Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. </li>
<li>This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.</li>
<li>The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. 
This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.
The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). </li>
<li>Back on 1 August 2022, we recommended a pair trade between E Mart Inc (139480 KS) (long) and Coupang (CPNG US) (short).</li>
<li>This pair trade has worked well in the past five months and we continue to like this pair trade (long Emart and short Coupang).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). 
Back on 1 August 2022, we recommended a pair trade between E Mart Inc (139480 KS) (long) and Coupang (CPNG US) (short).
This pair trade has worked well in the past five months and we continue to like this pair trade (long Emart and short Coupang).


An Update to Our Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>To MID migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iljin-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Iljin Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL (180640 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">OCI (010060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a>
</li>
<li>To LARGE migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cs-wind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4883:1" rel="noopener">CS Wind (112610 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International (047050 KS)</a> </li>
<li>This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.</li>
</ul>


To MID migrants: Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), E Mart (139480 KS), Iljin Materials (020150 KS), Hanjin KAL (180640 KS), OCI (010060 KS), LX Semicon (108320 KS), and SOCAR (403550 KS)

To LARGE migrants: Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), CS Wind (112610 KS), and Posco International (047050 KS) 
This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.


KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

<ul>
<li>The Korea FSC finalized the additional investor protection measures: 1. stricter disclosure rules, 2. tighter listing requirements, and 3. mandatory appraisal rights.</li>
<li>The retroactive application period is five years. Companies that have been split off five years ago from the effective date are also subject to these new rules.</li>
<li>We can play LONG/SHORT aimed at staggered spreads, considering that the pricing period is 2M VWAP and that a downward price revision intensifies towards the announcement with mandatory appraisal rights.</li>
</ul>


The Korea FSC finalized the additional investor protection measures: 1. stricter disclosure rules, 2. tighter listing requirements, and 3. mandatory appraisal rights.
The retroactive application period is five years. Companies that have been split off five years ago from the effective date are also subject to these new rules.
We can play LONG/SHORT aimed at staggered spreads, considering that the pricing period is 2M VWAP and that a downward price revision intensifies towards the announcement with mandatory appraisal rights.


New Regulations on Split-Off Listing in Korea: Complete Details & Trading Implications

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.</li>
<li>The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.</li>
<li>Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.
The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.
Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. 


A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

South Korea

E-MART Inc. operates E-Mart discount stores. The Company retails food, clothing, household goods, electronics, and other items through several branch stores.

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E Mart Inc (139480 KS)

Oasis Corp IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share, which is 18.5% lower than...

Douglas Kim

An Update to Our Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang

We discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). Emart is a value stock with its shares trading at 0.2x P/B (2023)....

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

This post screens migrant candidates of the KOSPI Size Index Series, scheduled for rebalancing in March, as we are one-fourth into the screening...

Sanghyun Park

New Regulations on Split-Off Listing in Korea: Complete Details & Trading Implications

This post details the new rules applicable to the split-off listings in Korea, which the Korea FSC finalized yesterday and will be effective as...

Sanghyun Park

A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang...

Douglas Kim

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