Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rates remain depressed but stable, and easier Y/Y comps will arrive in late Summer</li>
<li>Fuel costs should be a tailwind in Q2 results; Danish giant Maersk reports on August 4th</li>
<li>We expect Q2/H1 results to support our view that the worst of the storm has passed</li>
</ul>


Rates remain depressed but stable, and easier Y/Y comps will arrive in late Summer
Fuel costs should be a tailwind in Q2 results; Danish giant Maersk reports on August 4th
We expect Q2/H1 results to support our view that the worst of the storm has passed


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of 'Storm' Passed (July 2023)

<ul>
<li>Our index suggests long-haul rates remained stable in May as carriers approach peak season</li>
<li>Cleanup of West Coast slowdown, lower fuel prices should both serve as Summer tailwinds</li>
<li>We believe conditions could improve in H2 2023, and shares remain cheap on Price / Assets</li>
</ul>


Our index suggests long-haul rates remained stable in May as carriers approach peak season
Cleanup of West Coast slowdown, lower fuel prices should both serve as Summer tailwinds
We believe conditions could improve in H2 2023, and shares remain cheap on Price / Assets


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower  (June 2023)

<ul>
<li>Declines in carrier revenues and pricing continued to moderate in April</li>
<li>Inbound to N. America container volume declines also eased in April</li>
<li>Lower fuel prices a tailwind in '23, shares cheap, we retain our +ive sector view </li>
</ul>


Declines in carrier revenues and pricing continued to moderate in April
Inbound to N. America container volume declines also eased in April
Lower fuel prices a tailwind in '23, shares cheap, we retain our +ive sector view 


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price, Volume Declines Moderate | Fuel=Tailwind (May 2023)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024</li>
<li>But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains</li>
<li>Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024
But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains
Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL


TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022</li>
<li>But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...</li>
<li>We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs</li>
</ul>


Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022
But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...
We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

Singapore

SIA Engineering Co Ltd provides airframe and component overhaul services, line maintenance and technical ground handling services. The Company also manufactures aircraft cabin equipment, refurbishes aircraft galleys, repairs and overhauls hydromechanical aircraft equipment.

Singapore Post Limited is the national postal service provider in Singapore. The Company provides domestic and international postal and courier services including end-to-end integrated mail solutions covering data printing, letter-shopping, delivery and mailroom management, and others. Singapore Post also offers end-to-end e-commerce logistics solutions.

SBS Transit Limited provides public bus services, advertisement on its bus fleet, and bus chartering.

Samudera Shipping Line Limited owns and operates ocean-going ships and provides containerized feeder shipping services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also owns and charters vessels, provides sea and air freight forwarding, and operates shipping agency and container freight station services.

Marco Polo Marine Limited is an integrated shipping company. The Company provides services that include ship chartering, ship building and repair, and brokering services.

Penguin International Limited operates as an integrated marine and offshore services company. The Company specializes in design, construction, and operation of high-speed aluminum ships. Penguin International owns and operates a fleet of vessels as well as aluminum shipbuilding yards. Penguin International serves customers worldwide.

Metis Energy Limited provides marine services, land reclamation, charter of vessels, and dredging services.  The Company also trades sea-sand, provides logistics, production, and other support services to the coal mining, oil, and gas industries.

Riverstone Holdings Limited produces, sells, and distributes clean-room products for use in highly controlled and critical environments. The Company's products include nitrite and natural rubber gloves and clean-room packaging materials and finger cots, as well as face masks, face pouches, hoods, caps, jumpsuits, and swabs.

Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited owns, charters, and manages ships and vessels.  The Company also provides warehousing and logistics, freight forwarding, tugging, and ancillary marine services. Singapore Shipping also operates shipping agencies and terminals.

Golden Energy and Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, mining, marketing and trading of thermal coal. The Company 's coal mining concession areas cover South and Cental Kalimantan, as well as Jambi, Indonesia.

Rizhao Port Co., Ltd. operates Rizhao ports in Rizhao, Shandong. The company handles, warehouses, and transports containers and bulk and general cargoes.

Dongguan Development Holdings Co., Ltd invests, develops, and operates toll collection for the Dongguan expressway.

Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., (000828 CH)

Hubei Chutian Expressway Co., Ltd. maintains, operates, and develops toll expressways in Hubei province in China.

Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited finances, operates, and maintains expressways and bridges in China. The Company collects tolls for the Zheng Luo Expressway and the Zhengzhou Yellow River Bridge.

Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. operates a marine shipping port.  The port loads and unloads container, bulk, and liquid cargo.

Gemadept Corporation is a shipping company.  The Company's business activities include port operations, 
container liner service, shipping and forwarding agency logistics, project cargo transport, real 
estate, and financial investment.

Sichuan Expressway Company Limited offers expressway investment and construction services. The Company builds toll highway, bridge, tunnel, and other traffic projects. Sichuan Expressway also conducts city operation, energy, media and financial investment businesses.

Westshore Terminals Investment Corp. operates a coal storage and loading terminal in British Columbia, Canada.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. constructs and manages transportation infrastructure facilities including highways, bridges, ports, and other related facilities. The Company manages the Pingwang Road, the Nanwu Road, the Jinyi Road, and the Jinglan Bridge in Guangxi.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications (600368 CH)

Qinhuangdao Port Company Limited loads, stores, transports port cargo. The Company's main products include liquid chemicals, iron ore and coal, oil and other cargo, containers and other products.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is a port investor, developer and operator. The Company is also involved in transportation related services and logistics operations, including container storage and repair, container tracking, general and bulk cargo tranfer, warehousing, marine shuttle services and other related services.

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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of 'Storm' Passed (July 2023)

Our research tracking container rates and profitability suggests that the worst of the storm has passed, and that we should see easier Y/Y comps...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower (June 2023)

We are gaining conviction in our view that market conditions have bottomed for long-haul carriers, and that their shares appear depressed compared...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price, Volume Declines Moderate | Fuel=Tailwind (May 2023)

April numbers show Y/Y declines in revenue and throughput are moderating. In addition, lower fuel prices could provide a tailwind in the remainder...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

Given changes in its market exposure over the past 12-18 months, investors shouldn't expect TS Lines to match Wan Hai's strong YTD performance in...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

Deep-sea container shipping price momentum surged in May, even though volumes into the North American West Coast slowed. We think this is a head...

Tracking Traffic

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