Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Low Volatility and High Dividend yield stocks in Hong Kong outperformed the region during recent global market sell off.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mgm-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:472:1" rel="noopener">MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)</a> is outperforming its peers with revenue now exceeding pre-COVID levels.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> maintains a high cash flow and dividend yield in China's tech sector.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhuzhou-crrc-times-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18:1" rel="noopener">Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)</a> benefits from China's new large-scale maintenance cycle.
</li>
</ul>


Low Volatility and High Dividend yield stocks in Hong Kong outperformed the region during recent global market sell off.

MGM China Holdings (2282 HK) is outperforming its peers with revenue now exceeding pre-COVID levels.


Weibo (9898 HK) maintains a high cash flow and dividend yield in China's tech sector.  Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK) benefits from China's new large-scale maintenance cycle.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 6)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>'s overseas contracts surged sharply in 2Q24 as market share gained. Slow domestic contracts are transient as bond issues will accelerate.</li>
<li>Its backlog continued to grow to 4.7x 12-month forward revenue, which is higher than the 5-year average of 4.1x. Improving margin trend in 1Q24 will sustain into 2H24.</li>
<li>With a projected ROE of 8.4% for the next two years, its 0.2x P/B is inexpensive. It is also attractive based on dividend yields of 7.7% and 8.4%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK)'s overseas contracts surged sharply in 2Q24 as market share gained. Slow domestic contracts are transient as bond issues will accelerate.
Its backlog continued to grow to 4.7x 12-month forward revenue, which is higher than the 5-year average of 4.1x. Improving margin trend in 1Q24 will sustain into 2H24.
With a projected ROE of 8.4% for the next two years, its 0.2x P/B is inexpensive. It is also attractive based on dividend yields of 7.7% and 8.4%, respectively.


China Comm Const (1800 HK): Robust Growth Prospects Accelerating

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.</li>
<li>China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.</li>
<li>Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.</li>
</ul>


China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.
China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.
Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.


Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.9% as of Jun 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by real estate, health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.9% as of Jun 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by real estate, health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

China

China Railway Construction Corporation Ltd is a full service construction company.  The Company's services include construction operations, survey design and consulting. China Railway also has manufacturing operations, real estate operations, and logistics. The Company specializes in railway construction.

China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 6)

Low Vol and High Dividend factors outperformed the region during recent sell off. MGM i EBITDA exceeds pre-COVID levels. Weibo will benefit from...

David Mudd

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Robust Growth Prospects Accelerating

CCCC saw a surge in overseas contracts in 2Q24, with a growing backlog and improving margins. Its low valuation, high dividend yields, and secured...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Sinopec Engineering and China State Construction have entered short term corrections while CRC has broken its downtrend in the near term. Yum...

David Mudd

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 6)

Low Vol and High Dividend factors outperformed the region during recent sell off. MGM i EBITDA exceeds pre-COVID levels. Weibo will benefit from...

David Mudd

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Robust Growth Prospects Accelerating

​CCCC saw a surge in overseas contracts in 2Q24, with a growing backlog and improving margins. Its low valuation, high dividend yields, and secured...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Sinopec Engineering and China State Construction have entered short term corrections while CRC has broken its downtrend in the near term. Yum...

David Mudd

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CCCC saw a surge in overseas contracts in 2Q24, with a growing backlog and improving margins. Its low valuation, high dividend yields, and secured...