li><li>MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government ordering the suspension of loan repayments in foreign currencies.</li><li>The firm’s 2022E earnings are forecast to grow 8.68% YoY to Bt2,116mn, driven by the depreciation of the baht, the development of new projects and expansion to new markets with low competition.</li></ul>

We recommend buying MEGA and MAJOR.MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government ordering the suspension of loan repayments in foreign currencies.The firm’s 2022E earnings are forecast to grow 8.68% YoY to Bt2,116mn, driven by the depreciation of the baht, the development of new projects and expansion to new markets with low competition.

Thailand

Energy Absolute Public Company Limited engages in the research, development, and production of biodiesel products in Thailand.

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Energy Absolute (EA-R TB)

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets. However, there has been rapid growth in EV related investment recently, aiming...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Big Cap Tactical Picks - August 5, 2022

We suggest selling MEGA (with there turn since it was first added at-0.50%), as the stock has fallen out of our top rankings.

Krungthai XSpring

Big Cap Tactical Picks - August 4, 2022

Yesterday, our Big Cap portfolio generated a return of +0.33% vs. the SET Index’s return of +0.35%. The share prices of stocks under the reopening...

Krungthai XSpring

Monthly Report - August 2022

We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign...

Krungthai XSpring

Big Cap Tactical Picks - Aug 3, 2022

MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government

Krungthai XSpring

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