Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>The base date for rankings for the June 2024 index rebal event is 31st May 2024. In this insight, we take a look at the latest list of potential ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
The base date for rankings for the June 2024 index rebal event is 31st May 2024. In this insight, we take a look at the latest list of potential ADDs/DELs.
Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun 24: Potential ADDs Could Continue to Outperform Potential DELs

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.</li>
<li>The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.</li>
<li>I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.</li>
</ul>


Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.
The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.
I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.


Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc. (4704 JP)</a> shares have hit their daily trade limit, following a <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-buyout-firms-vie-cybersecurity-003204122.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters report</a> that Bain, Advent, KKR, and EQT AB are potential bidders. </li>
<li>The lack of a controlling shareholder and increased cybersecurity M&amp;A activity support the buyout interest. In 4Q2024, cybersecurity M&amp;A reached the highest quarterly volume in the past three years.</li>
<li>The valuation is undemanding. If it trades in line with its median peers’ CY2024 EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiple, it implies JPY11,500-15,000, a 6%- 38% premium to the current price. </li>
</ul>



Trend Micro Inc. (4704 JP) shares have hit their daily trade limit, following a Reuters report that Bain, Advent, KKR, and EQT AB are potential bidders. 
The lack of a controlling shareholder and increased cybersecurity M&amp;A activity support the buyout interest. In 4Q2024, cybersecurity M&amp;A reached the highest quarterly volume in the past three years.
The valuation is undemanding. If it trades in line with its median peers’ CY2024 EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiple, it implies JPY11,500-15,000, a 6%- 38% premium to the current price. 


Trend Micro (4704 JP): Rumoured Buyout Interest Starting to Take Shape

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Separately, we see multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.</li>
<li>There could also be more regular changes during the December 2024 rebalanced event</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.
Separately, we see multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.
There could also be more regular changes during the December 2024 rebalanced event


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Thoughts Deliveroo and Coca-Cola; More Intra-Review Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see up to seven M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the December 2024 review.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one change for the F250 index during the December 2024 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.
We see up to seven M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the December 2024 review.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one change for the F250 index during the December 2024 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names

United Kingdom

Darktrace PLC operates as an AI company. The Company develops immune system platform which leverages unsupervised machine learning to detect cyber-threats. Darktrace serves customers worldwide.

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Darktrace (DARK LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun 24: Potential ADDs Could Continue to Outperform Potential DELs

The Top 10 potential ADDs have strongly outperformed the Top 7 potential DELs in the last 1-month, 3-month, and 1-year periods. I expect this trend...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

British cybersecurity unicorn Darktrace agreed sale to PE firm Thoma Bravo for ~£4.3B or 620p/share. In my insight I discuss valuation analysis of...

Andrei Zakharov

Trend Micro (4704 JP): Rumoured Buyout Interest Starting to Take Shape

The valuation is undemanding. If it trades in line with its median peers’ CY2024 EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiple, it implies JPY11,500-15,000, a 6%...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Thoughts Deliveroo and Coca-Cola; More Intra-Review Changes

Deliveroo could get into F250 in December 2024 while Coca-Cola might have to wait until March 2025 to get into F100 due to a minimum listing period...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names

The Top 10 F250 potential ADDs could outperform the F250 index since there are many intra-review addition possibilities and these names are high...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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