Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The new head of Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) Chairman Lim Jong-Ryong recently revealed his willingness to acquire a major/mid-scale securities company.</li>
<li>Among these potential acquisition candidates, Samsung Securities is considered to be the most likely securities companies that could be purchased by Woori Financial Group.</li>
<li>In the long term (next 2-3 years), there is a good probability that Woori Financial Group could acquire Samsung Securities, which is not a core business of the Samsung Group.</li>
</ul>


The new head of Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) Chairman Lim Jong-Ryong recently revealed his willingness to acquire a major/mid-scale securities company.
Among these potential acquisition candidates, Samsung Securities is considered to be the most likely securities companies that could be purchased by Woori Financial Group.
In the long term (next 2-3 years), there is a good probability that Woori Financial Group could acquire Samsung Securities, which is not a core business of the Samsung Group.


Will Woori Financial Group Acquire Samsung Securities?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>For KOSDAQ 150, SillaJen and WCP made it to the index. As for deletions, Intron Biotechnology, Ebest I&amp;S, and Devsisters are additional names to leave the index through regular review.</li>
<li>Lotte Confectionery and Samyang Holdings do not have sizeable DTV. And they were fully expected. Nevertheless, the passive impact is so significant that the LONG/SHORT approach still seems valid.</li>
<li>We should focus on KOSDAQ 150 inclusions whose return has been high due to the inflow to secure a borrow pool for short-selling on top of the preemptive rebalancing flow.</li>
</ul>


For KOSDAQ 150, SillaJen and WCP made it to the index. As for deletions, Intron Biotechnology, Ebest I&amp;S, and Devsisters are additional names to leave the index through regular review.
Lotte Confectionery and Samyang Holdings do not have sizeable DTV. And they were fully expected. Nevertheless, the passive impact is so significant that the LONG/SHORT approach still seems valid.
We should focus on KOSDAQ 150 inclusions whose return has been high due to the inflow to secure a borrow pool for short-selling on top of the preemptive rebalancing flow.


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Constituent Changes: Several Surprises

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.
The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

South Korea

EBEST Investment & Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial services, such as online brokerage for both domestic and international financial products. The  Company also offers banking and lending services for individual investors and corporations.

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Ebest Investment & Securitie (078020 KS)

Will Woori Financial Group Acquire Samsung Securities?

In the long term (next 2-3 years), there is a good probability that Woori Financial Group could acquire Samsung Securities, which is not a core...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Constituent Changes: Several Surprises

This post details the constituent changes of the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 and highlights several surprises along with the passive flow estimations.

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

There could be 11 changes at the Dec rebalance. Most changes are high probability and will result in a big churn in the IT & Healthcare sectors....

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

There could be 10 changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

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