Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 16 May, it was reported that the Korean financial regulators have approved DGB Daegu Bank to become the 7th commercial bank in Korea. </li>
<li>DGB Daegu Bank is the core entity of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) which currently has a market cap of 1.4 trillion won (US$1.0 billion).</li>
<li>This change will allow the company to expand in the more lucrative metropolitan Seoul and other regions in Korea. We have a positive view of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS).</li>
</ul>


On 16 May, it was reported that the Korean financial regulators have approved DGB Daegu Bank to become the 7th commercial bank in Korea. 
DGB Daegu Bank is the core entity of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) which currently has a market cap of 1.4 trillion won (US$1.0 billion).
This change will allow the company to expand in the more lucrative metropolitan Seoul and other regions in Korea. We have a positive view of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS).


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We can check this on KIND, KRX's disclosure site. As an example, SK Inc. disclosed this information on July 26, two weeks before the dividend record date, August 10.</li>
<li>We can capture this information in English without the need for Korean. The disclosure title we must hunt is "Decision on Closure of Shareholder's Registry (including Record Date) for Dividends."</li>
<li>The critical aspect here is that we need to identify disclosures from companies that still use the year's last trading day as the dividend base date.</li>
</ul>


We can check this on KIND, KRX's disclosure site. As an example, SK Inc. disclosed this information on July 26, two weeks before the dividend record date, August 10.
We can capture this information in English without the need for Korean. The disclosure title we must hunt is "Decision on Closure of Shareholder's Registry (including Record Date) for Dividends."
The critical aspect here is that we need to identify disclosures from companies that still use the year's last trading day as the dividend base date.


Step-By-Step Guide to Spot Companies Postponing Dividend Base Date to April in Korea

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Choi Sang-Mok (Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Strategy and Finance) stated that the Korean government will announce specific plans to increase the value of low PBR stocks this month. </li>
<li>We provide a list of 97 stocks in KOSPI 200 that are trading below 1x P/B. They are trading at average P/B of 0.54x. </li>
<li>We expect these low P/B stocks to continue to outperform the market in the next several weeks leading up to the government's actual announcement.</li>
</ul>


Choi Sang-Mok (Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Strategy and Finance) stated that the Korean government will announce specific plans to increase the value of low PBR stocks this month. 
We provide a list of 97 stocks in KOSPI 200 that are trading below 1x P/B. They are trading at average P/B of 0.54x. 
We expect these low P/B stocks to continue to outperform the market in the next several weeks leading up to the government's actual announcement.


Korean Government to Announce Specific Measures to Increase Value of Low PBR Stocks in February

<ul>
<li>FSC Chairman Kim Joo-hyun mentioned that too many companies in Korea are trading below book value and the FSC plans to implement changes to improve upon this issue. </li>
<li>According to Korea Exchange, 1,111 companies out of total listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ in Korea (2,538) are trading at below 1x book value (PBR) (liquidation value). </li>
<li>According to the Capital Group, about 39% of companies in the TOPIX trade below book value, compared to just 5% for companies in the S&amp;P 500 Index. </li>
</ul>


FSC Chairman Kim Joo-hyun mentioned that too many companies in Korea are trading below book value and the FSC plans to implement changes to improve upon this issue. 
According to Korea Exchange, 1,111 companies out of total listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ in Korea (2,538) are trading at below 1x book value (PBR) (liquidation value). 
According to the Capital Group, about 39% of companies in the TOPIX trade below book value, compared to just 5% for companies in the S&amp;P 500 Index. 


44% of Korean Stocks Are Trading Below Book Value - FSC Wants to Improve This (Following Japan)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We believe that the nine Korean banks (on average) are likely to continue to underperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months due to the continued rising delinquencies.</li>
<li>The major reasons for higher loans and cards delinquency ratios include higher interest rate burdens, higher inflation rates, inverted yield curve, weakening economy, and pressures on disposable income.</li>
<li>The delinquency ratios of the largest nine banks in Korea all worsened in 1Q 2023 (for both banks and credit cards).</li>
</ul>


We believe that the nine Korean banks (on average) are likely to continue to underperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months due to the continued rising delinquencies.
The major reasons for higher loans and cards delinquency ratios include higher interest rate burdens, higher inflation rates, inverted yield curve, weakening economy, and pressures on disposable income.
The delinquency ratios of the largest nine banks in Korea all worsened in 1Q 2023 (for both banks and credit cards).


Korean Banks: Sharp Rise in Delinquency Ratios in 1Q 2023 & Inverted Yield Curve

South Korea

DGB Financial Group Inc., a financial holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.  The Company operates and controls its financial subsidiaries such as Daegu Bank, Daegu Credit Information, and DBG Capital.

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DGB Financial Group (139130 KS)

Asian Dividend Gems: DGB Financial Group

On 16 May, it was reported that FSC has approved DGB Daegu Bank to become the 7th commercial bank in Korea. This change will allow DGB to expand in...

Douglas Kim

Step-By-Step Guide to Spot Companies Postponing Dividend Base Date to April in Korea

This post provides a step-by-step guide to spot which companies will effectively postpone the dividend base date to next April in Korea.

Sanghyun Park

Korean Government to Announce Specific Measures to Increase Value of Low PBR Stocks in February

Korean government announced it will reveal Corporate Value Program details to reduce stock market valuation discount on 26 February. They include...

Douglas Kim

44% of Korean Stocks Are Trading Below Book Value - FSC Wants to Improve This (Following Japan)

A 44% of Korean stocks are trading below book value. FSC wants to improve this, following Japan's "name and shame" policy.

Douglas Kim

Korean Banks: Sharp Rise in Delinquency Ratios in 1Q 2023 & Inverted Yield Curve

We believe that the nine Korean banks (on average) are likely to continue to underperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months due to the continued rising...

Douglas Kim

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