IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-gojek-tokopedia-ipo-initiation-island-shopping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67047" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping</a>, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



GoTo (1379371D IJ) is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.
In GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. 


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gogox-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35556:1" rel="noopener">GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK)</a> is a major online intra-city logistics platform in Asia. It is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200 million, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>The fundamentals are unattractive as intensifying competition is pressuring growth, increasing losses and spurring cash burn.   </li>
<li>As the losses and cash burn is expected to persist over the next three years, we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK) is a major online intra-city logistics platform in Asia. It is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200 million, according to press reports.   
The fundamentals are unattractive as intensifying competition is pressuring growth, increasing losses and spurring cash burn.   
As the losses and cash burn is expected to persist over the next three years, we would give the IPO a pass. 


GOGOX IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.</li>
<li>The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.
The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-sf-intra-city-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34916:1" rel="noopener">SF Intra-City (9699 HK)</a> (SFIC) is looking to raise up to about US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>SFIC is the intra-city on-demand delivery arm of SF Holding.</li>
<li>Valuation is expensive compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dada-nexus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28961:1" rel="noopener">Dada Nexus Ltd (DADA US)</a>. </li>
</ul>



SF Intra-City (9699 HK) (SFIC) is looking to raise up to about US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO.
SFIC is the intra-city on-demand delivery arm of SF Holding.
Valuation is expensive compared to Dada Nexus Ltd (DADA US). 


SF Intra-City (顺丰同城) IPO - Not the Right Price

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, which means 'opening a kiosk' in Indonesian, is a leading e-commerce player in non-Tier 1 cities in Indonesia, with a market share of 35% in 2020 based on GMV (gross merchandise value), according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Bukalapak carries out its main business activities through the mobile platform Bukalapak and Bukalapak Partners. Bukalapak has increased its IPO size by about a third to $1.5 billion due to strong demand, according to press reports. Bookbuilding will close on 19 July and the shares are set to list on 6 August. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the rate of e-commerce adoption in Indonesia as more consumers are reluctant to travel and started changing their shopping habits to online shopping, due to personal preferences or lockdown restrictions. The share of e-commerce of total retail spending in Indonesia has grown from 5.6% in 2017 to around 22% in 2020 and will reach 35.9% in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. <div class="content-highlight">Like its peers, Bukalapak is benefiting from this market tailwind. Bukalapak’s strategy of focusing on consumers in the non-Tier 1 area and the mass market in the Tier 1 area results in a relatively small overlap (less than 20%) between its customers and customers of other online marketplaces such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>'s Shopee, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokopedia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24239:1" rel="noopener">Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a>'s Lazada. Competitors generally target the affluent segment of the market. Overall, Bukalapak's fundamentals tick all the right boxes of rising monetisation, lower losses and declining cash burn, in our view. We will discuss valuation in our next note. </div>

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), which means 'opening a kiosk' in Indonesian, is a leading e-commerce player in non-Tier 1 cities in Indonesia, with a market share of 35% in 2020 based on GMV (gross merchandise value), according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Bukalapak carries out its main business activities through the mobile platform Bukalapak and Bukalapak Partners. Bukalapak has increased its IPO size by about a third to $1.5 billion due to strong demand, according to press reports. Bookbuilding will close on 19 July and the shares are set to list on 6 August. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the rate of e-commerce adoption in Indonesia as more consumers are reluctant to travel and started changing their shopping habits to online shopping, due to personal preferences or lockdown restrictions. The share of e-commerce of total retail spending in Indonesia has grown from 5.6% in 2017 to around 22% in 2020 and will reach 35.9% in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Like its peers, Bukalapak is benefiting from this market tailwind. Bukalapak’s strategy of focusing on consumers in the non-Tier 1 area and the mass market in the Tier 1 area results in a relatively small overlap (less than 20%) between its customers and customers of other online marketplaces such as Sea Ltd (SE US)'s Shopee, Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ) and Alibaba Group (BABA US)'s Lazada. Competitors generally target the affluent segment of the market. Overall, Bukalapak's fundamentals tick all the right boxes of rising monetisation, lower losses and declining cash burn, in our view. We will discuss valuation in our next note. 

Bukalapak IPO Initiation: Island Shopping

China

Zhongbai Holdings Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates several department stores and supermarkets.  Through it subsidiaries, the Company also operates in pharmaceuticals manufacturing, real estate development, and property management.

Better Life Commercial Chain Share Co., Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets, general merchandise stores and household electrical appliances stores.

Better Life Comm Chain Share Co (002251 CH)

Shanghai NO. 1 Pharmacy Co., Ltd. trades and markets medical products on a retail basis, chain drug store basis, and a wholesale basis.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces drugs, as well as develops, leases, and manages commercial real estate properties.

Luyan Pharma Co Ltd is a medical distributor. The Company wholesales medical equipment, vaccines, and more.

New Huadu Supercenter Co., Ltd. engages in chain operations in marketplaces, sup ermarkets, department stores.

Sanjiang Shopping Club Company Limited operates community budget supermarket franchises. The Company provides customers with retail services.

Renrenle Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. operates shopping outlets, supermarkets and department stores. The Company operates its stores throughout China.

Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Company Limited operates hypermarkets, supermarkets , and convenience stores in China.

Beijing Jingkelong Company Limited mainly engages in retail and wholesale businesses.

Jiahua Stores Holdings Limited operates retail department and supermarket stores in Shenzhen, China.

Qol Co., Ltd. operates direct-run pharmacies.  The Company also provides clinical trial services for drug development.

PT Tigaraksa Satria Tbk is divided into three groups, mainly distribution, own products, and investment. The Company distributes food and beverages, household products, and books and publications. In the own products group, Tigaraksa manufactures garments, air freshener, and milk powder.

INAGEYA CO., LTD. manages retail shops which mainly handle seafood, processed foods, and household products.  The Company mainly operates the business in Tokyo, Saitama, and Kanagawa area.

Village Super Market Inc. owns and operates supermarkets. The Company through its subsidiaries provides prepared food, natural and organic food, seafood products, bakery products, and pharmacy services. Village offers its products and services throughout New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and Maryland.

Yokohama Reito Co., Ltd. processes and sells seafood, fish, and livestock products.  The Company also manages cold storage facilities.

Taokaenoi Food & Marketing PCL operates as a food services firm. The Company manufactures edible seaweed snacks.

MINISTOP CO., LTD. operates convenience stores primarily in the Kanto and the Chubu areas of Japan.  The Company sells fast foods, daily dishes, processed foods, home necessities, and magazines.  Ministop is affiliated with Aeon Co., Ltd.

Mammy Mart Corporation operates supermarkets in Saitama Prefecture.  The Company mainly operates small scale stores.

NIHON CHOUZAI Co., Ltd. operates a drug store chain in Japan.  The Company manages drug prescriptions, orders, and inventories of all stores through an online system.

Cawachi Ltd. operates a chain of drug stores in the Tohoku and Chubu regions. The Company's stores sell products such as pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, health products, foodstuffs, and household consumable goods.  Cawachi also operates a chain of pharmacies.

Dada Nexus Limited operates a platform for local on-demand retail and delivery. The Company provides a digital solution leveraging the crowdsourcing model to address the challenge of frequent fluctuations brought forward by the nature of on-demand orders and to match the surging demand for delivery capacity with efficient supply. Dada Nexus serves customers in China.

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Dada Nexus (DADA US)

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Books will close on 21 March....

Arun George

GOGOX IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery

GOGOX is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200 million, according to press reports. We believe that the fundamentals are unattractive and we...

Arun George

Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021. In this note, we will talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

SF Intra-City (顺丰同城) IPO - Not the Right Price

Hangzhou SF Intra-City (SFIC) is looking to raise up to about US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO. Our valuation implies 11 - 38% potential downside to...

Sumeet Singh

Bukalapak IPO Initiation: Island Shopping

Bukalapak has increased its IPO size by about a third to $1.5 billion due to strong demand. Its fundamentals tick all the right boxes of rising...

Arun George

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