Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.</li>
<li>Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.</li>
</ul>


It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.
Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 19. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest spiked in Country Garden Service (6098 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 19. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest spiked in Country Garden Service (6098 HK).


HK Short Interest: Country Garden Short Spike

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. </li>
<li>India IPO will likely take a breather after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> disastrous debut.</li>
<li>Hong Kong will be Hong Kong will be where most of the attention will be after getting a wave of approvals in this week. Stay tuned to our coverage.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. 
India IPO will likely take a breather after Paytm (PAYTM IN) disastrous debut.
Hong Kong will be Hong Kong will be where most of the attention will be after getting a wave of approvals in this week. Stay tuned to our coverage.


ECM Weekly (21st Nov 2021) - Weilong, Cloud Village, SF Intra, China Tourism, Asymchem, Gushengtang

Country Garden Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its primary placement.</li>
<li>Given CGS track record, we think that the company will be able to put the cash to good use.</li>
<li>Admittedly, sentiment isn’t great. But CGS' parent seems to be managing its debt situation well and there will not be overhang, unlike Sunac Services.</li>
</ul>



Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its primary placement.
Given CGS track record, we think that the company will be able to put the cash to good use.
Admittedly, sentiment isn’t great. But CGS' parent seems to be managing its debt situation well and there will not be overhang, unlike Sunac Services.


Country Garden Services Placement - Cautious Outlook for the Industry but Worth a Bet

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Late last month, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/modern-land-china-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16899:1" rel="noopener">Modern Land China (1107 HK)</a> became the latest Chinese developer to miss a payment on a dollar bond. In an HKEx filing on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/1026/2021102600163.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">26 October</a>, Modern Land said that principal and interest payments on a US$250mn bond were “not met” by the 25 October deadline.
Modern Land had previously sought a three-month extension to the maturity on the bond, but later withdrew the proposal.  The company blamed the missed payment on “unexpected liquidity issues arising from the adverse impact of a number of factors including the macroeconomic environment, the real estate industry environment and the Covid-19 pandemic”.
Shares in Modern Land have been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/1021/2021102100209.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> since the 21 October. 
<h3>The New News</h3>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-services-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29239:1" rel="noopener">Sunac Services Holdings (1516 HK)</a> intends to acquire a 32.22% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-service-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34884:1" rel="noopener">First Service Holding (2107 HK)</a>, the completion of which will trigger an unconditional mandatory cash offer.
The Offer Price is HK$2.6167/share,  a 91% premium to the closing price of First Service prior to the trading halt on October 8.
Zhang Lei is currently the major shareholder of First Service with 51.39%. He is also the major shareholder and chairman of Modern Land with 65.38%. His holding in First Service will decline to 30% upon the completion of the agreements with Sunac Services. Proceeds from the sale of HK$843mn, which may be subject to revision, are expected to be used to repay Modern Land's debt.
This appears a knock-out Offer for First Service. It is Sunac Services' intention to delist the company, should 90% of disinterested shareholders tender.
Timing is the key issue. 
More below the fold.

Late last month, Modern Land China (1107 HK) became the latest Chinese developer to miss a payment on a dollar bond. In an HKEx filing on the 26 October, Modern Land said that principal and interest payments on a US$250mn bond were “not met” by the 25 October deadline.
Modern Land had previously sought a three-month extension to the maturity on the bond, but later withdrew the proposal.  The company blamed the missed payment on “unexpected liquidity issues arising from the adverse impact of a number of factors including the macroeconomic environment, the real estate industry environment and the Covid-19 pandemic”.
Shares in Modern Land have been suspended since the 21 October. 
The New News
Sunac Services Holdings (1516 HK) intends to acquire a 32.22% stake in First Service Holding (2107 HK), the completion of which will trigger an unconditional mandatory cash offer.
The Offer Price is HK$2.6167/share,  a 91% premium to the closing price of First Service prior to the trading halt on October 8.
Zhang Lei is currently the major shareholder of First Service with 51.39%. He is also the major shareholder and chairman of Modern Land with 65.38%. His holding in First Service will decline to 30% upon the completion of the agreements with Sunac Services. Proceeds from the sale of HK$843mn, which may be subject to revision, are expected to be used to repay Modern Land's debt.
This appears a knock-out Offer for First Service. It is Sunac Services' intention to delist the company, should 90% of disinterested shareholders tender.
Timing is the key issue. 
More below the fold.

Sunac Services' Offer For First Service (2107 HK) May Support Modern Land

China

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited provides real estate development services. The Company develops residential apartments, multi-functional complex buildings, government and public facilities, industrial parks, highway service stations, and schools. Country Garden Services Holdings serves clients in China.

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Country Garden Services (6098 HK)

Asia: The Year in Shorts

There have been large increases and decreases in short interest on stocks across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan over the year. We look at the biggest...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest: Country Garden Short Spike

We highlight week on week short interest spiked in Country Garden Service (6098 HK) in the latest HK SFC short aggregate position report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (21st Nov 2021) - Weilong, Cloud Village, SF Intra, China Tourism, Asymchem, Gushengtang

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Country Garden Services Placement - Cautious Outlook for the Industry but Worth a Bet

Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its primary placement. Given CGS track record, we think that the...

Sumeet Singh

Sunac Services' Offer For First Service (2107 HK) May Support Modern Land

At HK$2.14/share, First Service is currently trading at a gross/annualised spread of 22.2%/128.1%, assuming late January completion. Or 39.6%...

David Blennerhassett

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