Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China ETF flows were steady for the week, however Southbound Connect flows were negative for the first time since February.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>  shares standout in the luxury brand sector as Miu Miu sales surged.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> slightly beat estimates but still have BioSecure Act overhang.</li>
<li>Property development firms <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:51:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Holdings (4 HK)</a> were hurt by poor results, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> saw earnings miss estimates.</li>
</ul>


China ETF flows were steady for the week, however Southbound Connect flows were negative for the first time since February.
Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)  shares standout in the luxury brand sector as Miu Miu sales surged.  WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) slightly beat estimates but still have BioSecure Act overhang.
Property development firms Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Wharf Holdings (4 HK) were hurt by poor results, while New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) saw earnings miss estimates.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 2)

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we look at the latest policy support in China property, as well as the latest rate cut from the Central Bank</li>
<li>In the physical market, there are some signs of bottoming out, particularly in key cites such as Shanghai and Shenzhen.  Secondary market is recovering</li>
<li>If investors would like exposure in the sector, we recommend CRL (1109 HK) and COLI (688 HK), both are SOE names with almost zero bankruptcy risks</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we look at the latest policy support in China property, as well as the latest rate cut from the Central Bank
In the physical market, there are some signs of bottoming out, particularly in key cites such as Shanghai and Shenzhen.  Secondary market is recovering
If investors would like exposure in the sector, we recommend CRL (1109 HK) and COLI (688 HK), both are SOE names with almost zero bankruptcy risks


Short Note: China Property Recovery Upcoming with Policy Support and Rate Cut

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, BOC, Power Assets, HSBC, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, BOC, Power Assets, HSBC, China Mobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 2nd): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Power Assets

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-asset-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22650:1" rel="noopener">CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK)</a> has traded lower recently and shorts have exploded in the stock in the last few months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-asset-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22650:1" rel="noopener">CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK)</a> has underperformed its peers in the last 6 months and trades cheaper on forward PE and price to book.</li>
<li>There will be passive selling in the stock in just over two weeks. There will be positioning, but not enough to meet passive supply. Expect a further move lower.</li>
</ul>



CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK) has traded lower recently and shorts have exploded in the stock in the last few months.

CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK) has underperformed its peers in the last 6 months and trades cheaper on forward PE and price to book.
There will be passive selling in the stock in just over two weeks. There will be positioning, but not enough to meet passive supply. Expect a further move lower.


CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK): First Down, Then Up?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Record Low Allocations: Real Estate holdings in active China equity funds have plummeted to a new low of 2.51%, with only 76.4% of funds maintaining any position.</li>
<li>Recent Fund Rotation: Closures by key investors and a downturn in ownership metrics since October last year highlight the sector’s declining appeal.</li>
<li>KE Holdings Exception: Amidst the decline, KE Holdings (2423 HK) stands out, achieving an all-time high in fund ownership.</li>
</ul>


Record Low Allocations: Real Estate holdings in active China equity funds have plummeted to a new low of 2.51%, with only 76.4% of funds maintaining any position.
Recent Fund Rotation: Closures by key investors and a downturn in ownership metrics since October last year highlight the sector’s declining appeal.
KE Holdings Exception: Amidst the decline, KE Holdings (2423 HK) stands out, achieving an all-time high in fund ownership.


China Real Estate: Continued Fund Rotation Drives New Lows

Hong Kong

China Resources Land Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties.  The Company also provides corporate financing and electrical engineering services.

Price Gauge
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China Resources Land (1109 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 2)

Southbound Connect flows were negative for the first week since February. Prada benefited from a weak JPY and Wuxi AppTec beat estimates. HK...

David Mudd

Short Note: China Property Recovery Upcoming with Policy Support and Rate Cut

In this update, we look at the latest government policy and rate cut, which are tailwinds to the sector. Physical market is recovering. We think...

Jacob Cheng

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 2nd): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Power Assets

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, BOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK): First Down, Then Up?

CK Asset has traded lower and underperformed peers, short have spiked, and excess volume has increased. There will be passive selling in a couple...

Brian Freitas

China Real Estate: Continued Fund Rotation Drives New Lows

Closures by key investors and a downturn in ownership metrics since October last year highlight the Real Estate sector’s declining appeal.

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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