Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Takeaways: Energy freight rates still not reacting to troubles in the Red Sea</li><li>This week saw another increase in container freight rate.</li><li>Seasonality working against higher freight rates. That changes by April. </li></ul>

Takeaways: Energy freight rates still not reacting to troubles in the Red SeaThis week saw another increase in container freight rate.Seasonality working against higher freight rates. That changes by April. 

Suez and EIA Watch – Demand / Supply Getting Out of Balance?

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Key take aways: OPEC losing its impact on the market due to non-OPEC members productionFor how long can Saudi Arabia pull all the weight?</li><li>Europe and China would be the biggest winner in a OPEC breakdownHi and welcome to this year’s first ‘Out of the Box’.</li><li>Readers of our energy coverage will know that we have been very skeptical of the developments around OPEC and the crude oil markets.</li></ul>

Key take aways: OPEC losing its impact on the market due to non-OPEC members productionFor how long can Saudi Arabia pull all the weight?Europe and China would be the biggest winner in a OPEC breakdownHi and welcome to this year’s first ‘Out of the Box’.Readers of our energy coverage will know that we have been very skeptical of the developments around OPEC and the crude oil markets.

Out of the Box #26: OPEC is dead in it current form

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

<ul><li>The hosts discuss the long-standing concern over the risk of conflict between China and Taiwan, which has been a topic of speculation for many years.</li><li>They note that recent events, such as the tensions between Russia and Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas conflict, have heightened concerns about the prospect of a hot conflict in the future.</li><li>The importance of Taiwan's economy and its role in global supply chains, particularly in the semiconductor industry, has made the potential disruption of these supply chains a major concern for the world. This, in turn, may give China more incentive to assert its position on the Taiwan issue.</li></ul>This podcast is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.

The hosts discuss the long-standing concern over the risk of conflict between China and Taiwan, which has been a topic of speculation for many years.They note that recent events, such as the tensions between Russia and Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas conflict, have heightened concerns about the prospect of a hot conflict in the future.The importance of Taiwan's economy and its role in global supply chains, particularly in the semiconductor industry, has made the potential disruption of these supply chains a major concern for the world. This, in turn, may give China more incentive to assert its position on the Taiwan issue.This podcast is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.

The Massive Economic Impact If China Invades Taiwan

<ul><li>Takeaways: Price increases in goods likely to show up in Europe after the Summer</li><li>Watch out for energy prices once we start to fill up for next heating season</li><li>The recent turmoil in freight rates will likely exacerbate the divergence between US and the Eurozone</li></ul>

Takeaways: Price increases in goods likely to show up in Europe after the SummerWatch out for energy prices once we start to fill up for next heating seasonThe recent turmoil in freight rates will likely exacerbate the divergence between US and the Eurozone

Energy Cable: 4 Charts that Should Keep Largarde up at Night

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Panama Canal and Suez Canal are critical corridors underpinning global trade. &gt;50% of containers from Asia into America cross either through Panama or Suez.</li>
<li>Affected by El Niño, Panama Canal's capacity has shrunk to 25/day crossings &amp; risks falling to 18/day by February next year from an average of 36/day given shrinking water levels.</li>
<li>Given Europe’s higher sensitivity to geopolitics, European Natural Gas &amp; Crude Oil prices have reacted more wildly and have jumped sharply relative to US Gas and Oil prices.</li>
</ul>


Panama Canal and Suez Canal are critical corridors underpinning global trade. &gt;50% of containers from Asia into America cross either through Panama or Suez.
Affected by El Niño, Panama Canal's capacity has shrunk to 25/day crossings &amp; risks falling to 18/day by February next year from an average of 36/day given shrinking water levels.
Given Europe’s higher sensitivity to geopolitics, European Natural Gas &amp; Crude Oil prices have reacted more wildly and have jumped sharply relative to US Gas and Oil prices.


War and Weather Choking Supply Chains and Risks Spooking Inflation

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Suez and EIA Watch – Demand / Supply Getting Out of Balance?

Takeaway: Energy freight rates still not reacting to troubles in the Red Sea, with this week seeing another increase in container freight rate.

Steno Research

Out of the Box #26: OPEC is dead in it current form

Key take aways: OPEC losing its impact on the market due to non-OPEC members production. For how long can Saudi Arabia pull all the weight? Europe...

Steno Research

The Massive Economic Impact If China Invades Taiwan

In this podcast episode, the hosts introduce themselves, discuss the recurring risk between China and Taiwan, acknowledge their past incorrect...

Odd Lots

Energy Cable: 4 Charts that Should Keep Largarde up at Night

Takeaways: Price increases in goods likely to show up in Europe after the Summer. Watch out for energy prices once we start to fill up for next...

Steno Research

War and Weather Choking Supply Chains and Risks Spooking Inflation

Conflicts are intensifying in the Red Sea. US and UK launched about 70 airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen. Houthis vows to respond and asserts...

Mint Finance

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