Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

EML Payments reported FY23 revenue and underlying EBITDA ahead of the top-end of its guidance range, benefiting from higher interest income and improvements to customer contracts in H223. The company is making good progress with its short-term priorities, and while the Barrenjoey strategic review is ongoing, management has started taking action to return loss-making activities to profitability and to reinvigorate growth in its core businesses. We have upgraded our forecasts to reflect better-than-expected performance in FY23 and identified cost savings.

EML Payments reported FY23 revenue and underlying EBITDA ahead of the top-end of its guidance range, benefiting from higher interest income and improvements to customer contracts in H223. The company is making good progress with its short-term priorities, and while the Barrenjoey strategic review is ongoing, management has started taking action to return loss-making activities to profitability and to reinvigorate growth in its core businesses. We have upgraded our forecasts to reflect better-than-expected performance in FY23 and identified cost savings.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>There is nearly A$1bn to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40416:1" rel="noopener">Newmont (NEM AU)</a> due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.</li>
<li>There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cuscal-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40209:1" rel="noopener">Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU)</a> is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO.</li>
<li>Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.</li>
<li>In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO.
Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.
In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Cuscal IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

EML Payments has announced the appointment of a new interim CEO and a renewed focus to solve the immediate challenges facing the company. This includes strengthening support for the regulatory remediation process, optimising costs, targeting growth in core business areas and retaining talent. The board has also appointed Barrenjoey to conduct a strategic review of the business. We maintain our estimates.

EML Payments has announced the appointment of a new interim CEO and a renewed focus to solve the immediate challenges facing the company. This includes strengthening support for the regulatory remediation process, optimising costs, targeting growth in core business areas and retaining talent. The board has also appointed Barrenjoey to conduct a strategic review of the business. We maintain our estimates.

EML Payments - Shifting focus to solve current challenges

EML Payments’ H123 results reflected the changing mix of revenue (lower establishment fees and breakage, higher interest income), the effect of the ongoing remediation of regulatory issues in the European and UK PFS businesses and the restructuring of the group. With the Irish regulator raising additional concerns post results and applying a more stringent growth cap to EML’s Irish subsidiary, PFS Card Services Ireland Limited (PCSIL), the board has initiated a strategic review of the business.

EML Payments’ H123 results reflected the changing mix of revenue (lower establishment fees and breakage, higher interest income), the effect of the ongoing remediation of regulatory issues in the European and UK PFS businesses and the restructuring of the group. With the Irish regulator raising additional concerns post results and applying a more stringent growth cap to EML’s Irish subsidiary, PFS Card Services Ireland Limited (PCSIL), the board has initiated a strategic review of the business. 

Australia

EML Payments Limited is a financial services company that specializes in pre-paid financial cards.

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EML Payments Limited (EML AU)

EML Payments - Turning the ship around

EML Payments reported FY23 revenue and underlying EBITDA ahead of the top-end of its guidance range, benefiting from higher interest income and...

Edison Investment Research

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

Cuscal IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison and share our...

Clarence Chu

EML Payments - Shifting focus to solve current challenges

EML Payments has announced the appointment of a new interim CEO and a renewed focus to solve the immediate challenges facing the company. This...

Edison Investment Research

EML Payments - Considering its options

EML Payments’ H123 results reflected the changing mix of revenue (lower establishment fees and breakage, higher interest income), the effect of the...

Edison Investment Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EML Payments - Turning the ship around

EML Payments reported FY23 revenue and underlying EBITDA ahead of the top-end of its guidance range, benefiting from higher interest income and...

Edison Investment Research

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

Cuscal IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison and share our...

Clarence Chu

EML Payments - Shifting focus to solve current challenges

EML Payments has announced the appointment of a new interim CEO and a renewed focus to solve the immediate challenges facing the company. This...

Edison Investment Research

EML Payments - Considering its options

EML Payments’ H123 results reflected the changing mix of revenue (lower establishment fees and breakage, higher interest income), the effect of the...

Edison Investment Research

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell