Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In the first piece of the series <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/silk-roads-part-i-background" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7042">Silk Roads Part I: Background</a> we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which in our view remains an important complementary external pillar to China's ongoing domestic policy agenda, and thus a high-conviction longer-term investment theme. In the second piece in our Silk Roads series, we situate the OBOR bloc in terms of current liquid investment securities.OBOR markets already comprise 22% of world market capitalisation and are home to about 60% of cross-border investment capital resident in emerging market economies worldwide.  Of that 60%, 40% of this capital is resident in China. From an investment strategy standpoint, this shows that, while beneficiaries of the policy exist further afield than in China itself, there are merits in focusing on those Chinese names exposed to OBOR investments as the first port-of-call.

In the first piece of the series Silk Roads Part I: Background we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which in our view remains an important complementary external pillar to China's ongoing domestic policy agenda, and thus a high-conviction longer-term investment theme. In the second piece in our Silk Roads series, we situate the OBOR bloc in terms of current liquid investment securities.OBOR markets already comprise 22% of world market capitalisation and are home to about 60% of cross-border investment capital resident in emerging market economies worldwide.  Of that 60%, 40% of this capital is resident in China. From an investment strategy standpoint, this shows that, while beneficiaries of the policy exist further afield than in China itself, there are merits in focusing on those Chinese names exposed to OBOR investments as the first port-of-call. 

Silk Roads Part 2: Big (Emerging Market) OBOR Investors

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, <blockquote>Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…</blockquote>

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

China

Cosco Shipping Development Co., Ltd is a container shipping company based in China.  The Company owns, charters, and operates container vessels for the provision of international and domestic container marine transportation services.

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Cosco Shipping Development (2866 HK)

Silk Roads Part 2: Big (Emerging Market) OBOR Investors

In the first piece of the series Silk Roads Part I: Background we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which...

Naomi Fink

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese...

Christopher Balding

Early Look at October Chinese PMI

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By...

Christopher Balding

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

We have earlier argued that the current M&A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping,...

Christopher Balding

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