Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a>, a hyperlocal commerce platform, aims to raise up to US$1.4 billion through an IPO at a price range of Rs371-390.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/swiggy-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:163915" rel="noopener">Swiggy IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on food delivery and Instamart's lagging Zomato on key metrics, ongoing losses, and cash burn.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (1255298D IN), a hyperlocal commerce platform, aims to raise up to US$1.4 billion through an IPO at a price range of Rs371-390.
In Swiggy IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on food delivery and Instamart's lagging Zomato on key metrics, ongoing losses, and cash burn.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> is looking to raise around US$1.35bn in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy is looking to raise around US$1.35bn in its India IPO.
Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


Swiggy Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Smaller, Slower and Less Profitable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a>, a hyperlocal commerce platform, aims to raise up to US$1.4 billion at a valuation of US$11.3 billion. </li>
<li>Unlike <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>’s (the key competitor) multi-app approach, Swiggy’s approach is to provide users with an integrated app offering.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on strong customer retention, food delivery hitting break-even, Instamart’s rapid growth and declining losses, and Out-of-Home Consumption’s strong growth and declining losses.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (1255298D IN), a hyperlocal commerce platform, aims to raise up to US$1.4 billion at a valuation of US$11.3 billion. 
Unlike Zomato (ZOMATO IN)’s (the key competitor) multi-app approach, Swiggy’s approach is to provide users with an integrated app offering.
The bull case rests on strong customer retention, food delivery hitting break-even, Instamart’s rapid growth and declining losses, and Out-of-Home Consumption’s strong growth and declining losses.


Germany

Delivery Hero SE offers e-commerce services. The Company provides online food ordering services. Delivery Hero serves customers Germany.

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Delivery Hero SE (DHER GR)

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Swiggy IPO: The Bear Case

Swiggy aims to raise up to US$1.4 billion. The bear case rests on food delivery and Instamart's lagging Zomato on key metrics, ongoing losses, and...

Arun George

Swiggy IPO - Not as Cheap as It Looks

Swiggy is looking to raise around US$1.35bn in its India IPO. We have looked at its past performance earlier. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Swiggy Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Smaller, Slower and Less Profitable

Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Swiggy IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on strong customer retention, food delivery hitting break-even, Instamart’s rapid growth and declining losses, and Out-of-Home...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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