SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

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Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward" towards living with Covid-19.

With the risk of outdoor transmission significantly lower, it will soon be optional to wear masks outdoors in Singapore while the maximum group size for social gatherings as well as dining in will double from 5 to 10. Certain large-scale social gatherings are also permitted to resume.

Office spaces are expected to be filled up again, as up to 75 per cent of those who can work from home are now allowed to return to their workplaces, up from 50 per cent previously. 
Cross-border travel is also expected to ease substantially from Apr 1, as travellers no longer have to take designated vaccinated travel lanes (VTL) to enter Singapore quarantine-free. 
Such moves will help to "reconnect Singapore with the world" and "give a much-needed boost to businesses, particularly the tourism sector, and help Singapore reclaim its position as a business and aviation hub" said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong during his speech. 
Following the announcement, the Straits Times Index (STI) gained 1.1 per cent during Thursday's (Mar 24) trading session, driven by a rally in aviation, transport, tourism and retail-related stocks. 
Similarly, S-Reits recorded gains, with the iEdge S-Reit Index increasing 1 per cent in the trading session, led by trusts with significant exposure to Singapore related retail, hospitality, and office assets.

Hospitality S-Reits gained 3.5 per cent while retail S-Reits gained 1.5 per cent. More notably, hospitality and retail S-Reits saw a surge in trading activities on Thursday with S$27.4 million and S$21.4 million in traded value respectively.

This represents over 211 per cent and 58 per cent increases respectively, against their 3-month average daily traded value. 
Diversified S-REITs also gained an average of 1.8 per cent over Thursday, led by trusts (Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Suntec REIT) with substantial exposure to the retail and office segments in Singapore. 
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit), which owns prime retail properties in Singapore and grade-A office buildings in Milan, was the top performer for the day with over 7 per cent gains. 
In February, LReit proposed to acquire the remaining interest in JEM mall for close to S$2 billion. 
LReit expects the acquisition to further boost the Reit's portfolio income diversification and provide approximately 10.5 per cent distribution per unit (DPU) accretion upon completion. 
Post-acquisition, LReit's exposure to the resilient suburban retail sector is expected to increase from 16.3 per cent to 46.8 per cent and its Singapore-centric asset base to be close to 88 per cent of its total portfolio value. 
CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT), which owns hotel properties across Asia Pacific and Europe, rose 6 per cent over the trading day following the announcement of easing travel restrictions. 
CDLHT's Singapore portfolio (approximately 64.9 per cent by total portfolio valuation) continued to be impacted by the absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) events, large wedding banquets and social functions in FY 2021.

The trust remains optimistic in Singapore's commitment to reopening and returning to normalcy. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/retail-hotel-office-s-reits-gain-with-relaxed-covid-rules-0">read</a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-china-s-reits-record-strong-2021-growth-0"> </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs


Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward" towards living with Covid-19.

With the risk of outdoor transmission significantly lower, it will soon be optional to wear masks outdoors in Singapore while the maximum group size for social gatherings as well as dining in will double from 5 to 10. Certain large-scale social gatherings are also permitted to resume.

Office spaces are expected to be filled up again, as up to 75 per cent of those who can work from home are now allowed to return to their workplaces, up from 50 per cent previously.  
Cross-border travel is also expected to ease substantially from Apr 1, as travellers no longer have to take designated vaccinated travel lanes (VTL) to enter Singapore quarantine-free.  
Such moves will help to "reconnect Singapore with the world" and "give a much-needed boost to businesses, particularly the tourism sector, and help Singapore reclaim its position as a business and aviation hub" said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong during his speech.  
Following the announcement, the Straits Times Index (STI) gained 1.1 per cent during Thursday's (Mar 24) trading session, driven by a rally in aviation, transport, tourism and retail-related stocks.  
Similarly, S-Reits recorded gains, with the iEdge S-Reit Index increasing 1 per cent in the trading session, led by trusts with significant exposure to Singapore related retail, hospitality, and office assets.

Hospitality S-Reits gained 3.5 per cent while retail S-Reits gained 1.5 per cent. More notably, hospitality and retail S-Reits saw a surge in trading activities on Thursday with S$27.4 million and S$21.4 million in traded value respectively.

This represents over 211 per cent and 58 per cent increases respectively, against their 3-month average daily traded value.  
Diversified S-REITs also gained an average of 1.8 per cent over Thursday, led by trusts (Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Suntec REIT) with substantial exposure to the retail and office segments in Singapore.  
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit), which owns prime retail properties in Singapore and grade-A office buildings in Milan, was the top performer for the day with over 7 per cent gains.  
In February, LReit proposed to acquire the remaining interest in JEM mall for close to S$2 billion.  
LReit expects the acquisition to further boost the Reit's portfolio income diversification and provide approximately 10.5 per cent distribution per unit (DPU) accretion upon completion.  
Post-acquisition, LReit's exposure to the resilient suburban retail sector is expected to increase from 16.3 per cent to 46.8 per cent and its Singapore-centric asset base to be close to 88 per cent of its total portfolio value.  
CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT), which owns hotel properties across Asia Pacific and Europe, rose 6 per cent over the trading day following the announcement of easing travel restrictions.  
CDLHT's Singapore portfolio (approximately 64.9 per cent by total portfolio valuation) continued to be impacted by the absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) events, large wedding banquets and social functions in FY 2021.

The trust remains optimistic in Singapore's commitment to reopening and returning to normalcy.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Retail, hotel, office S-Reits gain with relaxed Covid rules

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.</li>
<li>Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. 

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.
Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. 


MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dasin-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23743" rel="noopener">Dasin Retail Trust (DASIN SP)</a> extends facilities for another 3mo following MOU on potential asset sales</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> Keppel DC Singapore 1 master lease commences legal proceedings against DXC Technology Services</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> unitholders approve merger to form ESR-Logos REIT</li></ul>

Dasin Retail Trust (DASIN SP) extends facilities for another 3mo following MOU on potential asset salesKeppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) Keppel DC Singapore 1 master lease commences legal proceedings against DXC Technology ServicesESR-REIT (EREIT SP), ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unitholders approve merger to form ESR-Logos REIT

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (22Mar22) - DASIN Extends Loan Facilities Again

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dasin-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23743" rel="noopener">Dasin Retail Trust (DASIN SP)</a> enters into MOU for potential divestment of 2 retail properties</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> offers Cash-Only Alternative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> unitholders</li><li>Quarz requests for MAS intervention; claims <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> has responsibility to seek better price</li></ul>

Dasin Retail Trust (DASIN SP) enters into MOU for potential divestment of 2 retail propertiesMapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) offers Cash-Only Alternative to Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) unitholdersQuarz requests for MAS intervention; claims Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) has responsibility to seek better price

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (21Mar22) - DASIN Enters MOU to Divest 2 Properties

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 <div class='content-caption'>Five trusts with 100% assets in China</div>
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Listed on SGX are 4 S-Reits and 1 property trust with pure exposure to China. These trusts have assets across sub-sectors such as retail malls, logistics and industrial, and office and business parks based in China.

All 5 trusts have recorded stronger rental income and declared increases in distributions made to unitholders for full year 2021. Common themes across their full-year earnings were resilient portfolio occupancy rates, recovery in shopper footfalls and tenant sales, and contributions from acquisitions despite recent Covid-19 resurgences. 
CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT), which is diversified across 11 retail assets, five business parks and four logistics properties, reported 37.5 per cent higher FY2021 distribution per unit (DPU) and 85.2 per cent higher annual net property income (NPI) for the year. Increases were due to new contributions from its recently acquired logistics and business park portfolios, Rock Square and CapitaMall Nuohemule. 
CLCT noted better occupancy rate of 96.3 per cent in FY2021, alongside higher tenant sales and shopper traffic of 16.1 per cent and 9.3 per cent respectively despite mall closures and restrictions due to sporadic Covid-19 outbreaks.

Beyond retail malls, CLCT now has a combined 21.9 per cent exposure to new economy assets through its business park and logistics portfolio which registered 7.0 per cent and 2.7 per cent in rental reversion respectively in FY2021. CLCT is also the first S-Reit to secure a loan linked to the sustainability performance of a China portfolio. 
Sasseur REIT and its portfolio of four retail outlet malls posted 8.5 per cent growth in DPU and 10.1 per cent growth in entrusted management agreement (EMA) rental income in FY2021, despite COVID-19 disruptions. 
The Reit saw continued robust consumption trends in the cities where its outlets are located, coupled with intensive promotional efforts with tenants which drove higher sales. Its portfolio occupancy rate rose to 94.5 per cent in Q42021 compared to 93.7 per cent in Q32021. The Reit believes that it will continue to benefit from China's domestic consumption. 
EC World REIT (ECW) is a specialised logistics and e-commerce logistics REIT with eight properties in Hangzhou and Wuhan. The REIT recorded 12.7 per cent growth in NPI and 16.9 per cent increase in DPU, largely due to the absence of one-off rebates provided to tenants in FY2020. Its portfolio has an occupancy rate of 99.2 per cent as of 31 December 2021 and is diversified across three segments: e-commerce logistics (41.8 per cent of portfolio valuation), port logistics (40.5 per cent), and specialised logistics (17.8 per cent). 
On Jan 10, 2022, ECW received a formal notice in relation to the compulsory expropriation of Fu Zhuo Industrial and is entitled to receive compensation based on the expropriation valuation. The Reit does not expect the compulsory expropriation to have a material impact on its portfolio and Fu Zhuo Industrial accounts for under 1.5 per cent of its portfolio valuation and 1.6 per cent of its NPI in FY2021. 
BHG Retail REIT across its six retail malls reported increases of 14.9 per cent in NPI and 11.3 per cent in DPU for FY2021. The REIT noted that its malls continued to see healthy leasing demands with occupancy rate at 97.0 per cent as at 31 December 2021 alongside healthy retention rates. The REIT will remain cautious about risks of COVID-19 resurgence and continues to refresh its malls’ offerings to pursue growth opportunities. 
Dasin Retail Trust has a portfolio of seven retail malls and registered increases of 10.9 per cent in NPI and 32.5 per cent in DPU for FY2021. It maintains an occupancy rate of 93.9 per cent across a diversified tenant base with no single trade sector contributing over 25.0 per cent of its gross rental income. The Trust Manager also looks to source new expansion opportunities with its new strategic partner and major shareholder Sino-Ocean Capital. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-china-s-reits-record-strong-2021-growth-0">read </a>the original version.
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    Five trusts with 100% assets in China


Listed on SGX are 4 S-Reits and 1 property trust with pure exposure to China. These trusts have assets across sub-sectors such as retail malls, logistics and industrial, and office and business parks based in China.

All 5 trusts have recorded stronger rental income and declared increases in distributions made to unitholders for full year 2021. Common themes across their full-year earnings were resilient portfolio occupancy rates, recovery in shopper footfalls and tenant sales, and contributions from acquisitions despite recent Covid-19 resurgences.  
CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT), which is diversified across 11 retail assets, five business parks and four logistics properties, reported 37.5 per cent higher FY2021 distribution per unit (DPU) and 85.2 per cent higher annual net property income (NPI) for the year. Increases were due to new contributions from its recently acquired logistics and business park portfolios, Rock Square and CapitaMall Nuohemule.  
CLCT noted better occupancy rate of 96.3 per cent in FY2021, alongside higher tenant sales and shopper traffic of 16.1 per cent and 9.3 per cent respectively despite mall closures and restrictions due to sporadic Covid-19 outbreaks.

Beyond retail malls, CLCT now has a combined 21.9 per cent exposure to new economy assets through its business park and logistics portfolio which registered 7.0 per cent and 2.7 per cent in rental reversion respectively in FY2021. CLCT is also the first S-Reit to secure a loan linked to the sustainability performance of a China portfolio.  
Sasseur REIT and its portfolio of four retail outlet malls posted 8.5 per cent growth in DPU and 10.1 per cent growth in entrusted management agreement (EMA) rental income in FY2021, despite COVID-19 disruptions.  
The Reit saw continued robust consumption trends in the cities where its outlets are located, coupled with intensive promotional efforts with tenants which drove higher sales. Its portfolio occupancy rate rose to 94.5 per cent in Q42021 compared to 93.7 per cent in Q32021. The Reit believes that it will continue to benefit from China's domestic consumption.  
EC World REIT (ECW) is a specialised logistics and e-commerce logistics REIT with eight properties in Hangzhou and Wuhan. The REIT recorded 12.7 per cent growth in NPI and 16.9 per cent increase in DPU, largely due to the absence of one-off rebates provided to tenants in FY2020. Its portfolio has an occupancy rate of 99.2 per cent as of 31 December 2021 and is diversified across three segments: e-commerce logistics (41.8 per cent of portfolio valuation), port logistics (40.5 per cent), and specialised logistics (17.8 per cent).  
On Jan 10, 2022, ECW received a formal notice in relation to the compulsory expropriation of Fu Zhuo Industrial and is entitled to receive compensation based on the expropriation valuation. The Reit does not expect the compulsory expropriation to have a material impact on its portfolio and Fu Zhuo Industrial accounts for under 1.5 per cent of its portfolio valuation and 1.6 per cent of its NPI in FY2021.  
BHG Retail REIT across its six retail malls reported increases of 14.9 per cent in NPI and 11.3 per cent in DPU for FY2021. The REIT noted that its malls continued to see healthy leasing demands with occupancy rate at 97.0 per cent as at 31 December 2021 alongside healthy retention rates. The REIT will remain cautious about risks of COVID-19 resurgence and continues to refresh its malls’ offerings to pursue growth opportunities.  
Dasin Retail Trust has a portfolio of seven retail malls and registered increases of 10.9 per cent in NPI and 32.5 per cent in DPU for FY2021. It maintains an occupancy rate of 93.9 per cent across a diversified tenant base with no single trade sector contributing over 25.0 per cent of its gross rental income. The Trust Manager also looks to source new expansion opportunities with its new strategic partner and major shareholder Sino-Ocean Capital.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Pure-play China S-Reits record strong 2021 growth

Singapore

Dasin Retail Trust invests in, owns, and develops land and income-producing real estates. The Company operates in Singapore.

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Dasin Retail Trust (DASIN SP)

REIT Watch - Retail, hotel, office S-Reits gain with relaxed Covid rules

Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward"...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

MCT has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, which Quarz considers fair. Including potential permitted 2H DPU, the...

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (22Mar22) - DASIN Extends Loan Facilities Again

KDCREIT master lessee in legal dispute over default payment; EREIT-ALLT merger approved; CPG eyes PHP3.5bn sales from Naic project

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (21Mar22) - DASIN Enters MOU to Divest 2 Properties

MCT offers Cash-Only option to MAGIC; Metro diversification strategy; ECW robust sales YTD; S TB earmarks THB11bn capex in 2022; FILRT boost from...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - Pure-play China S-Reits record strong 2021 growth

Listed on SGX are 4 S-Reits and 1 property trust with pure exposure to China. These trusts have assets across sub-sectors such...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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