European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Permira and Blackstone announced a NOK 115.0/share offer, two months after their approach was unveiled. 3-month VWAP premium is 52.6%. The offer represents 18.3x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA (vs. 14.6x comparables)</li>
<li>The three largest shareholders (c.72.3%) communicated at the outset their support, so it's a done deal. 90% condition can be waived. Board says price "financially fair", but cannot recommend it.</li>
<li>I set my TP at NOK 115. The consortium could achieve an IRR of 17.8% by year 8. Spread is 3.3%/6.65% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 31 May). Long.</li>
</ul>


Permira and Blackstone announced a NOK 115.0/share offer, two months after their approach was unveiled. 3-month VWAP premium is 52.6%. The offer represents 18.3x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA (vs. 14.6x comparables)
The three largest shareholders (c.72.3%) communicated at the outset their support, so it's a done deal. 90% condition can be waived. Board says price "financially fair", but cannot recommend it.
I set my TP at NOK 115. The consortium could achieve an IRR of 17.8% by year 8. Spread is 3.3%/6.65% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 31 May). Long.


<ul>
<li>An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adevinta-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35679:1" rel="noopener">Adevinta ASA (ADE NO)</a>, which says the talks are in an early phase.</li>
<li>By applying a 30% premium, the potential offer price would be NOK 111.5/share (18.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA, IBES consensus). A leveraged buyer could obtain an 18% IRR by year 8.</li>
<li>Adevinta trades (COM 26 September) at 17.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA (vs. 16.4x median of comparables), so we can say the shares look fairly valued. Downside looks limited. I'd be long.</li>
</ul>


An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for Adevinta ASA (ADE NO), which says the talks are in an early phase.
By applying a 30% premium, the potential offer price would be NOK 111.5/share (18.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA, IBES consensus). A leveraged buyer could obtain an 18% IRR by year 8.
Adevinta trades (COM 26 September) at 17.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA (vs. 16.4x median of comparables), so we can say the shares look fairly valued. Downside looks limited. I'd be long.


Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Potential LBO

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>eBay delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter, with revenues well below analyst expectations but managed an earnings beat.</li><li>Over the past three years, eBay's tech-led re-imagination journey aimed to become the best global marketplace, focusing on products that provide value and meaningful customer choices.</li><li>The management is working towards overhauling the user experience and design to offer personalized browsing experiences and are rapidly deploying AI-driven features like Magical Listing.</li></ul>

eBay delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter, with revenues well below analyst expectations but managed an earnings beat.Over the past three years, eBay's tech-led re-imagination journey aimed to become the best global marketplace, focusing on products that provide value and meaningful customer choices.The management is working towards overhauling the user experience and design to offer personalized browsing experiences and are rapidly deploying AI-driven features like Magical Listing.

eBay Inc.: Enhancing The Fashion Shopping Experience With The Certilogo Acquisition! – Key Drivers

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges, eBay generated better-than-expected results across all major financial and operational indicators including revenues and earnings. eBay's growth is particularly noticeable in its targeted categories, which had low single-digit year-over-year growth.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges, eBay generated better-than-expected results across all major financial and operational indicators including revenues and earnings. eBay's growth is particularly noticeable in its targeted categories, which had low single-digit year-over-year growth.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

eBay Inc.: An Interesting Set Of New Initiatives That Could Help Crush The Market – Key Drivers

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsales-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU)</a> aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at 28.2 days of three month ADV. </li>
<li>The use of proceeds will be to acquire 40% of Webmotors SA and strengthen its balance sheet. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU) aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at 28.2 days of three month ADV. 
The use of proceeds will be to acquire 40% of Webmotors SA and strengthen its balance sheet. 
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Carsales Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Following up on a Decade-Old Acquisition

United States

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

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Ebay Inc (EBAY US)

Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Firm Offer

Permira and Blackstone have made a NOK 115.0/share offer for a company, with the support of its three largest shareholders (72.3%). The board...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Potential LBO

An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for Adevinta ASA (ADE NO), which says the talks are in an...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

eBay Inc.: Enhancing The Fashion Shopping Experience With The Certilogo Acquisition! – Key Drivers

eBay delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter, with revenues well below analyst expectations but managed an earnings beat. Over...

Baptista Research

eBay Inc.: An Interesting Set Of New Initiatives That Could Help Crush The Market – Key Drivers

Despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges, eBay generated better-than-expected results across all major financial and operational indicators...

Baptista Research

Carsales Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Following up on a Decade-Old Acquisition

Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU) aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Firm Offer

​Permira and Blackstone have made a NOK 115.0/share offer for a company, with the support of its three largest shareholders (72.3%). The board...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Potential LBO

An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for Adevinta ASA (ADE NO), which says the talks are in an...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

eBay Inc.: Enhancing The Fashion Shopping Experience With The Certilogo Acquisition! – Key Drivers

eBay delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter, with revenues well below analyst expectations but managed an earnings beat. Over...

Baptista Research

eBay Inc.: An Interesting Set Of New Initiatives That Could Help Crush The Market – Key Drivers

Despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges, eBay generated better-than-expected results across all major financial and operational indicators...

Baptista Research

Carsales Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Following up on a Decade-Old Acquisition

Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU) aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at...

Ethan Aw

Permira and Blackstone have made a NOK 115.0/share offer for a company, with the support of its three largest shareholders (72.3%). The board...