IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100252" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights. 
We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99966" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. 


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Sensetime, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Sensetime, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 14th): Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case and ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. 


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beer Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>2023 outlook. Management remains confident in 2023.</li><li>We are unaware of a major revision to previous guides, which targets HSD growth in revenue, contributed by 1) LSD volume growth driven by ~20% sub-premium/ premium SKUs (~30% from Heineken) that accelerate from mid-teen growth in 2022, 2) MSD to HSD ASP growth thanks to regional price hike and product mix upgrade.</li><li>Meanwhile, input cost pressure is easing (~RMB500mn increase vs RMB1bn+ in 2022) and should fuel GPM to expand further from 2022.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

2023 outlook. Management remains confident in 2023.We are unaware of a major revision to previous guides, which targets HSD growth in revenue, contributed by 1) LSD volume growth driven by ~20% sub-premium/ premium SKUs (~30% from Heineken) that accelerate from mid-teen growth in 2022, 2) MSD to HSD ASP growth thanks to regional price hike and product mix upgrade.Meanwhile, input cost pressure is easing (~RMB500mn increase vs RMB1bn+ in 2022) and should fuel GPM to expand further from 2022.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CR Beer (291 HK) – An in-line 2H22; our top pick among China F&B names

Hong Kong

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

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China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)

ZJLD Group IPO: Trading Debut

We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price.

Arun George

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of HK$10.78-12.98 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 14th): Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look

ZJLD is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's...

Arun George

CR Beer (291 HK) – An in-line 2H22; our top pick among China F&B names

2023 outlook. Management remains confident in 2023. We are unaware of a major revision to previous guides, which targets HSD growth in revenue

CMB International

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