Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.
There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the March rebalance complete, there could be 6 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> using the current index methodology.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 13.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 28.6bn. Four inclusions will have over 1x ADV to buy; five deletions will have 2.5x+ ADV to sell.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 28.6% over the last month. With positioning from a rebalance perspective mostly done, gradually unwind over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the March rebalance complete, there could be 6 potential changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) using the current index methodology.
Estimated one-way turnover is 13.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 28.6bn. Four inclusions will have over 1x ADV to buy; five deletions will have 2.5x+ ADV to sell.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 28.6% over the last month. With positioning from a rebalance perspective mostly done, gradually unwind over the next few weeks.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)</li><li>Volume grew in the low single digits with price hikes continuing to support revenue growth</li><li>Domestic revenues grew by 9% supported by the strong performance of the core portfolio</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)Volume grew in the low single digits with price hikes continuing to support revenue growthDomestic revenues grew by 9% supported by the strong performance of the core portfolioContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Persistent Systems, RBL Bank

<ul><li>Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)</li><li>Volume grew in the low single digits with price hikes continuing to support revenue growth</li><li>Domestic revenues grew by 9% supported by the strong performance of the core portfolio</li><li>GM expanded by 630bps YoY to 72% (up 340bps QoQ) and was a big contributor to 30% growth in EBITDA</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)Volume grew in the low single digits with price hikes continuing to support revenue growthDomestic revenues grew by 9% supported by the strong performance of the core portfolioGM expanded by 630bps YoY to 72% (up 340bps QoQ) and was a big contributor to 30% growth in EBITDAContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Persistent Systems, RBL Bank, Karur Vysya Bank

<ul><li>Slow pick-up in demand, revenue to grow by 4/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver 4/9% growth YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY24 (vs 4/9% in Q2FY24 and 8/9% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Mirroring the trends seen in Q2FY24, the demand has remained stable during the quarter</li><li>Recovery in rural markets remained below expectations while urban demand was steady</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Slow pick-up in demand, revenue to grow by 4/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver 4/9% growth YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY24 (vs 4/9% in Q2FY24 and 8/9% in Q3FY23)Mirroring the trends seen in Q2FY24, the demand has remained stable during the quarterRecovery in rural markets remained below expectations while urban demand was steadyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Uninspiring demand recovery

India

Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. manufactures consumer products in the oral care and body care area. The Company's products include soaps, cosmetics, toilet preparations, toothpaste, toothbrushes, shaving brushes, and glycerin.

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Colgate Palmolive (India) (CLGT IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

For NIFTY 50, the top-ranked potential ADD and DEL are Trent Ltd and LTIMindtree respectively. I expect there to be at least one NIFTY 50 change in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run

With the review period complete, there could be 6 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 in March. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Persistent Systems, RBL Bank

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Persistent Systems, RBL Bank, Karur Vysya Bank

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s Q3 print positively surprised with revenue growing by 8% (HSIE 6%) while EBITDA was up by 30% (HSIE 19%)

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Uninspiring demand recovery

Slow pick-up in demand, revenue to grow by 4/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver 4/9% growth YoY/four-year...

HDFC Securities

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