Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)</li><li>Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of deposits</li><li>With limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lower</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of depositsWith limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lowerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CAGrameen added ~3.4 Lc borrowers, with ~40% coming from states other than the Top.</li><li>The diversification strategy is on track with the share of Top-3 states reducing to 55% from 58% YoY.</li><li>Disbursements grew by 14/4% YoY/QoQ, translating into robust GLP growth of 36/3% YoY/QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAGrameen added ~3.4 Lc borrowers, with ~40% coming from states other than the Top.The diversification strategy is on track with the share of Top-3 states reducing to 55% from 58% YoY.Disbursements grew by 14/4% YoY/QoQ, translating into robust GLP growth of 36/3% YoY/QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd - Yet Another Robust Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue!

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.</li>
<li>There will be a few announcements next week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> rebalances on Friday.</li>
<li>Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.
There will be a few announcements next week with Nikkei 225 early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the STAR50 rebalances on Friday.
Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the CSI 300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

India

CreditAccess Grameen Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers income generation, home improvement, emergency, and family welfare loans, as well as retail finance, insurance, and healthcare programs. CreditAccess Grameen serves clients in India.

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CreditAccess Grameen Ltd (CREDAG IN)

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HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd - Yet Another Robust Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue!

CAGrameen added ~3.4 Lc borrowers, with ~40% coming from states other than the Top. The diversification strategy is on track with the share of Top...

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Brian Freitas

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