IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-22/bain-backed-chindata-said-to-field-preliminary-takeover-interest" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg article</a> claimed that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a> is attracting takeover interest from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23649:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US)</a>, PAG and EdgeConneX. Shares rose 9.8% to close at $4.81.</li>
<li>Potential privatisation will require the blessing of Bain Capital, the largest shareholder. Chindata’s track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and the beaten-down rating make it a target. </li>
<li>A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>’s proposed acquisition multiple, would imply $6.85 per ADS. </li>
</ul>


A Bloomberg article claimed that Chindata Group (CD US) is attracting takeover interest from GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US), PAG and EdgeConneX. Shares rose 9.8% to close at $4.81.
Potential privatisation will require the blessing of Bain Capital, the largest shareholder. Chindata’s track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and the beaten-down rating make it a target. 
A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with 21Vianet Group (VNET US)’s proposed acquisition multiple, would imply $6.85 per ADS. 


Chindata the Next Chinese ADR Privatisation Target?

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Alibaba's "Carbon Neutrality Plan" is highly ambitious, scientifically rigorous, and thoughtfully governed. In today's greenwashed world, Alibaba's plan sets a higher standard.</li>
<li>The decarbonisation plan is a silver lining on an otherwise dark Alibaba cloud – a silver <em>lining,</em> not a silver <em>bullet</em>. It wonn't fix Alibaba's problems, with one possible exception...</li>
<li>Alibaba's plan is so ambitious it could facilitate China's national net-zero targets. China seeing Alibaba as propaganda-gold or private-sector poster child is a possible catalyst. </li>
</ul>


Alibaba's "Carbon Neutrality Plan" is highly ambitious, scientifically rigorous, and thoughtfully governed. In today's greenwashed world, Alibaba's plan sets a higher standard.
The decarbonisation plan is a silver lining on an otherwise dark Alibaba cloud – a silver lining, not a silver bullet. It wonn't fix Alibaba's problems, with one possible exception...
Alibaba's plan is so ambitious it could facilitate China's national net-zero targets. China seeing Alibaba as propaganda-gold or private-sector poster child is a possible catalyst. 


Alibaba Group's New Carbon Neutrality Plan Is a Silver Lining, But Not a Silver Bullet

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Chindata is a data centre operator. It is the largest carrier-neutral hyperscale data centre operator in Asia-Pacific emerging markets as measured by capacity in service, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The MSCI May 2021 review period has just wrapped up, and Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index and the largest buying impact from passive funds - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/msci-may-2021-index-rebalance-preview-let-the-games-begin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50473" rel="noopener">MSCI May 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Let The Games Begin</a>.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>After touching $23.65 per ADS on 26 Feb 2021, Chindata has derated and is down 45% YTD. The last close price of $13.19 per ADS is 2% below the IPO price of $13.50 per ADS. The Asia-Pacific hyperscale data centre market remains a structural growth market in part due to the increasing prevalence of outsourcing data centre services, rising client demand for higher power density, and increasing regulatory requirements on data security. Overall, we think that Chindata remains an attractive play on these favourable market dynamics and the shares are worth a closer look. </p></div>

Chindata is a data centre operator. It is the largest carrier-neutral hyperscale data centre operator in Asia-Pacific emerging markets as measured by capacity in service, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The MSCI May 2021 review period has just wrapped up, and Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index and the largest buying impact from passive funds - MSCI May 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Let The Games Begin.  After touching $23.65 per ADS on 26 Feb 2021, Chindata has derated and is down 45% YTD. The last close price of $13.19 per ADS is 2% below the IPO price of $13.50 per ADS. The Asia-Pacific hyperscale data centre market remains a structural growth market in part due to the increasing prevalence of outsourcing data centre services, rising client demand for higher power density, and increasing regulatory requirements on data security. Overall, we think that Chindata remains an attractive play on these favourable market dynamics and the shares are worth a closer look. 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. </p></div><div><p>In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.</p></div><div><p>We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: </p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-sticky-customers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers</a>, </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-negatives-horrendous-data-disclosures-including-no-mention-of-ott-launch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-fair-bit-of-competition-but-it-s-doing-better-than-most-local-peers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-earnings-forecast-and-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-momentum-play-unequal-lock-up-index-inclusion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-quick-note-peers-move-down-range-moves-up-ripe-for-trading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.</a></li>
</ul></div>

Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: 

Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers, 
Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch
Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers
Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation
Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion
Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.


Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/Lock-Up Dates

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Cloopen Group Holding Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloopen-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31315:1" rel="noopener">Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US)</a> raised about US$320m at US$16 per ADS, which is above the initial price range.</p>
<div>
<p>Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. The company offers communications platform as a services (CPaaS), cloud-based contact center (CC), cloud-based UC&amp;C  solutions to customers.</p>
<p>In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Our previous coverage:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-thematically-favorable-but-not-showing-results-for-now" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47520" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Thematically Favorable but Not Showing Results for Now</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-and-thoughts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47608" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Thoughts</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-forecast-assumptions-and-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47651" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Forecast, Assumptions, and Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-investments-in-cloopen-pax-global-hi-sun-tech-market-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47655" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Investments in Cloopen + Pax Global &gt; Hi Sun Tech Market Cap</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-ipo-hi-sun-tech-angle-gets-more-attractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47785" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO - Hi Sun Tech Angle Gets More Attractive</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>

Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US) raised about US$320m at US$16 per ADS, which is above the initial price range.

Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. The company offers communications platform as a services (CPaaS), cloud-based contact center (CC), cloud-based UC&amp;C  solutions to customers.
In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.


Our previous coverage:




Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Thematically Favorable but Not Showing Results for Now 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Thoughts 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Forecast, Assumptions, and Valuation 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Investments in Cloopen + Pax Global &gt; Hi Sun Tech Market Cap 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO - Hi Sun Tech Angle Gets More Attractive 



Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO Trading - Set for a Strong Debut

China

Chindata Group Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides carrier-neutral hyperscale data center solutions to analyze, manage, and store data, business systems, and processes. Chindata Group Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Chindata Group (CD US)

Chindata the Next Chinese ADR Privatisation Target?

Bloomberg claimed that Chindata is attracting takeover interest from GDS, PAG and EdgeConneX. A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with...

Arun George

Alibaba Group's New Carbon Neutrality Plan Is a Silver Lining, But Not a Silver Bullet

Alibaba's decarbonisation plan is a silver lining on an otherwise dark Alibaba cloud. But it's not a silver bullet; it won't fix Alibaba's problems...

Kyle Rudden

Chindata Group: Data Centre Value

Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index but the shares are down 45% YTD. The valuation is...

Arun George

Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/Lock-Up Dates

Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and...

Sumeet Singh

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO Trading - Set for a Strong Debut

Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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