Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted (capped) market-value-weighted index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to be announced in early August 2023 based on trading data as of end-June 2023.</li>
</ul>


The JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted (capped) market-value-weighted index composed of 400 constituents.
A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.
Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to be announced in early August 2023 based on trading data as of end-June 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: Final Predictions for August 2023

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-revised-ipo-price-range-remains-unattractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106233" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive</a>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case, TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights and TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive. 
The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case and TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.


TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. 
In TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.


Japan

en-japan inc. provides Internet-based recruiting solutions. The Company provides recruitment information for job seekers. en-japan's web site allows member employers to access its database of job seekers. The Company also provides recruitment consulting services.

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en Japan Inc (4849 JP)

Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: Final Predictions for August 2023

I expect the JPX-Nikkei Index Changes announcement to be on 7th August 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to be at the close of 30th August...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TRYT IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best,...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and...

Arun George

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