HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Power output for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> is healthy in Jul-Aug, following the solid trend in 1H23. The drop in hydropower has moderated and wind and solar stayed decent.</li>
<li>Capacity growth will reach 43% in FY23. With just 7.8% YoY in 1H23, most of the new capacity will be added in 4Q23, accelerating both output and profitability.</li>
<li>The parent SPIC's massive clean energy assets are candidates for potential injection. CPI's high EPS CAGR of 28.8% means that it well deserves premium valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>


Power output for China Power International (2380 HK) is healthy in Jul-Aug, following the solid trend in 1H23. The drop in hydropower has moderated and wind and solar stayed decent.
Capacity growth will reach 43% in FY23. With just 7.8% YoY in 1H23, most of the new capacity will be added in 4Q23, accelerating both output and profitability.
The parent SPIC's massive clean energy assets are candidates for potential injection. CPI's high EPS CAGR of 28.8% means that it well deserves premium valuation multiples. 


China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.</li>
<li>New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.</li>
<li>I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.</li>
</ul>


The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.
New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.
I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.


Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8):  ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.</li>
<li>Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.</li>
<li>There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.</li>
</ul>



China Longyuan Power (916 HK) is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.
Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.
There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.


China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

China

China Suntien Green Energy Corp Ltd operates a wind farm and a natural gas business. The Company intends to build wind power projects and develop natural gas projects throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Suntien Green Energy (956 HK)

China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

CPI's capacity growth is expected to reach 43% in FY23, with most of them to be added in 4Q23, boosting output and profitability. Its high EPS CAGR...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8): ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

The fourth week of the A/H Monitor and the last three weeks have seen decent returns. Hs outperformed As decently on a short week. Exposure to...

Travis Lundy

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

CPI's capacity growth is expected to reach 43% in FY23, with most of them to be added in 4Q23, boosting output and profitability. Its high EPS CAGR...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8): ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

The fourth week of the A/H Monitor and the last three weeks have seen decent returns. Hs outperformed As decently on a short week. Exposure to...

Travis Lundy

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

​Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...