HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Three Gorges Renewables / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-three-gorges-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28950:1" rel="noopener">China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH)</a> (CTGR) has an splendid FY21 as it pre-announced result with a range of 46.5-53.1% growth in recurring profit, fuelled by generation and disposal gains. </li>
<li>The first full-year contribution of many projects commissioned in 4Q21, which boosted a 28.4% QoQ surge in power generation, should underpin FY22 earnings - consensus forecast is expecting 41% growth.</li>
<li>YTD, CTGR's share price performed in line with Shanghai Composite Index (-6.1%), but its strong EPS CAGR of 22% for FY21-23 provides room for it to outperformed in medium term. </li>
</ul>



China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH) (CTGR) has an splendid FY21 as it pre-announced result with a range of 46.5-53.1% growth in recurring profit, fuelled by generation and disposal gains. 
The first full-year contribution of many projects commissioned in 4Q21, which boosted a 28.4% QoQ surge in power generation, should underpin FY22 earnings - consensus forecast is expecting 41% growth.
YTD, CTGR's share price performed in line with Shanghai Composite Index (-6.1%), but its strong EPS CAGR of 22% for FY21-23 provides room for it to outperformed in medium term. 


China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH): Good, and Better Is Coming

<ul>
<li>Nov and Dec wind generation continue to accelerate on a YoY basis, and it is also noteworthy that other renewable energy generation surged 346% MoM and 992% YoY in Dec.</li>
<li>SASAC's latest guidance for the centrally-owned SOEs on installed renewable capacity target of over 50% of total by 2025 is another signal of strong government support on wind power.</li>
<li>Acceptance by Shenzhen Stock Exchange of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-pingzhuang-energy-resources-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4267:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia PingZhuang Energy Resources (000780 CH)</a> listing withdrawal application marks another step towards <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK)</a> return to A-share.</li>
</ul>


Nov and Dec wind generation continue to accelerate on a YoY basis, and it is also noteworthy that other renewable energy generation surged 346% MoM and 992% YoY in Dec.
SASAC's latest guidance for the centrally-owned SOEs on installed renewable capacity target of over 50% of total by 2025 is another signal of strong government support on wind power.
Acceptance by Shenzhen Stock Exchange of Inner Mongolia PingZhuang Energy Resources (000780 CH) listing withdrawal application marks another step towards China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK) return to A-share.


China Longyuan (916 HK): The Trend Is Your Friend

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Were Buying Utilities Towards End of 2021

China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> has 20-30GW of potential clean energy project pipeline, and with its coal-fired power disposal plan, it has a strong case to achieve clean energy transformation. </li>
<li>Adjustment in tariff in Oct and new mechanism for 2022 tariff will see coal-fired profitability rebound. Potential asset injection from parent SPIC will also be positive long-term catalyst for CPI.  </li>
<li>We project its clean energy capacity growth may reach a CAGR of 44% in the 14th 5-year Plan, driving earnings momentum. Despite sharp rally YTD, valuations are still below peers. </li>
</ul>



China Power International (2380 HK) has 20-30GW of potential clean energy project pipeline, and with its coal-fired power disposal plan, it has a strong case to achieve clean energy transformation. 
Adjustment in tariff in Oct and new mechanism for 2022 tariff will see coal-fired profitability rebound. Potential asset injection from parent SPIC will also be positive long-term catalyst for CPI.  
We project its clean energy capacity growth may reach a CAGR of 44% in the 14th 5-year Plan, driving earnings momentum. Despite sharp rally YTD, valuations are still below peers. 


China Power International (2380 HK): Updates on an Ambitious Roadmap

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, China Power, Kuaishou and Evergrande. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, China Power, Kuaishou and Evergrande. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, China Power, Kuaishou, Evergrande

Hong Kong

CGN New Energy Holdings Co Ltd is a diversified independent power producer in Asia. The Company has a portfolio of gas-fired, coal-fired, oil-fired, hydro, cogen and fuel cell power generation projects in the People's Republic of China and Korea.

China Gas Holdings Ltd. invests in, operates and manages natural gas distribution pipelines.  The Company distributes and sells natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial users, and bottles and sells compressed natural gas.  China Gas also constructs and operates gas stations.

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited is a fixed single investment trust in Hong Kong with a focus on the power industry. The Trust is a vertically integrated power utility and its operations comprise the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity to Hong Kong Island and Lamma Island.

China Resources Gas Group Ltd distributes natural gas and petroleum gas in the cities of Chengdu, Fuyang, Huaibei, Linhai, Suzhou and Wuxi in the PRC. The Company also operates compressed natural gas filling stations in Chengdu, Nanjing and Wuxi. The group also is involved in bottled liquefied petroleum gas distribution in cities of Fuyang, Suzhou and Wuxi.

Guangdong Investment Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates water supply, power and electricity, and infrastructure businesses.  The Company also invests in and develops real estate properties, operates department stores, and provides financial services.

Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops water treatment systems.  The Group specializes in water services and environmental protection businesses, with waste water treatment as its core business segment.

Zhongyu Gas Holdings Limited operates in exploration, exploitation, development and production of coal bed methane and the sale of coalbed methane in the PRC. It also develops, constructs and operates natural gas projects in PRC, which include design and construction of natural gas pipeline network and ancillary facilities, and sale and maintenance of natural gas and its appliances.

Towngas China Company Ltd. distributes and markets gas.  The Company sells LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) in  bulk and in cylinder, provides piped LPG and natural gas, constructs gas pipelines, operates city gas-pipeline networks and gas stations, and sells LPG  and natural gas household appliances.

China Renewable Energy Investment Ltd, through its subsidiaries, principally engaged in the business of alternative energy. The Company is an alternative energy project developer focused on China.

China Renewable Energy Investment (987 HK)

China Water Affairs Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, supplies city water and sewage treatment.  The Company supplies raw water and tap water, treats sewage, constructs water supply pipe networks, and installs water meters.

Huadian Power International Corporation Limited generates and sells electricity which is all fed into the Shandong Provincial Grid operated by Shandong Electric Power (Group) Corporation (SEPCO), the immediate holding company of the Company.  The Company also sells heat.

Hubei Energy Group Co Ltd is principally engaged in power generation, natural gas distribution, and coal trading businesses. The Company's products include hydropower, thermal power, wind power, coal, and natural gas.

Talen Energy Corporation provides utility services. The Company generates, distributes, transmits, and markets electricity, as well as produces and supplies natural gas and other renewable energy products for residential and commercial users. Talen Energy serves customers in the United States.

Shenergy Company Limited develops, constructs, and invests in electric power and other energy related projects.  The Company distributes electric power, heat, and gas.

Shenzhen Energy Group Company, Ltd. generates and distributes electricity and gas. The Company supplies power to cities in the Peoples Republic of China, including Shenzhen, Huizhou and Dongguan, Guangdong Province.

Shenzhen Energy Group Co, Ltd. (000027 CH)

Aboitiz Power Corporation provides hydroelectric power generation.

Ormat Technologies, Inc. develops and operates renewable energy projects. The Company offers geothermal, recovered energy, and energy management and storage solutions. Ormat Technologies serves customers worldwide.

Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited generates and distributes power, mines and processes lignite, manufactures fertilizers & chemicals and processes and sells clay of all kinds. The Company's other activities include the briquetting and carbonization of lignite and its main products include electric power, lignite, nekolin, pulverized nekolin, urea, coke fines and leco.

Greencoat U.K. Wind PLC is a closed-end investment trust incorporated in the UK. The Fund invests in wind farm projects predominantly with a capacity of over 10MW. The substantial majority of the portfolio will be operating UK wind farm projects. The Company will invest in equity and associated debt instruments when making acquisitions in wind farms.

Northland Power Inc. owns or has an economic interest in power generation facilities in Canada, the United States and Germany. The Company's facilities produce electricity from clean natural gas and renewable energy sources, such as solar, wind and biomass. Northland Power maintains an active development and construction program for additional new power generation opportunities.

China Power International Development Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, constructs, owns, manages, and operates large power plants in China.

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China Power International (2380 HK)

China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH): Good, and Better Is Coming

CTGR's pre-announced FY21 result beats market expectations, and FY22 beyond will be fuelled by more new capacity completion, particularly from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Longyuan (916 HK): The Trend Is Your Friend

Good generation trend is positive, particularly a sharp improvement in other renewables. SASAC's latest SOEs energy targets and a step closer to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Were Buying Utilities Towards End of 2021

We highlight weekly Hong Kong Connect inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names (Longyuan, China Resource Power, China Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM