IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. </li>
<li>The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. </li>
<li>The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. </li>
</ul>



Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. 
The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. 
The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. 


Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 108.9% as of Sep 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by consumer staples, communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Eastern, China Southern Airlines, Tsingtao, HPI, RemeGen.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 108.9% as of Sep 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by consumer staples, communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Eastern, China Southern Airlines, Tsingtao, HPI, RemeGen.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 27th):China Eastern, China Southern Airlines, Tsingtao, HPI, RemeGen

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of Sep 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, materials and offset by consumer staples, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for RemeGen, JOINN, Shenzhen Expressway, Anhui Expressway, GAC Group, Ganfeng Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of Sep 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, materials and offset by consumer staples, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for RemeGen, JOINN, Shenzhen Expressway, Anhui Expressway, GAC Group, Ganfeng Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 20th):RemeGen, JOINN, Shenzhen Expressway, Anhui Expressway, GAC Group

<ul>
<li>On 6 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. </li>
<li>The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.</li>
</ul>


On 6 September, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. 
The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.
In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.


Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.2% as of Aug 16th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.2% as of Aug 16th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by communication services, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 16th):Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi

China

CSC Financial Co., Ltd. provides investment management services. The Company offers investment banking, wealth management, and trading and institutional client services. CSC Financial conducts its business in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
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CSC Financial (6066 HK)

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

The share exchange ratio is attractive. Regulatory approvals are a formality. The GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote is low risk. Timing is the key risk.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 27th):China Eastern, China Southern Airlines, Tsingtao, HPI, RemeGen

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Eastern, China Southern Airlines, Tsingtao, HPI, RemeGen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 20th):RemeGen, JOINN, Shenzhen Expressway, Anhui Expressway, GAC Group

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for RemeGen, JOINN, Shenzhen Expressway, Anhui Expressway, GAC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 16th):Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)