Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.</li>
<li>The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.</li>
<li>AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.</li>
</ul>


The changes for the KOSPI2 INDEX, KOSDAQ150 Index, CSI300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.
The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.
AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.

Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.</li>
<li>The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.
The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 12 March, HYBE (352820 KS) announced that it is no longer pursuing S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) in an M&amp;A battle with Kakao Corp (035720 KS).</li>
<li>This will result in a very high probability of Kakao winning the M&amp;A battle of SM Entertainment.</li>
<li>Many institutional investors are likely to have pushed back on HYBE's capital raising efforts, which seems to have been the clincher of HYBE backing out of this M&amp;A for SM. </li>
</ul>


On 12 March, HYBE (352820 KS) announced that it is no longer pursuing S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) in an M&amp;A battle with Kakao Corp (035720 KS).
This will result in a very high probability of Kakao winning the M&amp;A battle of SM Entertainment.
Many institutional investors are likely to have pushed back on HYBE's capital raising efforts, which seems to have been the clincher of HYBE backing out of this M&amp;A for SM. 


HYBE Gives Up the M&A Fight for SM Entertainment: Impact on Kakao's Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>DearU's acquisition of NCSoft's Universe K-Pop fandom platform will expand DearU Bubble's number one position in the K-Pop fandom platform in Korea.</li>
<li>The sale of Universe by NCSoft is a win-win situation for both DearU and NCsoft.</li>
<li>Applying a 25x P/E to an estimated net profit of 50 billion won in 2024 would suggest an market cap of 1.25 trillion won for DearU, representing a 52% upside. </li>
</ul>


DearU's acquisition of NCSoft's Universe K-Pop fandom platform will expand DearU Bubble's number one position in the K-Pop fandom platform in Korea.
The sale of Universe by NCSoft is a win-win situation for both DearU and NCsoft.
Applying a 25x P/E to an estimated net profit of 50 billion won in 2024 would suggest an market cap of 1.25 trillion won for DearU, representing a 52% upside. 


DearU' Bubble + NCsoft's Universe = The Largest K-Pop Fandom Platform in Korea

South Korea

Dear U Co Ltd develops and produces application software. The Company provides mobile karaoke services, artist-only fan community platform and other services. Dear U offers services worldwide.

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DearU (376300 KS)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

There is 1 change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet & Game indices. There are some close contests among the top 3 stocks...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

There were big moves on stocks that were changes at the March rebalance. We take a look at expected and close changes at the September rebalance....

Brian Freitas

HYBE Gives Up the M&A Fight for SM Entertainment: Impact on Kakao's Tender Offer

HYBE announced that it is no longer pursuing an M&A of SM Entertainment. This will result in a very high probability of Kakao winning the M&A...

Douglas Kim

DearU' Bubble + NCsoft's Universe = The Largest K-Pop Fandom Platform in Korea

DearU's acquisition of NCSoft's Universe K-Pop fandom platform will expand DearU Bubble's number one position in the K-Pop fandom platform in Korea.

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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