Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect encouraging 5.1 travel data. According to various sources and news we monitor, air passenger during the holiday is likely to surpass 9mn persons, tracking approximately 110% of the level we saw in 2019.</li><li>Splitting between domestic and overseas travellers, the former will likely grow by approximately 25%, while, for the latter, the recovery could track up to 30-40% of that in 2019.</li><li>By destination, air ticket booking to Hainan grew by 1.5x, and Hainan represented 93% of the travel destination of domestic trips.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect encouraging 5.1 travel data. According to various sources and news we monitor, air passenger during the holiday is likely to surpass 9mn persons, tracking approximately 110% of the level we saw in 2019.Splitting between domestic and overseas travellers, the former will likely grow by approximately 25%, while, for the latter, the recovery could track up to 30-40% of that in 2019.By destination, air ticket booking to Hainan grew by 1.5x, and Hainan represented 93% of the travel destination of domestic trips.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Expecting Encouraging Data from the 5.1 Holiday This Year

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100252" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights. 
We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99966" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. 


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Sensetime, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Sensetime, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 14th): Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou

Hong Kong

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

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China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)

Screening for GEMs: May 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

China Consumer – Expecting Encouraging Data from the 5.1 Holiday This Year

According to various sources and news we monitor, air passenger during the holiday is likely to surpass 9mn persons, tracking approximately 110% of...

CMB International

ZJLD Group IPO: Trading Debut

We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price.

Arun George

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of HK$10.78-12.98 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 14th): Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Sensetime, SMIC, Cnooc, China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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