Infrastructure Analyst - Ports & Terminals, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Victor Wai, CFA

Infrastructure Analyst - Ports & Terminals

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Equity Bottom-Up

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP Equity) kisses the support level of $0.40 apiece, with investors finding some feline-cuteness for the once-loved port infrastructure play. Amid a resurgent trade recovery post-Global Financial Crisis, Li Ka-Shing spun off the Pearl River Delta assets and listed them as a Trust for $1.01, promising attractive dividends for shareholders who take a long-term view on ports.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/040/107/original/HPHT_4.JPG?1512883791" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="40107"></figure><div class="content-caption">Throwback to the busy days... Source: JOC</div>Despite a series of misses in its earnings -…

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP Equity) kisses the support level of $0.40 apiece, with investors finding some feline-cuteness for the once-loved port infrastructure play. Amid a resurgent trade recovery post-Global Financial Crisis, Li Ka-Shing spun off the Pearl River Delta assets and listed them as a Trust for $1.01, promising attractive dividends for shareholders who take a long-term view on ports.Throwback to the busy days... Source: JOCDespite a series of misses in its earnings -…

Hutchison Port Trust - Dead Cat Bounce No.10?

Cosco Shipping Ports (CSP) announced a third berth with PSA Singapore at the Pasir Panjang Terminal. We believe shareholders of CSP have little to gain from the enhanced deal.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/039/557/original/CSP.PNG?1512064185" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="39557"></figure><div class="content-caption">Cosco-PSA Terminal, source: IHS, MPA</div>Singapore-backed PSA wishes to entrench shipping lines to conduct transhipment activities in the republic. As cargo volumes pick up in the region, shipping lines may opt for more direct calls at out ports, rather than using feeder vessels to ferry containers from hub ports like Singapore…

Cosco Shipping Ports (CSP) announced a third berth with PSA Singapore at the Pasir Panjang Terminal. We believe shareholders of CSP have little to gain from the enhanced deal.Cosco-PSA Terminal, source: IHS, MPASingapore-backed PSA wishes to entrench shipping lines to conduct transhipment activities in the republic. As cargo volumes pick up in the region, shipping lines may opt for more direct calls at out ports, rather than using feeder vessels to ferry containers from hub ports like Singapore…

PSA Wins, Cosco Shipping Ports Loses in Joint Partnership

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

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China Merchants Port, or CMP, became a pure port operator, following its disposal of 24.5%-owned associate CIMC, the container manufacturer. This allows the company to focus on its core competence in port operation, and with the cash proceeds of HKD 8.5 billion, we see the company accelerated its port expansion. The recent acquisitions include: CNY 5.4 billion for 60% Shantou Port in China, and up to USD 1.1 billion investment for a 99-year exclusive concession right on Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka. We expect acquisitions to be a dominant theme for CMP in the coming years, which is tightly aligned with China’s “one-belt-one-road” strategy. While the growing assets should warrant a sound bottom-line growth, we’re concerned that the aggressive expansion plan would require higher capital investments. Given the recent acquisitions for container terminals were mostly priced at around 1.6-2.2 times price/book, compared with the 1.1-1.2 times price/book for CMP’s existing assets, we would expect dilution to the company’s return on invested capital.Analyst: Jennifer Song

China Merchants Port, or CMP, became a pure port operator, following its disposal of 24.5%-owned associate CIMC, the container manufacturer. This allows the company to focus on its core competence in port operation, and with the cash proceeds of HKD 8.5 billion, we see the company accelerated its port expansion. The recent acquisitions include: CNY 5.4 billion for 60% Shantou Port in China, and up to USD 1.1 billion investment for a 99-year exclusive concession right on Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka. We expect acquisitions to be a dominant theme for CMP in the coming years, which is tightly aligned with China’s “one-belt-one-road” strategy. While the growing assets should warrant a sound bottom-line growth, we’re concerned that the aggressive expansion plan would require higher capital investments. Given the recent acquisitions for container terminals were mostly priced at around 1.6-2.2 times price/book, compared with the 1.1-1.2 times price/book for CMP’s existing assets, we would expect dilution to the company’s return on invested capital.Analyst: Jennifer Song

Disposal of CIMC Boosted CMP's 1H; M&A a Dominant Theme for 2017

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Event-Driven

Global Logistic Properties / Event-Driven

We are closing our suggested Long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2894" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2894:1">Global Logistic Properties Ltd (GLP SP)</a> / Short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15155" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1">China Merchants Port Holdings Company Ltd. (144 HK)</a> pair trade idea on Friday's news that GLP has finally selected a bidder for the company. The winning bidder, a consortium of Chinese investors led by GLP CEO Ming Mei, will pay S$3.38 per share plus the previously announced 6 cent dividend (to be paid in August), which brings total consideration very close to our target price for GLP (S$3.55). GLP shares traded up…

We are closing our suggested Long Global Logistic Properties Ltd (GLP SP) / Short China Merchants Port Holdings Company Ltd. (144 HK) pair trade idea on Friday's news that GLP has finally selected a bidder for the company. The winning bidder, a consortium of Chinese investors led by GLP CEO Ming Mei, will pay S$3.38 per share plus the previously announced 6 cent dividend (to be paid in August), which brings total consideration very close to our target price for GLP (S$3.55). GLP shares traded up…

Closing GLP / China Merchants Ports Holdings Long-Short Pair Trade Idea on Positive GLP Deal News

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Drewry Maritime Research has raised the 2017 global throughput forecast. In particular, US and Europe containerised volumes are expected to accelerate 3.0% and 3.9% this year; a marked improvement from last year’s forward projection of 2.0% and 1.6% respectively. As HPHT has significant trade exposure to the US and Europe, we believe the market is pricing in a strong 2Q17 report card which will be revealed on 19 July 2017.<ul><li>
Volume-driven play.While buoyant macro data in the US and Eurozone lifted…</li></ul>

Drewry Maritime Research has raised the 2017 global throughput forecast. In particular, US and Europe containerised volumes are expected to accelerate 3.0% and 3.9% this year; a marked improvement from last year’s forward projection of 2.0% and 1.6% respectively. As HPHT has significant trade exposure to the US and Europe, we believe the market is pricing in a strong 2Q17 report card which will be revealed on 19 July 2017.
Volume-driven play.While buoyant macro data in the US and Eurozone lifted…

HPHT Clambers Higher on Upbeat Expectations

Hong Kong

Shenzhen International Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides investment, construction, and operation of logistic infrastructure facilities, as well as offers value-added logistic services. Shenzhen International serves customers worldwide.

COSCO Shipping Ports Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides shipping container leasing services worldwide.  The Company also operates container terminals and provides container handling, storage, transportation and management services, as well as depot handling and stevedoring services.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. provides shipping related services. The Company offers shipping, logistics, shipbuilding and ship repair services, ship trading agency services, marine insurance brokerage services, marine equipment and spare parts, coating products, and marine fuel and other related shipping products. COSCO International serves clients around the world.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, operates, and manages toll highways, expressways, and bridges in China.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (1052 HK)

Tianjin Port Development Holdings Limited operates container terminals in China.  The company provides container handling operations, stacking and warehousing services and non-containerized cargo services.

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd. provides port operation services. The Company offers port and warehouse leasing, container handling, cargo handling, and other services. China Infrastructure & Logistics Group also provides logistics, supply chain management, property management, and other services.

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group  (1719 HK)

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited operates scheduled airline services. The Company also provides related services, including airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering.

SITC International Holdings Company Ltd. offers marine shipping services.  The Company offers container liner shipping, freight forwarding, customs clearance, shipping agency, and ship brokerage services.  SITC operates in Asia.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

Kerry Logistics Network Limited provides logistics services in Asia and internationally. The Company offers integrated logistics services, as well as leases warehousing space in Hong Kong and provides international freight forwarding services.

Auckland International Airport Limited owns and operates the Auckland International Airport.  The Airport includes a single runway, an international terminal and two domestic terminals.  The Airport also has commercial facilities which includes airfreight operations, car rental services, commercial banking center and office buildings.

Qube Holdings Ltd. is a logistics company. The Group operates in divisions covering Automotive, Bulk and General Stevedoring, Landside Logistics and Strategic Development Assets.

Taiwan High Speed Rail Corporation operates the high speed railway system (HSR) in Taiwan, running 345 KM from Taipei to Kaohsiung.

Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd. operates and maintains toll roads, bridges, tunnels, and other infrastructure facilities.  The Company operates the Jiqing Highway, the Taiqu Road, the Jinan-Huanghe Bridge, the Pingyin Bridge, and the Binzhou Bridge. Shandong Hi-speed also retails petroleum products.

Jiangsu Expressway Company Ltd. constructs, operates, manages and maintains expressways in China.  The Company also provides passenger transportation and other ancillary services along including fueling stations, restaurants, car maintenance and repair and advertising.

Atlas Arteria Limted operates as an infrastructure developer and operator. The Company constructs highways, roads, bridges, and tunnels. Atlas Arteria also collects toll. Atlas Arteria serves clients worldwide.

Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. engages in providing a wide range of port related services, ranging from basic port services, such as stevedoring and  storage services, to ancillary and extended services such  as logistics service sand financing-related services.

Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide offers airport services. The Company operates the Frankfurt-Main, the airport in Lima, Peru, and the international terminal in Antalya, Turkey. Fraport also provides services to domestic and international carriers including traffic, facility and terminal management, ground handling, and security.

Flughafen Zuerich AG operates the Zurich Airport.  The Company constructs, leases, and maintains airport structures and equipment.

Kobenhavns Lufthavne A/S (Copenhagen Airports A/S - CPH) owns and operates Kastrup, the international airport in Copenhagen, and Roskilde airport.  The Company provides traffic management, maintenance, and security services, as well as manages the Airport Shopping Center and airport projects.  Kobenhavns Lufthavne also has investments in airports in Mexico, England, and China.

China Merchants Holdings International Company Limited, through its subsidiaries and associated companies, operates container and cargo terminals, port transportation, and airport cargo handling.  The Company also manufactures containers, paint, and trailers as well as operates toll road, shipping, property, and dealing securities businesses.

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China Merchants Port (144 HK)

Hutchison Port Trust - Dead Cat Bounce No.10?

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP Equity) kisses the support level of $0.40 apiece, with investors finding some feline-cuteness for the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

PSA Wins, Cosco Shipping Ports Loses in Joint Partnership

Cosco Shipping Ports (CSP) announced a third berth with PSA Singapore at the Pasir Panjang Terminal. We believe shareholders of CSP have little to...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Disposal of CIMC Boosted CMP's 1H; M&A a Dominant Theme for 2017

China Merchants Port, or CMP, became a pure port operator, following its disposal of 24.5%-owned associate CIMC, the container manufacturer. This...

Morningstar, Inc.

Closing GLP / China Merchants Ports Holdings Long-Short Pair Trade Idea on Positive GLP Deal News

We are closing our suggested Long Global Logistic Properties Ltd (GLP SP) / Short China Merchants Port Holdings Company Ltd. (144 HK) pair trade...

Daniel Hellberg

HPHT Clambers Higher on Upbeat Expectations

Drewry Maritime Research has raised the 2017 global throughput forecast. In particular, US and Europe containerised volumes are expected to...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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