Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Now the time decay to expected approvals and tender offer start for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> are getting steep. Time to Fight The FUD.</li>
<li>The accretion trade is going to plan as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> sells <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>; and Prosus and Tencent both back their own shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>'s board capacity to sabotage calling an SGM has finally run out of puff.</li>
</ul>


Now the time decay to expected approvals and tender offer start for JSR Corp (4185 JP) are getting steep. Time to Fight The FUD.
The accretion trade is going to plan as Prosus NV (PRX NA) sells Tencent (700 HK); and Prosus and Tencent both back their own shares.

Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)'s board capacity to sabotage calling an SGM has finally run out of puff.


Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Prosus/Tencent, Hollysys, Tata Consultancy, Geely, EOFlow

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same few names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, etc, but the nets are changing (and Chongqing Changan)</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND were again net sellers (RMB -3.16bn), but Shanghai saw net buys. The top two flows were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chongqing-changan-automobi-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13472:1" rel="noopener">Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)</a> to buy, BYD to sell.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same few names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, etc, but the nets are changing (and Chongqing Changan)
Last week, NORTHBOUND were again net sellers (RMB -3.16bn), but Shanghai saw net buys. The top two flows were Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH) to buy, BYD to sell.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23): Chongqing Changan (Bought) Vs BYD (Sold)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. </li>
<li>We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. 
We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

China

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile C (000625 CH)

Price Gauge
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Chongqing Changan Automobile C (000625 CH)

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Prosus/Tencent, Hollysys, Tata Consultancy, Geely, EOFlow

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

The Quiddity A/H Premium tracker (an H/A discount version is also available (and I like that one better)). Hs underperform As. Tech is worst....

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23): Chongqing Changan (Bought) Vs BYD (Sold)

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows continue to sell net selling. This week was RMB -3.16bn. The big buy this week was Chongqing Changan, the big...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)