IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.   </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
In CALB IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in terms of installed capacity in 2021, CALB ranked seventh globally among EV battery companies with a 3.2% market share.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing market, rising market share, explosive top-line growth and ambitious capacity expansion plans.</li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in terms of installed capacity in 2021, CALB ranked seventh globally among EV battery companies with a 3.2% market share.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing market, rising market share, explosive top-line growth and ambitious capacity expansion plans.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate inflows to be US D158m, led by information technology, Consumer Discretionary, industrials and offset materials, and consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for GREE, CATL, Longi Green, BOE Technology, China Tourism, and Xinghuacun.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 2nd.
We estimate inflows to be US D158m, led by information technology, Consumer Discretionary, industrials and offset materials, and consumer staples.
We highlight flows for GREE, CATL, Longi Green, BOE Technology, China Tourism, and Xinghuacun.


Northbound Flows (Sep 2nd): GREE, CATL, Longi Green, BOE Technology

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things are starting to move with Leapmotor and Onewo, while CALB continues to have second thoughts.</li>
<li>The biggest placement this week was Doosan, but there was news of Tencent setting its sights on sizeable future placements via divestments.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things are starting to move with Leapmotor and Onewo, while CALB continues to have second thoughts.
The biggest placement this week was Doosan, but there was news of Tencent setting its sights on sizeable future placements via divestments.


ECM Weekly (4th Sep 2022) - China ADRs, Tencent, Leapmotor, Onewo, Hongjiu Fruit, Doosan Ener

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows were USD 2,169.3 million last month, led by consumer staples and industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai, Sanhua, Sungrow, Tbea, CMB, Beijing Oriental Yuhong. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that the inflows were USD 2,169.3 million last month, led by consumer staples and industrials.
We highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai, Sanhua, Sungrow, Tbea, CMB, Beijing Oriental Yuhong. 


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): CATL, Longi, Yunnan Energy New Material

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

CALB IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.

Arun George

CALB IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing market, rising market share, explosive top-line growth and ambitious capacity...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Sep 2nd): GREE, CATL, Longi Green, BOE Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect last week and highlight flows for GREE, CATL, Longi Green, BOE Technology, China Tourism, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (4th Sep 2022) - China ADRs, Tencent, Leapmotor, Onewo, Hongjiu Fruit, Doosan Ener

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): CATL, Longi, Yunnan Energy New Material

We estimate $2.2bn northbound inflows into A-share in August and highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)