IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80286" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-updates-support-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80643" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in CALB IPO: The Bull Case, CALB IPO: The Bear Case and CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential valuation range. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.0bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.0bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.


Leapmotor IPO - Peers Recent Down Move Won’t Help

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The growth in China A-Share exposure has slowed as we approach full ownership across the EM active fund universe.</li>
<li>China A-Share allocations have remained solid throughout this year’s volatility and heavy country rotation.</li>
<li>Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex Technology remain the most widely held stocks, but others are starting to make their mark.</li>
</ul>


The growth in China A-Share exposure has slowed as we approach full ownership across the EM active fund universe.
China A-Share allocations have remained solid throughout this year’s volatility and heavy country rotation.
Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex Technology remain the most widely held stocks, but others are starting to make their mark.


China A-Share Deep Dive:  Growth Slows, but EM Funds Remain Well Invested

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, a few large Hong Kong IPOs are rumoured to be aiming to launch their bookbuild next week.</li>
<li>There was only the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> mega entitlement offer this week, on the placements front.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, a few large Hong Kong IPOs are rumoured to be aiming to launch their bookbuild next week.
There was only the Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) mega entitlement offer this week, on the placements front.


ECM Weekly (18th Sep 2022) - CALB, Onewo, Leapmotor, WCP, Biogene, Socionext, Prop Guru, PayMate

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.


Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

CALB IPO: What's It Worth?

CALB is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential...

Arun George

Leapmotor IPO - Peers Recent Down Move Won’t Help

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.0bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we run...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (18th Sep 2022) - CALB, Onewo, Leapmotor, WCP, Biogene, Socionext, Prop Guru, PayMate

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CALB IPO: What's It Worth?

CALB is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential...

Arun George

Leapmotor IPO - Peers Recent Down Move Won’t Help

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.0bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we run...

Sumeet Singh

China A-Share Deep Dive: Growth Slows, but EM Funds Remain Well Invested

China A-Share exposure has seen tremendous growth over the last decade, yet the rate of ownership growth has slowed this year. In this piece we...

Steven Holden

ECM Weekly (18th Sep 2022) - CALB, Onewo, Leapmotor, WCP, Biogene, Socionext, Prop Guru, PayMate

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM