IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a>, a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.</li>
<li>We have previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82294" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82376" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-vs-tokopedia-vs-bukalapak-vs-lazada-vs-shopee" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82473" rel="noopener">Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Blibli (1437710D IJ), a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.
We have previously discussed the IPO in Blibli IPO: The Bull Case, Blibli IPO: The Bear Case and Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.


Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Valuation losses in the Vision Fund public portfolio are now approaching $5bn as the end of the quarter looms versus break-even as recently as 13 September</li>
<li>That may have influenced the level of VF staff reductions which press reports ut at 30% versus expectations of 20% last month</li>
<li>The discount remains elevated on tech weakness and that is unlikely to change</li>
</ul>


Valuation losses in the Vision Fund public portfolio are now approaching $5bn as the end of the quarter looms versus break-even as recently as 13 September
That may have influenced the level of VF staff reductions which press reports ut at 30% versus expectations of 20% last month
The discount remains elevated on tech weakness and that is unlikely to change


Softbank Group - Vision Fund Losses Accelerate into Quarter End

Head of ESG Rating (ESGCB), Who's Good

Ju Yeon Lee

Head of ESG Rating (ESGCB)

ASIA’S FIRST AI-DRIVEN ESG INSIGHT PROVIDER

Who's Good

Using AI technologies and public data, Who’s Good provides objective and up-to-date corporate ESG insights on Asian companies.

WHY WHO'S GOOD

* Time-sensitive: Time is the essence in finance. Artificial Intelligence (AI) can process vast amount of information in a short span of time. Our powerful algorithm offers real-time in-depth corporate ESG analysis with out compromising its quality.
* Objective: We turned to public big data and news big data as source to base our analysis on and to preserve impartiality. We leverage 350 public big data sources and 93 news data sources in Korea to uncover insights.
* Insightful: Who’s Good ESG analysis coverage extends to all listed and non-listed companies in Korea. This allows us to provide a comprehensive insight into the Korean market.
* Global approach to ESG: Our ESG research framework is built on international standards and principles including UN Global Compact, ISO 26000, ICGN and CFA Guidelines on Corporate Governance to meet the global standards.

<ul>
<li>E: In terms of resource management, Coupang was fined the most among companies that failed to fulfill their recycling obligations, and the use of plastic packaging is increasing every year.</li>
<li>S: Coupang was flagged for the largest number of disputes among online platforms. Not only conflicts with consumers and communities, but also the unfair labor practices are key risks.</li>
<li>G: Bom Kim resigned as chairman after the fire at Icheon Logistics Center. These measures were suspected of being intended to avoid punishment under the Serious Accidents Punishment Act.</li>
</ul>


E: In terms of resource management, Coupang was fined the most among companies that failed to fulfill their recycling obligations, and the use of plastic packaging is increasing every year.
S: Coupang was flagged for the largest number of disputes among online platforms. Not only conflicts with consumers and communities, but also the unfair labor practices are key risks.
G: Bom Kim resigned as chairman after the fire at Icheon Logistics Center. These measures were suspected of being intended to avoid punishment under the Serious Accidents Punishment Act.


ESG Analysis of a Korean E-Commerce Giant: Did Coupang's ESG Performance Really Improve?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Leading into 2Q22 results (due 10th August 2022), we are short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG US)</a> with expectations of around 5% and 27% downside to consensus 2022 and 2023 revenue estimates.</li>
<li>Consensus has just about reached the halfway stage of a long correction process with current revenue estimates standing significantly above the pre-COVID trend.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, Coupang is under a lot of pressure to cut losses in the short term and attain the targeted long-term EBITDA margin of 7-10%.</li>
</ul>


Leading into 2Q22 results (due 10th August 2022), we are short Coupang (CPNG US) with expectations of around 5% and 27% downside to consensus 2022 and 2023 revenue estimates.
Consensus has just about reached the halfway stage of a long correction process with current revenue estimates standing significantly above the pre-COVID trend.
Meanwhile, Coupang is under a lot of pressure to cut losses in the short term and attain the targeted long-term EBITDA margin of 7-10%.


Coupang: Just About Halfway in Correction

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.</li>
<li>The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.</li>
<li>Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.
The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.
Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. 


A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

South Korea

Coupang, Inc. operates as an e-commerce company. The Company offers dynamic end-to-end e-commerce and logistic solutions. Coupang serves customers worldwide.

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Coupang (CPNG US)

Blibli IPO: Valuation Insights

Bookbuilding will close on 24 October. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.

Arun George

Softbank Group - Vision Fund Losses Accelerate into Quarter End

Softbank shares are down 8% since it announced the early settlement of Alibaba derivative contracts but a strong dollar has helped as declines in...

Kirk Boodry

ESG Analysis of a Korean E-Commerce Giant: Did Coupang's ESG Performance Really Improve?

Coupang (CPNG US), which has been criticized several times for ESG-related issues, promoted ESG management practices through its newsroom. Who’s...

Ju Yeon Lee

Coupang: Just About Halfway in Correction

Leading into 2Q22 results (due 10th August 2022), we are short Coupang with expectations of around 5% and 27% downside to consensus 2022 and 2023...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang...

Douglas Kim

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