Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Commodities rallied as the dollar weakened and real rates declined again.</li><li>As you can see above, the CRB index bounced right from the 200D MA.</li><li>More important commodities did so even while GDP data was worse than expected. </li></ul>

Commodities rallied as the dollar weakened and real rates declined again.As you can see above, the CRB index bounced right from the 200D MA.More important commodities did so even while GDP data was worse than expected. 

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

<ul>
<li>Crude price movements have been almost entirely dictated by sentiment in the broader financial markets since around mid-June.</li>
<li>Prices rose in the week to July 29 as part of a broader relief rally in risk assets. The rally is exhausted but may help resist sharp downswings for now.</li>
<li>For the mid-Aug to mid-Sep period, we are mildly bullish. </li>
</ul>


Crude price movements have been almost entirely dictated by sentiment in the broader financial markets since around mid-June.
Prices rose in the week to July 29 as part of a broader relief rally in risk assets. The rally is exhausted but may help resist sharp downswings for now.
For the mid-Aug to mid-Sep period, we are mildly bullish. 


Bulls & Bears: Near-Term and Short-Term View on Oil Prices

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Select Medical Holdings / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that additional downside is limited from here.</li>
<li>We need to see downtrend reversals (get above 4030-4040 on SPX, $189 on IWM, and $115 on IWC) and for the NDX(QQQ) to break above $315, to get more constructive.</li>
<li>Positive signals include, among other things: the Financial Sector (XLF) and Broker-Dealers/Exchanges ETF (IAI) are reversing topside their 4-5-month downtrends.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that additional downside is limited from here.
We need to see downtrend reversals (get above 4030-4040 on SPX, $189 on IWM, and $115 on IWC) and for the NDX(QQQ) to break above $315, to get more constructive.
Positive signals include, among other things: the Financial Sector (XLF) and Broker-Dealers/Exchanges ETF (IAI) are reversing topside their 4-5-month downtrends.


Downgrading Utilities & Staples to Market Weight; Buy Ideas in Health Care & Trucking

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Is the inflation ship turning? Price action in markets warrants this question</li>
<li>The clearest breaks have been in US stocks which should still rally</li>
<li>Bonds may be the next to move - it is the central market to watch</li>
</ul>


Is the inflation ship turning? Price action in markets warrants this question
The clearest breaks have been in US stocks which should still rally
Bonds may be the next to move - it is the central market to watch


Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>WTI 105 short zone working again for a low near the 89/85 zone to set up a better buy level. Oil still struggling with supply/demand constraints.</li>
<li>105 has been our firm sell zone. Gap lower will cut the legs out from under the XLE bounce.</li>
<li>We expect USD strength to resume and will put additional pressure on oil. Choppy overlapping decline warns of an upcoming WTI low as the descending pattern matures.</li>
</ul>


WTI 105 short zone working again for a low near the 89/85 zone to set up a better buy level. Oil still struggling with supply/demand constraints.
105 has been our firm sell zone. Gap lower will cut the legs out from under the XLE bounce.
We expect USD strength to resume and will put additional pressure on oil. Choppy overlapping decline warns of an upcoming WTI low as the descending pattern matures.


WTI 105 Rejection Sets up a Key Low at 89/85

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

The Commodity Report #62

Commodities rallied as the dollar weakened and real rates declined again. As you can see above, the CRB index bounced right from the 200D MA.

The Commodity Report

Bulls & Bears: Near-Term and Short-Term View on Oil Prices

Our monthly report weighs all the major factors impacting benchmark crude prices and derives a view on the bullish-to-bearish spectrum for the next...

Vandana Hari

Downgrading Utilities & Staples to Market Weight; Buy Ideas in Health Care & Trucking

Positive developments are popping up, such as bullish reversals of 4-5-month downtrends for Financials $XLF and Broker-Dealers/Exchanges $IAI ....

Vermilion Research

Cross Markets: Is the Ship Turning?

The inverted curve in the US should NEVER be ignored. Latest indications point to further gains in bonds as well as ongoing gains in equities....

Shyam Devani

WTI 105 Rejection Sets up a Key Low at 89/85

WTI 105 short zone working again for a low near the 89/85 zone to set up a better buy level. Oil still struggling with supply/demand constraints.

Thomas Schroeder

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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