Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.</li>
<li>Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.
Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Healthy AUM growth: The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments.</li><li>Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most financiers (ex-Vehicle financiers) moderated on a QoQ basis.</li><li>Management commentary on growth momentum sustaining is reassuring.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthy AUM growth: The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments.Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most financiers (ex-Vehicle financiers) moderated on a QoQ basis.Management commentary on growth momentum sustaining is reassuring.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

<ul><li>The Axis Top Picks Basket returned a solid return of 10% in July’23 against the 3% return posted by Nifty 50, beating the benchmark by a wide margin.</li><li>Over the last one year, the basket has gained 32%. Moreover, we are happy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 202% since its inception (May’20), well above the 113% return that NIFTY 50 delivered over the same period.</li><li>In light of this, we continue to believe in our thematic approach to Top Picks selection. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Axis Top Picks Basket returned a solid return of 10% in July’23 against the 3% return posted by Nifty 50, beating the benchmark by a wide margin.Over the last one year, the basket has gained 32%. Moreover, we are happy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 202% since its inception (May’20), well above the 113% return that NIFTY 50 delivered over the same period.In light of this, we continue to believe in our thematic approach to Top Picks selection. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,700/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses, (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams, and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimates</li><li>Earnings in Q1 were largely impacted by weaker-than-expected O2C profitability. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another impressive quarter on the back of strong loan growth (+18% YoY), treasury gains, and continued robust asset quality</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,700/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses, (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams, and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimatesEarnings in Q1 were largely impacted by weaker-than-expected O2C profitability. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another impressive quarter on the back of strong loan growth (+18% YoY), treasury gains, and continued robust asset qualityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Equity Bottom-Up

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CAGrameen added ~3.3 Lc borrowers in Q1FY24, with ~47% coming from other than Top-3 states.</li><li>Disbursements de-grew by ~33% QoQ owing to seasonality, while YoY growth was strong at 122%.</li><li>GLP growth was in line with our expectations of 40%/4% YoY/QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAGrameen added ~3.3 Lc borrowers in Q1FY24, with ~47% coming from other than Top-3 states.Disbursements de-grew by ~33% QoQ owing to seasonality, while YoY growth was strong at 122%.GLP growth was in line with our expectations of 40%/4% YoY/QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. - Stellar Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue!

India

CreditAccess Grameen Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers income generation, home improvement, emergency, and family welfare loans, as well as retail finance, insurance, and healthcare programs. CreditAccess Grameen serves clients in India.

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CreditAccess Grameen Ltd (CREDAG IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

We see 42 potential migrations between the size categories. The small to mid migrations have outperformed. There will be a lot of overlap between...

Brian Freitas

Top Sector Ideas - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments .Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks - Aug 2023

The Axis Top Picks Basket returned a solid return of 10% in July’23 against the 3% return posted by Nifty 50, beating the benchmark by a wide margin.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

RIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimates

HDFC Securities

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. - Stellar Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue!

CAGrameen added ~3.3 Lc borrowers in Q1FY24, with ~47% coming from other than Top-3 states. Disbursements de-grew by ~33% QoQ owing to seasonality,...

Axis Direct

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