Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Schneider Electric Infrastructure / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We interacted with channels associated with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skf-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4984:1" rel="noopener">SKF India Ltd (SKF IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schneider-electric-infrastructure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16778:1" rel="noopener">Schneider Electric Infrastructure (SCHN IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Sector tailwinds, market share gain ability and changing consumer preferences are all working in place for growth ahead.  </li>
<li>SCHFL stands out in terms of growth and margins, SCHN's channel feedback and recent performance in encouraging.</li>
</ul>


We interacted with channels associated with SKF India Ltd (SKF IN) , Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) &amp; Schneider Electric Infrastructure (SCHN IN).
Sector tailwinds, market share gain ability and changing consumer preferences are all working in place for growth ahead.  
SCHFL stands out in terms of growth and margins, SCHN's channel feedback and recent performance in encouraging.


India Channel Insight #48 | SKF, Schaeffler, Schneider

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Weak Q2 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 6/12%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 6/12% in Q2FY23 (vs 24/11% in Q2FY22 and 61/9% in Q1FY23)</li><li>The quarter marred by destocking impact, unfavorable base, and extended monsoon saw weak execution</li><li>The premium segment has done well across categories but mass segment has seen slowdown during Q2.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weak Q2 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 6/12%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 6/12% in Q2FY23 (vs 24/11% in Q2FY22 and 61/9% in Q1FY23)The quarter marred by destocking impact, unfavorable base, and extended monsoon saw weak executionThe premium segment has done well across categories but mass segment has seen slowdown during Q2.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Weak Q2 print, expect better H2FY23 delivery

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs -3% in Q1FY22 and 12% in Q4FY22)</li><li>During Q1FY23, cooling products sustained their demand momentum, with India (ex-south) seeing a strong summer</li><li>Demand for electrical construction materials has sustained a healthy trend, led by strong housing and home improvement demand</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs -3% in Q1FY22 and 12% in Q4FY22)During Q1FY23, cooling products sustained their demand momentum, with India (ex-south) seeing a strong summerDemand for electrical construction materials has sustained a healthy trend, led by strong housing and home improvement demandContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables (Q1FY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; margin recovery on the cards

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance / Equity Bottom-Up

Back in November 2020, M M Murugappan retired and Vellayan Subbiah joined the board as Chairman. At the time, the move seemed like a non-event, as it seemed like a group-wide replacement than a targeted role. But subsequently the CEO, Arun Alagappan, cousin of Vellayan Subbiah, who joined as Executive Director in 2017 and was elevated to CEO not too long ago in 2019, also resigned in Jan 2021. Meanwhile, since Nov 2020, there has been an increasing emphasis from RBI on converting large NBFCs into banks. These events together have translated this seemingly innocuous move (Vellayan Subbiah joining as Chairman) into a meaningful leadership change at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cholamandalam-investment-and-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17583:1" rel="noopener">Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)</a> ["Chola"]. Going by the commentary from Vellayan Subbiah at the recent earnings call, this can potentially lead to long-run transformational changes at Chola. Below we share the history of Chola and the role Vellayan Subbiah has played in shaping it, to put in perspective our favorable view on the leadership change and highlight what could be in store for Chola.

Back in November 2020, M M Murugappan retired and Vellayan Subbiah joined the board as Chairman. At the time, the move seemed like a non-event, as it seemed like a group-wide replacement than a targeted role. But subsequently the CEO, Arun Alagappan, cousin of Vellayan Subbiah, who joined as Executive Director in 2017 and was elevated to CEO not too long ago in 2019, also resigned in Jan 2021. Meanwhile, since Nov 2020, there has been an increasing emphasis from RBI on converting large NBFCs into banks. These events together have translated this seemingly innocuous move (Vellayan Subbiah joining as Chairman) into a meaningful leadership change at Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN) ["Chola"]. Going by the commentary from Vellayan Subbiah at the recent earnings call, this can potentially lead to long-run transformational changes at Chola. Below we share the history of Chola and the role Vellayan Subbiah has played in shaping it, to put in perspective our favorable view on the leadership change and highlight what could be in store for Chola.

Leadership Change Alert | Chola Investment: Vellayan Is Back; Watch Out for Transformational Leap

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/7797" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1">Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)</a> announced the acquisition of an 80.1% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22568" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22568:1">ABB Ltd (ABBN VX)</a>’s power grids business for $6.4 billion. ABB will retain the remaining stake in the divested unit, which is valued at an EV of $11 billion. ABB’s power grids is a global #1 player and makes transformers, long distance electricity-transmission systems and energy storage units.<div class="content-highlight">Setting aside the huge cultural and integration challenges, we believe that Hitachi’s acquisition of ABB’s power grids is a bold but a risky move.</div>

Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) announced the acquisition of an 80.1% stake in ABB Ltd (ABBN VX)’s power grids business for $6.4 billion. ABB will retain the remaining stake in the divested unit, which is valued at an EV of $11 billion. ABB’s power grids is a global #1 player and makes transformers, long distance electricity-transmission systems and energy storage units.Setting aside the huge cultural and integration challenges, we believe that Hitachi’s acquisition of ABB’s power grids is a bold but a risky move.

Hitachi (6501 JP): A Bold but Risky Acquisition of ABB’s Power Grids

India

CG Power and Industrial Solutions Limited manufactures, distributes, installs and services electrical and allied equipment. The Company offers transformers, reactors, switchgear control equipment and accessories, industrial motors, pumps, and communication systems. CG Power and Industrial Solutions serves customers globally. 

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Crompton Greaves (CGPOWER IN)

India Channel Insight #48 | SKF, Schaeffler, Schneider

This channel insight outlines our interactions with distributors of SKF India Ltd, Schaeffler India and Schneider Electric Infrastructure.

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Durables (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Weak Q2 print, expect better H2FY23 delivery

Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 6/12% in Q2FY23 (vs 24/11% in...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables (Q1FY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; margin recovery on the cards

Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs ...

HDFC Securities

Leadership Change Alert | Chola Investment: Vellayan Is Back; Watch Out for Transformational Leap

With Vellayan back at the helm and with the kind of vision he is approaching his role at Chola, Chola seems to be gearing up for a transformational...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Hitachi (6501 JP): A Bold but Risky Acquisition of ABB’s Power Grids

Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) announced the acquisition of an 80.1% stake in ABB Ltd (ABBN VX)’s power grids business for $6.4 billion. ABB will retain the...

Arun George

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