Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Hua Hong Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. </li>
<li>Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.</li>
<li>As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.</li>
</ul>


After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. 
Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.
As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.</li>
<li>Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business</li>
<li>Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.</li>
</ul>


China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.
Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business
Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A number of China’s conventional carmakers have launched or announced new hybrid models in an attempt to capitalize on the growing popularity of the cars as range anxiety persists among customers curious about going electric.</li><li>State-owned automaker Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd. on Saturday unveiled the Aeolus L7 SUV, which it touted as the first model built with its novel hybrid car technology that allows the vehicle to operate as either a plug-in hybrid or an extended-range hybrid.</li><li>Plug-in hybrids use batteries to power an electric motor and fossil fuels to power an internal combustion engine. While on the road, they can use fuel, battery power or a mix of the two to run.</li></ul>

A number of China’s conventional carmakers have launched or announced new hybrid models in an attempt to capitalize on the growing popularity of the cars as range anxiety persists among customers curious about going electric.State-owned automaker Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd. on Saturday unveiled the Aeolus L7 SUV, which it touted as the first model built with its novel hybrid car technology that allows the vehicle to operate as either a plug-in hybrid or an extended-range hybrid.Plug-in hybrids use batteries to power an electric motor and fossil fuels to power an internal combustion engine. While on the road, they can use fuel, battery power or a mix of the two to run.

China’s Conventional Carmakers Try to Cash In on Hybrids’ Growing Popularity 

<ul><li>Coffee / In Depth: Luckin challenger pushes China’s coffee price war toward boiling point</li><li>Huawei /In Depth: Huawei’s HarmonyOS Next is set to rival iOS and Android</li><li>Corruption /: Two officials of China’s non-communist political parties caught up in corruption investigations</li></ul>

Coffee / In Depth: Luckin challenger pushes China’s coffee price war toward boiling pointHuawei /In Depth: Huawei’s HarmonyOS Next is set to rival iOS and AndroidCorruption /: Two officials of China’s non-communist political parties caught up in corruption investigations

CX Daily: Huawei’s HarmonyOS Next Is Set to Rival iOS and Android 

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

China

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

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Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

Tech NEV companies continue to dominate the research landscape for Hong Kong coverage. Bosideng, China Water Affairs, Topsports, BYD and Xiaomi...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

China had positive flows into equity ETF's for June and mainland investors continued to direct money to Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect...

David Mudd

China’s Conventional Carmakers Try to Cash In on Hybrids’ Growing Popularity

A number of China’s conventional carmakers have launched or announced new hybrid models in an attempt to capitalize on the growing popularity of...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Huawei’s HarmonyOS Next Is Set to Rival iOS and Android

Coffee / In Depth: Luckin challenger pushes China’s coffee price war toward boiling point China’s coffee market is in the midst of a price war,...

Caixin Global

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

The 90% minimum acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer and poor minority AGM/EGM participation rates. Risk/reward...

Arun George

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