Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p>Our dollar domino top theme is now bleeding into metals strength as the Euro marks a key bull reversal turn.</p><div>We shorted the USD vs CAD (1.2850), GBP (1.3450) and AUD (0.7190) ahead of the DXY topping call at 94.50 with a bet the Euro would lag a key low which it has. </div><div></div><div>A weaker USD will support our gold and copper long bets (ties in with our A50 breakout/long call).</div><div></div><div>We have a ST yield top in for the US 10yr but remains the bigger input that will drive a mild USD pullback or bigger decline.</div>

Our dollar domino top theme is now bleeding into metals strength as the Euro marks a key bull reversal turn.We shorted the USD vs CAD (1.2850), GBP (1.3450) and AUD (0.7190) ahead of the DXY topping call at 94.50 with a bet the Euro would lag a key low which it has. A weaker USD will support our gold and copper long bets (ties in with our A50 breakout/long call).We have a ST yield top in for the US 10yr but remains the bigger input that will drive a mild USD pullback or bigger decline.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<p>Market dynamics remain largely healthy, and new developments continue to point to improving risk appetites. Still, Energy (XOP, RYE) is the only cyclical value Sector that has been able to decisively break to new price highs, while others remain in congestion. Therefore, our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall, and we see pullbacks as buying opportunities.</p><p>Charts highlighted: XLF, Copper, IWM, MCHI, KRE, XLB, S&amp;P 500, CNQ, SU, IMO, CVE, OVV, COP, EOG, PXD, OXY, HES, DVN, CLR, CFR, PB, BOKF, IBTX, TBK, BSVN, BAC, WFC, USB, PNC, TFC, FITB, KEY, RF, and CMA</p>

Market dynamics remain largely healthy, and new developments continue to point to improving risk appetites. Still, Energy (XOP, RYE) is the only cyclical value Sector that has been able to decisively break to new price highs, while others remain in congestion. Therefore, our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall, and we see pullbacks as buying opportunities.Charts highlighted: XLF, Copper, IWM, MCHI, KRE, XLB, S&amp;P 500, CNQ, SU, IMO, CVE, OVV, COP, EOG, PXD, OXY, HES, DVN, CLR, CFR, PB, BOKF, IBTX, TBK, BSVN, BAC, WFC, USB, PNC, TFC, FITB, KEY, RF, and CMA

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk Appetites Improving; Watching Financials, Copper, US Dollar

<p>Recent shorts in metals did meet if not exceed downside targets at copper 4.0, palladium 2,350 with platinum still contending with triangulation. Short re cycle levels and break points are the focus.</p><p>China and the USD are key inputs to drive a fresh down leg in base metals. The demand side of the equation (China) is overshadowing the USD pullback (nearing support). We are also moving into a seasonally weak period for risk.</p><p>Gold remains bullish to test 1,850 where a tactical top is due.</p>

Recent shorts in metals did meet if not exceed downside targets at copper 4.0, palladium 2,350 with platinum still contending with triangulation. Short re cycle levels and break points are the focus.China and the USD are key inputs to drive a fresh down leg in base metals. The demand side of the equation (China) is overshadowing the USD pullback (nearing support). We are also moving into a seasonally weak period for risk.Gold remains bullish to test 1,850 where a tactical top is due.

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration / Technical Analysis

<p>Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (<strong>XLE, XOP, RYE</strong>) and Transportation (<strong>IYT, XTN, JETS</strong>) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.</p><p>Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL</p>

Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (XLE, XOP, RYE) and Transportation (IYT, XTN, JETS) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

<p>Call to short base metals saw a sharp decline and met key tactical targets with bounces viewed as a fresh selling opportunity. What is more concerning is the demand message such a move sends.</p><p>Copper broke trendline support. Platinum's bounce was rejected under pivot resistance. Palladium's sharp decline warns of bigger problems below 2,450.</p><p>Fresh sell levels are: Copper 4.18, platinum 1,030/20 and palladium near 2,450.</p>

Call to short base metals saw a sharp decline and met key tactical targets with bounces viewed as a fresh selling opportunity. What is more concerning is the demand message such a move sends.Copper broke trendline support. Platinum's bounce was rejected under pivot resistance. Palladium's sharp decline warns of bigger problems below 2,450.Fresh sell levels are: Copper 4.18, platinum 1,030/20 and palladium near 2,450.

United States

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

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Copper (COPPER COMDTY)

Dollar Decline to Support Metals Rally

Our dollar domino top theme (CAD, GBP, AUD lead) is now bleeding into metals strength as the Euro marks a key bull reversal turn. Bullish copper...

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk Appetites Improving; Watching Financials, Copper, US Dollar

Financials (XLF) are on the cusp of a breakout above $39, while copper is on the cusp of a breakout above $4.38; breakouts above resistance would...

Vermilion Research

Metals Re Short/Breakout Levels

Recent shorts in metals did meet if not exceed downside targets at copper 4.0, palladium 2,350 with platinum still contending with triangulation....

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall. Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&P 500, IWM, IWC,...

Vermilion Research

Metals Short Targets Met - Red Flag

Call to short base metals saw a sharp decline and met key tactical targets with bounces viewed as a fresh selling opportunity. What is more...

Thomas Schroeder

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