Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Despite 78% and 61% rallies in Ethereum and Bitcoin from the Jul 20 lows, Monex stock has continued to decline, falling 10% in that period. It is possible that this is simply blowback from an extremely strong rally since late 2020 but valuations suggest that Monex is at a severe discount to Coinbase.

Despite 78% and 61% rallies in Ethereum and Bitcoin from the Jul 20 lows, Monex stock has continued to decline, falling 10% in that period. It is possible that this is simply blowback from an extremely strong rally since late 2020 but valuations suggest that Monex is at a severe discount to Coinbase.

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.  

CTS Global Digital Asset and Blockchain Equities Weekly (20/8)

Crypto

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.   

<h3>Stock Picks</h3>
Coinbase (COIN US) – Growing by leaps and bounds; Initiate with Buy, TP: US$302.62 We initiate coverage of Coinbase Global (Coinbase) with a Buy rating and 12-month SOTP-derived target price of US$302.62. As one of the largest digital asset trading platforms with a broad suite of value-added services, we believe Coinbase will benefit from the expanding TAM of the cryptoeconomy, which will drive revenue and user growth. We see current valuations (17.2x 2022E P/E) as attractive relative to its robust growth profile and leading position in the digital asset industry.
BC Tech Group (863 HK) – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy; TP: HK$18.53 We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions. As one of the few publicly listed and licensed players in the digital asset exchange industry, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth and earnings breakeven in 2022E. We view current valuations (7.6x 2022E P/S) as attractive relative to its regional and global peers, given its robust revenue growth.
<h3>Where we differ</h3>
Sell-side research has been focused narrowly on margin compression and intensifying competition from other exchanges.  Our view is that focusing any discussion of licensed and regulatory compliant digital asset exchanges on commission and margin pressure is overly limiting. Instead, we urge equity investors to take a broader view. In other words, investing in pick and shovel plays will give investors exposure to the future potential of the digital asset phenomenon.

Stock Picks
Coinbase (COIN US) – Growing by leaps and bounds; Initiate with Buy, TP: US$302.62 We initiate coverage of Coinbase Global (Coinbase) with a Buy rating and 12-month SOTP-derived target price of US$302.62. As one of the largest digital asset trading platforms with a broad suite of value-added services, we believe Coinbase will benefit from the expanding TAM of the cryptoeconomy, which will drive revenue and user growth. We see current valuations (17.2x 2022E P/E) as attractive relative to its robust growth profile and leading position in the digital asset industry.
BC Tech Group (863 HK) – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy; TP: HK$18.53 We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions. As one of the few publicly listed and licensed players in the digital asset exchange industry, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth and earnings breakeven in 2022E. We view current valuations (7.6x 2022E P/S) as attractive relative to its regional and global peers, given its robust revenue growth.
Where we differ
Sell-side research has been focused narrowly on margin compression and intensifying competition from other exchanges.  Our view is that focusing any discussion of licensed and regulatory compliant digital asset exchanges on commission and margin pressure is overly limiting. Instead, we urge equity investors to take a broader view. In other words, investing in pick and shovel plays will give investors exposure to the future potential of the digital asset phenomenon.

Corporate Access: BC Tech Group & Coinbase Coverage

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Headline Developments On the back of the Epic v Apple case, documents were released highlighting that Google (GOOG) had considered buying Epic outright.  During the case, Epic Games outlined Google’s plans to develop “a series of internal projects to address the ‘contagion’ it perceived from efforts by Epic and others to offer consumers and developers competitive alternatives and has even contemplated buying some or all of Epic to squelch this threat”.

Headline Developments On the back of the Epic v Apple case, documents were released highlighting that Google (GOOG) had considered buying Epic outright.  During the case, Epic Games outlined Google’s plans to develop “a series of internal projects to address the ‘contagion’ it perceived from efforts by Epic and others to offer consumers and developers competitive alternatives and has even contemplated buying some or all of Epic to squelch this threat”.

United States

Coinbase Global, Inc. provides financial solutions. The Company offers platform to buy and sell cryptocurrencies. Coinbase Global serves clients worldwide.

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Coinbase Global (COIN US)

Monex – Refreshing Valuations

The news of Coinbase's entry into Japan hurt sentiment for Monex but examining valuations, we feel the risk reward is starting to become extremely...

Mio Kato

CTS Global Digital Asset and Blockchain Equities Weekly (20/8)

CTS Research: BC Tech (863 HK) 1H21 strong rev| COIN new trading platfom in Japan; South Korea regulations; Eth 2.0 upgrade; OpenSea; Alibaba NFT

Quam Securities

CTS Research: Digital Asset Thematic

Initiate COIN and BC Tech Group (863 HK) with Buy | Sign up for BC Tech Group NDR 20/8 | US infra bill passage; Poly Hack; Tencent NFT

Quam Securities

Corporate Access: BC Tech Group & Coinbase Coverage

We published a thematic sector report on Digital Asset Exchanges and initiated coverage on the Global Digital Exchange Sector with Buy ratings on...

Quam Securities

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #44

Headline Developments On the back of the Epic v Apple case, documents were released highlighting that Google (GOOG) had considered buying Epic...

Granite Bay Capital

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