External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 18.5% (four-year CAGR: 19.9%)</li><li>Sales density remains sub-par vis-a-vis the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.3k/sq ft in Q2FY24 vs INR36.6k/sq ft in Q2FY20)</li><li>Lower discretionary purchases vs pre-pandemic levels (general merchandise’s contribution trending towards pre-pandemic times though) kept underlying profitability/unit economics weak</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 18.5% (four-year CAGR: 19.9%)Sales density remains sub-par vis-a-vis the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.3k/sq ft in Q2FY24 vs INR36.6k/sq ft in Q2FY20)Lower discretionary purchases vs pre-pandemic levels (general merchandise’s contribution trending towards pre-pandemic times though) kept underlying profitability/unit economics weakContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts - Margin Pressure Continues

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Financial Performance: DMART Q2FY24 reported consolidated revenue growth of 19% YoY (20% on a 4-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 12,624 Cr.</li><li>The growth was led by FMCG and Staples segments while the General Merchandise and Apparel segments remained weakas expected.</li><li>The company’s gross margins stood at 14.7%, down 45bps YoY, signifying stress in high-margin general merchandise and the apparel business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Financial Performance: DMART Q2FY24 reported consolidated revenue growth of 19% YoY (20% on a 4-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 12,624 Cr.The growth was led by FMCG and Staples segments while the General Merchandise and Apparel segments remained weakas expected.The company’s gross margins stood at 14.7%, down 45bps YoY, signifying stress in high-margin general merchandise and the apparel business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts Ltd - General Merchandise & Apparel Yet to Recover

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25</li><li>However, a few exceptional names drive up the average</li><li>In retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding days</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25However, a few exceptional names drive up the averageIn retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding daysContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

<ul><li>Titan: Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 21.8% YoY to INR98.24bn (HSIE: 105.62bn)</li><li>Domestic standalone jewellery sales (ex-bullion) grew 20%</li><li>Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional expenses to defend market share</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Titan: Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 21.8% YoY to INR98.24bn (HSIE: 105.62bn)Domestic standalone jewellery sales (ex-bullion) grew 20%Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional expenses to defend market shareContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Avenue Supermarts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

India

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (ASL) owns and operates hypermarkets and supermarkets. The Company offers products such as garments, footwears, toys and games, bed and bath linen, stationery, grocery, household, and electronic products. ASL operates throughout India.

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Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)

Avenue Supermarts - Margin Pressure Continues

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 18.5% (four-year CAGR: 19.9%) Sales density remains sub-par vis-a-vis the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.3k/sq ft in...

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts Ltd - General Merchandise & Apparel Yet to Recover

Financial Performance: DMART Q2FY24 reported consolidated revenue growth of 19% YoY (20% on a 4-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 12,624 Cr.

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Avenue Supermarts

Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Avenue Supermarts - Margin Pressure Continues

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 18.5% (four-year CAGR: 19.9%) Sales density remains sub-par vis-a-vis the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.3k/sq ft in...

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts Ltd - General Merchandise & Apparel Yet to Recover

Financial Performance: DMART Q2FY24 reported consolidated revenue growth of 19% YoY (20% on a 4-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 12,624 Cr.

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Avenue Supermarts

Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional...

HDFC Securities

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research