Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Lygend Resources & Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$15.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$3.5 billion (US$450 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lygend-resources-technology-ipo-riding-the-wave" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84558" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lygend-resources-technology-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84749" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK) priced its IPO at HK$15.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$3.5 billion (US$450 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave and Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Valuation Insights.
Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.


Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Trading Debut

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Duty Free (CDF) is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), it had 86.0% market share by retail sales revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2021.</li>
<li>With signs emerging of China finally looking to relax its COVID restrictions over the coming months, this will lead to a sales revival at its airports.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Duty Free (CDF) is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), it had 86.0% market share by retail sales revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2021.
With signs emerging of China finally looking to relax its COVID restrictions over the coming months, this will lead to a sales revival at its airports.


2023 High Conviction: China Tourism Duty Free - All Ready for the Next Travel Wave

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.</li>
<li>Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.
Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

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China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains...

Arun George

2023 High Conviction: China Tourism Duty Free - All Ready for the Next Travel Wave

China Tourism Duty Free is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid...

Ethan Aw

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

We see 3 inclusions for the index in Dec, and then 26 adds/16 deletions in March. Following the March rebal, we see 22 adds/37 deletions for Stock...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)