HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Although both Republicans and Democrats have policies related to supply chain security/lowering drug prices, they have taken different approaches. Harris is likely to be “a continuation of the Biden policy”. </li>
<li>Harris would continue Biden’s strategy of “wooing India to contain China” and developing a pro-US supply chain system that isolates China.Her future policy direction may be more "predictable" than Trump's.</li>
<li>Whether Trump or Harris is elected as President of the US, there's a high possibility that the US will continue to confront China in the fields of biosecurity and biotechnology.</li>
</ul>


Although both Republicans and Democrats have policies related to supply chain security/lowering drug prices, they have taken different approaches. Harris is likely to be “a continuation of the Biden policy”. 
Harris would continue Biden’s strategy of “wooing India to contain China” and developing a pro-US supply chain system that isolates China.Her future policy direction may be more "predictable" than Trump's.
Whether Trump or Harris is elected as President of the US, there's a high possibility that the US will continue to confront China in the fields of biosecurity and biotechnology.


What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd-94df40cf-c15e-462f-b3de-8d2d434ae935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36261:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab (9688 HK)</a> announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a> sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.

Zai Lab (9688 HK) announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, SRRK gained from muscle-building data in SMA, with positive read-through for obesity and BHVN.</li><li>WW joined HIMS in selling NVO GLP-1 copies, while the FDA backed off on LLY copiers after a lawsuit.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, SRRK gained from muscle-building data in SMA, with positive read-through for obesity and BHVN.WW joined HIMS in selling NVO GLP-1 copies, while the FDA backed off on LLY copiers after a lawsuit.

Biopharma Week in Review - October 14, 2024

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> has reiterated FY25 guidance, indicating sequentially better financial performance in Q2FY25 as well as H2FY25. Overseas business and royalty income are on strong footing.</li>
<li>Shionogi has acquired the exclusive distribution rights for Quviviq in Japan. With better efficacy and safety profile, and sizable patient population, Quviviq should be a significant revenue contributor.</li>
<li>Shionogi submitted NDA in Japan for zuranolone, a treatment in development for major depressive disorder (MDD). Approval is expected in H1FY26.</li>
</ul>



Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) has reiterated FY25 guidance, indicating sequentially better financial performance in Q2FY25 as well as H2FY25. Overseas business and royalty income are on strong footing.
Shionogi has acquired the exclusive distribution rights for Quviviq in Japan. With better efficacy and safety profile, and sizable patient population, Quviviq should be a significant revenue contributor.
Shionogi submitted NDA in Japan for zuranolone, a treatment in development for major depressive disorder (MDD). Approval is expected in H1FY26.


Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Performance to Improve in H2; Upcoming Drugs to Accelerate Growth

<ul>
<li>Anhui’s new VBP included OTC TCM for the first time, which poses a big challenge to the pricing autonomy of CR Sanjiu. This makes Sanjiu's acquisition of Tasly more important/urgent. </li>
<li>Novo Nordisk's performance has raised concerns. The capacity bottleneck for weight-loss drugs seems resolved. Could this signal that the market for weight-loss drugs is reaching its peak?</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)</a>’s CM310 will miss this year’s NRDL negotiations, putting the company at a disadvantage. Considering the competitive landscape, we are concerned about Keymed’s performance.</li>
</ul>


Anhui’s new VBP included OTC TCM for the first time, which poses a big challenge to the pricing autonomy of CR Sanjiu. This makes Sanjiu's acquisition of Tasly more important/urgent. 
Novo Nordisk's performance has raised concerns. The capacity bottleneck for weight-loss drugs seems resolved. Could this signal that the market for weight-loss drugs is reaching its peak?

Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)’s CM310 will miss this year’s NRDL negotiations, putting the company at a disadvantage. Considering the competitive landscape, we are concerned about Keymed’s performance.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

United States

Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products for humans and animals.  The Company's products are sold in countries around the world.  Eli Lilly's products include neuroscience products, endocrine products, anti-infectives, cardiovascular agents, oncology products, and animal health products.

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Eli Lilly & Co (LLY US)

What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Harris could be “a continuation of Biden's policy” , making her future policy direction more "predictable" .But the US will continue to confront...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Samsung Biologics secures largest ever contract, Celltrion announced KRW100B buyback, Astellas Pharma got label expansion approval for Vyloy,...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - October 14, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, SRRK gained from...

Water Tower Research

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Performance to Improve in H2; Upcoming Drugs to Accelerate Growth

Shionogi reiterates FY25 guidance, showing improved financial performance in Q2FY25 and H2FY25. The company has acquired distribution rights for...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Harris could be “a continuation of Biden's policy” , making her future policy direction more "predictable" .But the US will continue to confront...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Samsung Biologics secures largest ever contract, Celltrion announced KRW100B buyback, Astellas Pharma got label expansion approval for Vyloy,...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - October 14, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, SRRK gained from...

Water Tower Research

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Performance to Improve in H2; Upcoming Drugs to Accelerate Growth

​Shionogi reiterates FY25 guidance, showing improved financial performance in Q2FY25 and H2FY25. The company has acquired distribution rights for...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

​Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shionogi reiterates FY25 guidance, showing improved financial performance in Q2FY25 and H2FY25. The company has acquired distribution rights for...

Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...