US/Europe Event-Driven Analyst

John DeMasi

Event-Driven

On May 21, 2019 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20662" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20662:1">Crane Co (CR US)</a> announced a proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10244" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10244:1">Circor International (CIR US)</a>, a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators, actuators, and related engineered components for $45 per share in cash, for a total equity value of $895 million and a total enterprise value of $1.55 billion ($1.7 billion if net pension liability is included). The proposal price of $45 represents a 47% premium over the May 20, 2019 CIR US closing price of $30.66. Crane held a conference call and released a slide presentation on its proposal with more details. In this piece I evaluate the proposal and the impediments standing in Crane’s way of winning this deal.

On May 21, 2019 Crane Co (CR US) announced a proposal to acquire Circor International (CIR US), a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators, actuators, and related engineered components for $45 per share in cash, for a total equity value of $895 million and a total enterprise value of $1.55 billion ($1.7 billion if net pension liability is included). The proposal price of $45 represents a 47% premium over the May 20, 2019 CIR US closing price of $30.66. Crane held a conference call and released a slide presentation on its proposal with more details. In this piece I evaluate the proposal and the impediments standing in Crane’s way of winning this deal.

Crane Co. Proposal to Acquire CIRCOR International – Actuator Wanted

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

As we write this, the tweet from President Trump regarding an imminent spike in tariffs on Chinese goods has caught financial markets around the world off guard. We believe the reactions are likely just a flash in the pan. This tweet, like many others, should be taken as nothing more than negotiation tactics lifted right out of a chapter from “The Art of the Deal”. We have been subjected to untold Tweets in the last few years and the reactions generally seem to have been about as long-lived as their character count. Despite the noise, the markets remain on a firm footing.  In our Macro Vision publication, we lay out our U.S. equity investment thesis and provide a technical appraisal of the market Sector by Sector, along with attractive investment opportunities within each.

As we write this, the tweet from President Trump regarding an imminent spike in tariffs on Chinese goods has caught financial markets around the world off guard. We believe the reactions are likely just a flash in the pan. This tweet, like many others, should be taken as nothing more than negotiation tactics lifted right out of a chapter from “The Art of the Deal”. We have been subjected to untold Tweets in the last few years and the reactions generally seem to have been about as long-lived as their character count. Despite the noise, the markets remain on a firm footing.  In our Macro Vision publication, we lay out our U.S. equity investment thesis and provide a technical appraisal of the market Sector by Sector, along with attractive investment opportunities within each.

U.S. Equity Strategy: The Tweet Heard ‘Round the World

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight.  The following industry groups are represented: Aero/Defense, Auto Parts , Industrial Rental Equipment, Building Products &amp; Fixtures.<ul><li>List of highlighted charts: ALV, BDC, BLDR, CW, EMR, HDNG, HEES, HII, HURC, HXL, ITT, KAMN, LCII, LNN, MGRC, MLR, MOD, NNBR, NPO, PCAR, SPAR, SSD, SXI, TEX, TRN, TRS, TXT, URI, VICR, VMI, WSO, WTS</li></ul>

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight.  The following industry groups are represented: Aero/Defense, Auto Parts , Industrial Rental Equipment, Building Products &amp; Fixtures.List of highlighted charts: ALV, BDC, BLDR, CW, EMR, HDNG, HEES, HII, HURC, HXL, ITT, KAMN, LCII, LNN, MGRC, MLR, MOD, NNBR, NPO, PCAR, SPAR, SSD, SXI, TEX, TRN, TRS, TXT, URI, VICR, VMI, WSO, WTS

U.S. Manufacturing Sector Breaking Out to All-Time Relative Strength Highs; Actionable Stocks

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the Europe-Asia container trade in February and March and European exporters face highly unusual space crunch. This is highly unusual for a ‘back-haul’ route where ship utilization rarely reaches 70%. Carriers charged an ‘emergency minimum rate’ to accept bookings and some of them have put a stop to bookings until mid-April. Boxes already on the quay are getting…

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the Europe-Asia container trade in February and March and European exporters face highly unusual space crunch. This is highly unusual for a ‘back-haul’ route where ship utilization rarely reaches 70%. Carriers charged an ‘emergency minimum rate’ to accept bookings and some of them have put a stop to bookings until mid-April. Boxes already on the quay are getting…

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for Carriers

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near term valuations seem undemanding to us and are at risk of running ahead of fundamentals. The bottoming out process in 2016 and subsequent run up in 2017 has been on the back of reversal in asset values, narrowing supply-demand imbalance and expectations of supportive commodity demand. We have earlier talked about the sector under ownership and…

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near term valuations seem undemanding to us and are at risk of running ahead of fundamentals. The bottoming out process in 2016 and subsequent run up in 2017 has been on the back of reversal in asset values, narrowing supply-demand imbalance and expectations of supportive commodity demand. We have earlier talked about the sector under ownership and…

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It's Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a Breather

United States

Emerson Electric Co. designs and manufactures electronic and electrical equipment, software, systems and services for industrial, commercial and consumer markets worldwide through its network power, process management, industrial automation, climate technologies and commercial & residential solutions divisions.

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Emerson Electric Co (EMR US)

Crane Co. Proposal to Acquire CIRCOR International – Actuator Wanted

On May 21, 2019 Crane Co (CR US) announced a proposal to acquire Circor International (CIR US), a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators,...

John DeMasi

U.S. Equity Strategy: The Tweet Heard ‘Round the World

As we write this, the tweet from President Trump regarding an imminent spike in tariffs on Chinese goods has caught financial markets around the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Manufacturing Sector Breaking Out to All-Time Relative Strength Highs; Actionable Stocks

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight. The following industry groups are...

Vermilion Research

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for Carriers

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It's Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a Breather

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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