The Big Picture for the Major Banks Is Playing Out as Expected, but CBD Apartment Risk Is Increasing
The big picture for Australia’s four wide-moat major banks is playing out as expected. Loan growth is slowing but only modestly; net interest...
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Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident
There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
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US Stock Market Seasonality: Shemitah Redux, The Afterparty
Almost exactly a year ago I wrote a piece on stock market seasonality titled Stock Market Seasonality - Januaries, SuperBowls, Third Years,...
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Buying September Fallout – S&P 2,100 Line
Call for equity strength to fade last week into a September correction is on track. The argument for a pullback in Asia is based primarily on...
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