TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Strong growth continues....GOV grew 30%, 2% ahead of consensus..no macro headwinds.</li>
<li>New "disclosures" imply the core business is more profitable then presumed, rationalizing management's investments in new businesses.</li>
<li>Beat and Raise...one of the few online platforms to do this in the current environment...in a business (food delivery) that most didn't think was habitual LT.</li>
</ul>


Strong growth continues....GOV grew 30%, 2% ahead of consensus..no macro headwinds.
New "disclosures" imply the core business is more profitable then presumed, rationalizing management's investments in new businesses.
Beat and Raise...one of the few online platforms to do this in the current environment...in a business (food delivery) that most didn't think was habitual LT.


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>The food-delivery company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deliveroo-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27468:1" rel="noopener">Deliveroo (ROO LN)</a>  initiated the stock buyback program and will purchase up to <strong>£75M</strong> worth of shares to reassure investors. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deliveroo-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27468:1" rel="noopener">Deliveroo (ROO LN)</a>  is down ~77% from the IPO price as Covid lockdown restrictions have ended and revenue growth slowed significantly. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deliveroo-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27468:1" rel="noopener">Deliveroo (ROO LN)</a>  currently trades at 0.1x EV/2022E GMV, a discount relative to its key peers that trade at an average of 0.3x EV/2022E GMV.  </li>
</ul>


The food-delivery company Deliveroo (ROO LN)  initiated the stock buyback program and will purchase up to £75M worth of shares to reassure investors. 

Deliveroo (ROO LN)  is down ~77% from the IPO price as Covid lockdown restrictions have ended and revenue growth slowed significantly. 

Deliveroo (ROO LN)  currently trades at 0.1x EV/2022E GMV, a discount relative to its key peers that trade at an average of 0.3x EV/2022E GMV.  


Deliveroo Has £1B+ Of Dry Powder; The Stock Is Undervalued, £75M Buyback Will Reassure Investors

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Vision Fund's public portfolio lost $10bn in Q1 marking the third time in four quarters that valuation losses were in the tens of billions</li>
<li>Global tech weaness remains the main challenge as portfolio losses are matched with concerns on the private portfolio, especially ARM</li>
<li>And worries about ARM also feed into leverage concerns as Softbank's QoQ decline in reported LTV was driven by an ARM upgrade.  Meanwhile, CDS prices are near all-time highs</li>
</ul>


Vision Fund's public portfolio lost $10bn in Q1 marking the third time in four quarters that valuation losses were in the tens of billions
Global tech weaness remains the main challenge as portfolio losses are matched with concerns on the private portfolio, especially ARM
And worries about ARM also feed into leverage concerns as Softbank's QoQ decline in reported LTV was driven by an ARM upgrade.  Meanwhile, CDS prices are near all-time highs


Softbank Group - First Look at Q1 22 Performance

<ul>
<li>Just Eat Takeaway's Grubhub $7.3B acquisition has been a fiasco, an activist is demanding its sale.</li>
<li>A rumored $1B price tag has attracted private equity investors Apollo and General Atlantic, but management yesterday said it preferred a strategic investment.</li>
<li>We think Uber should make a bid - the deal logic from 2 years ago still holds and Doordash's market share gains should blunt anti trust concerns.</li>
</ul>


Just Eat Takeaway's Grubhub $7.3B acquisition has been a fiasco, an activist is demanding its sale.
A rumored $1B price tag has attracted private equity investors Apollo and General Atlantic, but management yesterday said it preferred a strategic investment.
We think Uber should make a bid - the deal logic from 2 years ago still holds and Doordash's market share gains should blunt anti trust concerns.


Is Grubhub’s Uncertain Future Opportunity for Uber?

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> continues to innovate and adapt to more challenging times, with a needle focus on moving toward profitability with ongoing efforts to reduce incentives and rationalise non-core businesses.</li>
<li>The launch of GrabMaps is interesting in that it has the potential to generate new revenue streams, create substantial cost savings, and enable targeted advertising adding to the enterprise segment.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a>  has cash liquidity of US$8.2bn, which makes it look cheap relative to its market cap of only US$8.9bn and it is trading on 2.0x FY2023E EV/Sales. </li>
</ul>



Grab continues to innovate and adapt to more challenging times, with a needle focus on moving toward profitability with ongoing efforts to reduce incentives and rationalise non-core businesses.
The launch of GrabMaps is interesting in that it has the potential to generate new revenue streams, create substantial cost savings, and enable targeted advertising adding to the enterprise segment.

Grab (GRAB US)  has cash liquidity of US$8.2bn, which makes it look cheap relative to its market cap of only US$8.9bn and it is trading on 2.0x FY2023E EV/Sales. 


Grab (GRAB US) - Mapping Out a More Prudent Future

United States

DoorDash, Inc. provides restaurant food delivery services. The Company develops technology to connect customers with merchants through an on-demand food delivery application. DoorDash serves customers in the United States.

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DoorDash (DASH US)

Doordash 3Q22: Is DASH the COVID Winner?

DoorDash's earnings results (didn't really) shook our short thesis to its core. DoorDash quasi proved its core business isn't horrible. It remains...

Aaron Gabin

Deliveroo Has £1B+ Of Dry Powder; The Stock Is Undervalued, £75M Buyback Will Reassure Investors

Deliveroo is down ~77% from the IPO price, and we think the stock buyback program will reassure investors, keep in mind a solid balance sheet and...

Andrei Zakharov

Softbank Group - First Look at Q1 22 Performance

Public valuation losses again exceeded $10bn as a last day meltdown for SenseTime marred an otherwise stable quarter for China. Global tech,...

Kirk Boodry

Is Grubhub’s Uncertain Future Opportunity for Uber?

We think TKWY's fumbling of the Grubhub acquisition is an opportunity for Uber to revisit a strategically sound combination proposed in 2020...for...

Aaron Gabin

Grab (GRAB US) - Mapping Out a More Prudent Future

Grab continues to innovate and adapt to more challenging times, with a focus on moving toward profitability with ongoing efforts to reduce...

Angus Mackintosh

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