External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CD Equisearch

CD Equisearch

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Bolstered by phenolics and fine &amp; speciality chemicals business, DNL's income from operations rose apace in Q4 with the phenolics accounting for nearly two-thirds of the whole. Swiftly pacing, its phenol business logged capacity utilization in excess of 115% when compared to 98% in the same quarter a year ago. With little scoping of draining out reward of operating leverage at such record production churn, its EBIT margins admirably...<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Bolstered by phenolics and fine &amp; speciality chemicals business, DNL's income from operations rose apace in Q4 with the phenolics accounting for nearly two-thirds of the whole. Swiftly pacing, its phenol business logged capacity utilization in excess of 115% when compared to 98% in the same quarter a year ago. With little scoping of draining out reward of operating leverage at such record production churn, its EBIT margins admirably...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DEEPAKNTR: Bolstered by phenolics and fine & speciality chemicals business, DNL's income ...

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<h3>In this Insight </h3>
Our chemical industry coverage is primarily focused on understanding and analysing supply chain dynamics for our core consumer coverage. In this insight, we present our takeaways from channel interactions that are focused on the industry and specific companies. 
Domestic Chemicals: We interact with a local channel that is focused on the distribution of chemicals catering to the paint and construction industry. The business is upbeat, tailwinds remain and the business prospects for chemicals look good at least for the next two years. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sudarshan-chemical-inds-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12968:1" rel="noopener">Sudarshan Chemical Inds (SCHI IN)</a> : Highly regarded and respected management along with interesting product line up is poised well for growth. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/camlin-fine-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17667:1" rel="noopener">Camlin Fine Sciences (CFIN IN)</a>: Historical performance has been good and acquisitions offer good growth potential 
Clean Science and Technology Limited (Private): Clean Science a fine chemical manufacturer and also a competitor to CFIN in some products, has recently filed its <a href="https://www.sebi.gov.in/filings/public-issues/apr-2021/clean-science-and-technology-limited-drhp_49777.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DRHP</a>. Our channel interactions indicate a robust growth plan ahead. 
<h3>About India Channel Insight</h3>
</div>
<div>
Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions. 
</div>


In this Insight 
Our chemical industry coverage is primarily focused on understanding and analysing supply chain dynamics for our core consumer coverage. In this insight, we present our takeaways from channel interactions that are focused on the industry and specific companies. 
Domestic Chemicals: We interact with a local channel that is focused on the distribution of chemicals catering to the paint and construction industry. The business is upbeat, tailwinds remain and the business prospects for chemicals look good at least for the next two years. 
Sudarshan Chemical Inds (SCHI IN) : Highly regarded and respected management along with interesting product line up is poised well for growth. 
Camlin Fine Sciences (CFIN IN): Historical performance has been good and acquisitions offer good growth potential 
Clean Science and Technology Limited (Private): Clean Science a fine chemical manufacturer and also a competitor to CFIN in some products, has recently filed its DRHP. Our channel interactions indicate a robust growth plan ahead. 
About India Channel Insight


Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions. 


India Channel Insights | Chemicals - Sudarshan, Camlin, Clean Science

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Late Friday evening, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) published a blandly titled '<a href="https://www.sebi.gov.in/legal/circulars/sep-2020/circular-on-asset-allocation-of-multi-cap-funds_47542.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular on Asset Allocation of Multi Cap Funds</a>'. The implications of the circular, however, are not as bland and will result in a big shift in allocation among market cap segments in Indian mutual funds and drive trading activity over the next few months.SEBI has now mandated that Mutual Fund schemes classified as 'Multi Cap Funds' need to invest a minimum of 75% of their total scheme assets in equities and equity related investments with a minimum 25% allocation to each segment: large caps, mid caps and small caps. Currently, the top 11 multi cap schemes by assets (making up 85% of total multi cap assets) hold 78% of their assets in large cap stocks, 16.6% in mid cap stocks, and only 5.4% in small cap stocks.All Multi Cap funds have till the first week of February 2021 to meet the new requirements. While there will not be a big impact on large cap stocks, there could be a very big impact on small cap funds. The Nifty Smallcap 250 index has underperformed the Nifty 100 and the Nifty Midcap 150 index over the last year and could outperform over the next few months.

Late Friday evening, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) published a blandly titled 'Circular on Asset Allocation of Multi Cap Funds'. The implications of the circular, however, are not as bland and will result in a big shift in allocation among market cap segments in Indian mutual funds and drive trading activity over the next few months.SEBI has now mandated that Mutual Fund schemes classified as 'Multi Cap Funds' need to invest a minimum of 75% of their total scheme assets in equities and equity related investments with a minimum 25% allocation to each segment: large caps, mid caps and small caps. Currently, the top 11 multi cap schemes by assets (making up 85% of total multi cap assets) hold 78% of their assets in large cap stocks, 16.6% in mid cap stocks, and only 5.4% in small cap stocks.All Multi Cap funds have till the first week of February 2021 to meet the new requirements. While there will not be a big impact on large cap stocks, there could be a very big impact on small cap funds. The Nifty Smallcap 250 index has underperformed the Nifty 100 and the Nifty Midcap 150 index over the last year and could outperform over the next few months.

India Small Caps: Position for Outperformance Vs Large & Mid Caps

India

Godrej Industries Limited manufactures a variety of specialty chemical products like Alpha Olefin Sulphonate, Fatty Acids, Glycerin and Fatty Alcohols. The company also manufactures edible oils and processed foods and has finance and investment activities as part of their operations.

Bayer Cropscience Ltd. is involved in cropscience in the area of crop protection , non agricultural pest-control, seeds and plant biotechnology.

Coromandel International Ltd. manufactures fertilizers and pesticides.  The Company produces both chemical and organic fertilizers, insecticides, fungicides, herbcides, and plant biostimulant.

Tata Chemicals Ltd. manufactures salt and salt by-products, alkalies and heavy chemicals, pharmaceuticals, fertilizers and agro-chemicals. The Company's salt products include common salt, pure salt and gypsum salt.  Heavy chemicals include soda ash, caustic soda and hydrochloric acid. Tata Chemicals' pharmaceuticals include bromides of ammonium, sodium, potassium and ethyl.

UPL Ltd. manufactures, distributes and exports off-patent agrochemicals. The Company also manufactures phosphorus & phosphorus-based compounds and its products include herbicides, fungicides, insecticides, fumigants and rodenticides. United Phosphorus also manufactures industrial chemicals, specialty chemicals and chloralkaline products

Finolex Industries Limited manufactures PVC pipes and fittings, which are sold primarily to businesses in the agricultural sector.  The Company also manufactures PVC resins, which are used as raw materials for PVC pipes and fittings.

Castrol (India) Limited manufactures and markets automotive and industrial lubricants and specialty products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, greases and brake fluids. The Company also manufactures cable filling compounds, jellies, waxes and other items.

Navin Fluorine International Limited manufactures fluorochemicals. The Company produces benzotrifuoride derivatives, fluoro benzene derivatives, fluoro toluene derivatives, and aliphatic fluoro compounds.

Vinati Organics Limited produces organic intermediates and monomers.

PI Industries Limited manufactures agricultural and fine chemicals, and polymers. The Company produces fine chemicals; crop protection, plant nutrients, and seeds; and engineering plastics for use in the automobile, electrical, and home appliances industries.

MITSUBISHI GAS CHEMICAL COMPANY, INC. produces chemical products such as xylene and methanol.  The Company also manufactures engineering plastics and specialty chemicals.

NOF CORPORATION is a diversified chemical producer whose products include processed oil/fats, explosives and other chemical products. The Company has manufacturing/sales subsidiaries in US, Indonesia and China.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Incitec Pivot Limited is a fertilizer manufacturer and supplier, and also a supplier for explosives products and services. The Company has operations throughout the United States, Canada, Mexico and Australia.

Resonac Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products. The Company produces synthetic resins, petrochemical products, inorganics, and other related products. Resonac Holdings also produces ceramics, metals, carbon, electronic materials, and other products.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of dyes including high intensity and rapid-dying Lonsperse Dye. The Company sells its products domestically and exports worldwide.

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., (600352 CH)

Quaker Chemical Corporation produces, develops, and markets custom-formulated chemical specialty products.  The Company also provides fluid management services for manufacturers around the world, primarily in the steel, automotive, and can industries.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures differentiated and commodity chemical products.  The Company markets a broad range of chemical products and formulations to a diversified group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman's products are used in a range of applications, including those in adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, and consumer products.

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spandex products.

Deepak Nitrite Limited manufactures chemicals and fertilizers. The Company's products include sodium nitrite/nitrate, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and Hydroxylamine Sulphate.  Deepak Nitrite's other two divisions manufacture dyes & dyestuffs and nitro aromatics.

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Deepak Nitrite (DN IN)

DEEPAKNTR: Bolstered by phenolics and fine & speciality chemicals business, DNL's income ...

Bolstered by phenolics and fine & speciality chemicals business, DNL's income from operations rose apace in Q4 with the phenolics accounting for...

CD Equisearch

India Channel Insights | Chemicals - Sudarshan, Camlin, Clean Science

In this insight, we present our takeaways from chemical channel interactions that are focused on the chemical industry and specific companies.

Pranav Bhavsar

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

India Small Caps: Position for Outperformance Vs Large & Mid Caps

Late Friday evening, the Securities and Exchange Board of Indian

Brian Freitas

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