Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.</li>
<li>For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.
For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.


ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a> has approached <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> with a non-binding indicative offer to acquire all of CSR's shares at A$9/share via a scheme of arrangement.</li>
<li>At the last close of CSR (pre-trading halt) the gross spread to the offer price is 13.21%. That will close significantly once the stock resumes trading.</li>
<li>Given the large premium to the last close, at a price higher than the highest high, and support from the CSR Board, the deal should go through.</li>
</ul>



Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP) has approached CSR Ltd (CSR AU) with a non-binding indicative offer to acquire all of CSR's shares at A$9/share via a scheme of arrangement.
At the last close of CSR (pre-trading halt) the gross spread to the offer price is 13.21%. That will close significantly once the stock resumes trading.
Given the large premium to the last close, at a price higher than the highest high, and support from the CSR Board, the deal should go through.


CSR Ltd (CSR AU): Saint-Gobain's A$9/Share Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a> holds 71.59% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> and is looking to acquire the remaining shares at A$6.05/share via a mix of SVW stock and cash.</li>
<li>The offer consideration ratchets higher to A$6.15/share if SVW's aggregate shareholding reaches 80% and to A$6.25/share if SVW's aggregate shareholding reaches 90.6%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a> is an addition to a global index at the end of the month and a drop in the stock post inclusion will affect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd</a>.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU) holds 71.59% in Boral Ltd (BLD AU) and is looking to acquire the remaining shares at A$6.05/share via a mix of SVW stock and cash.
The offer consideration ratchets higher to A$6.15/share if SVW's aggregate shareholding reaches 80% and to A$6.25/share if SVW's aggregate shareholding reaches 90.6%.

Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU) is an addition to a global index at the end of the month and a drop in the stock post inclusion will affect Boral Ltd.


Boral (BLD AU): Seven Group (SVW AU)'s Best & Final Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.</li>
<li>The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.</li>
<li>There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a>'s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).</li>
</ul>



Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire Altium Ltd (ALU AU) at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.
The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.
There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) on Altium Ltd (ALU AU)'s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).


Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 17 October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> is expected to stop trading after the close on 3 November and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Resources (BOE AU)</a> is best placed to be the replacement.</li>
<li>There are stocks that are close on the heels of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Resources (BOE AU)</a> and will compete for a place. Two of those could be added at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) will replace United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 17 October.

Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) is expected to stop trading after the close on 3 November and Boss Resources (BOE AU) is best placed to be the replacement.
There are stocks that are close on the heels of Boss Resources (BOE AU) and will compete for a place. Two of those could be added at the December rebalance.


S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

Australia

Karoon Energy Ltd operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and acquires oil and gas exploration assets. Karoon Energy serves customers worldwide.

Energy Resources of Australia Limited is a uranium company which mines, processes and sells uranium oxide from the Ranger mine in the Northern Territory and uranium concentrates sourced outside Australia to nuclear electric utilities in Japan, South Korea, Europe and North America.  The Company also provides environmental consulting services.

Strike Energy Limited is an oil and gas exploration company whose exploration activities are located in the Carnarvon Basin in Western Australia and the Cooper Basin in South Australia.

Bannerman Resources Ltd. explores for uranium in Australia and Africa.

Warrego Energy Limited operates as an oil and gas exploration company. The Company provides onshore oil and gas services. Warrego Energy serves customers in Western Australia, Spain, and Uruguay.

Cooper Energy Limited is an oil and gas exploration company focusing its activities in the Cooper Basin of South Australia.  The Company's exploration portfolio includes six tenements located throughout the Basin.

Norwest Energy NL explores for petroleum both offshore and onshore.  The Company's core regions of operation are the northern Perth Basin and onshore southern England's Wessex Basin.

Peninsula Energy Limited is a uranium development company.  The Company has exploring activities in Wyoming, Karoo South Africa, as well as Western Australia.

Horizon Oil Limited is involved in petroleum exploration, development and production.

Metro Mining Ltd focuses on the exploration and mining of aluminum and bauxite in tropical environments.

Nordic American Tankers Limited is a shipping company that owns and charters Suezmax tankers for oil transportation.  The Company's ships are all active in the spot freight market.

AAG Energy Holdings Limited is  an energy exploration and development company. The Company engages in coalbed methane exploration and development.

Henan Dayou Energy Co., Ltd. engages in the exploitation and distribution of coal in China. The company, through its subsidiaries, is also involved in the production and sale of mining equipment and accessories, as well as the provision of consulting services of coal mine technologies.

Teekay Corporation provides international crude oil and petroleum product transportation services to major oil companies, major oil traders, and government agencies.  The Company provides its services through a fleet of medium size oil tankers worldwide.

SAN-AI OIL CO., LTD. primarily wholesales petroleum and LP gas nationwide.  The Company also supplies fuels for aircrafts at Haneda Airport.  San-Ai Oil has business divisions including industry energy, gas, chemical and research, and business development.

PT Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk is a coal mining company in Kalimatan.

Ardmore Shipping Corp is engaged in the ownership and operation of product and chemical tankers in worldwide trade.  The Company provides shipping services to customers through voyage charters, commercial pools and time charters.

PT Surya Esa Perkasa Tbk produces liquefied petroleum gas.

REX American Resources Corporation is invested in ethanol production entities. The Company produces ethanol, and dried and modified distillers grains, as well as leases real estate properties.

Esso Thailand PCL is a fully integrated oil business, including oil refinery and production. The Company provides liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), gasoline, aviation fuel, diesel, marine fuel, lubricants, aromatic products and other related products such as purified terephthalic acid (PTA), solvents, plasticizers, and benzene concentrate stream.

Deep Yellow Limited is an advanced stage uranium exploration company progressing its core Namibian projects.

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Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL AU)

ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Boral (BLD AU): Seven Group (SVW AU)'s Best & Final Offer

Seven Group is an index inclusion and is looking to buy ~28% of Boral via a mix of stock and cash. SVW could drop post the index inclusion and that...

Brian Freitas

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

Renesas has entered a SIA to acquire Altium at A$68.5/share for an implied equity value of A$9.1bn. The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

LNW replaces UMG in the ASX200 tomorrow. BOE could replace IVC at the close on 3 Nov. There could be more ad hoc changes in Nov/early Dec. That...

Brian Freitas

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ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

CSR Ltd (CSR AU): Saint-Gobain's A$9/Share Offer

Saint-Gobain has approached CSR with a non-binding indicative offer to acquire all CSR shares at A$9/share. The trend of Construction Materials...

Brian Freitas

Boral (BLD AU): Seven Group (SVW AU)'s Best & Final Offer

Seven Group is an index inclusion and is looking to buy ~28% of Boral via a mix of stock and cash. SVW could drop post the index inclusion and that...

Brian Freitas

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

Renesas has entered a SIA to acquire Altium at A$68.5/share for an implied equity value of A$9.1bn. The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

LNW replaces UMG in the ASX200 tomorrow. BOE could replace IVC at the close on 3 Nov. There could be more ad hoc changes in Nov/early Dec. That...

Brian Freitas